02
October
Chart of the day: Wait for confirmation signal
As mentioned above, investors should wait for the confirmation signal. Until then, they should hold a long position and focus the leading stocks such as Energy and Banking.
02
October
As mentioned above, investors should wait for the confirmation signal. Until then, they should hold a long position and focus the leading stocks such as Energy and Banking.
01
October
Based on the optimistic market sentiment, the uptrend of the VNIndex is still intact. Therefore, investors may be held their long position and focus on leading tickers.
01
October
Long positions captured at 855 pts area should not be closed, take a profit at 870-875 pts and out the positions at the break-even point (855 pts).
01
October
On 01 Oct, Vinamilk released preliminary 3Q20 business results, which highlighted more optimistic earning growths than those of previous quarters. Particularly, Vinamilk estimates consolidated revenue to reach VND15,561bn (+8.8% yoy) and consolidated NPAT to reach VND3,106bn (+16% yoy).
01
October
Although we expect the current rally of the market will continue in the rest of this year (because the VNIndex is trading at 15x its earnings, lower than 16x of 2019-end, while interest rate is lower), the pace will be slower and range trading may be more appropriate for the time being.
30
September
In the short term, the uptrend of the VNIndex is still intact. Therefore, investors may be held their long position and focus on leading tickers.
30
September
Long positions captured at 855 pts area should not be closed, take a profit at 870-875 pts and stop a loss at 850 pts.
29
September
Based on the selling pressure, the downside risk increases in the next session. However, the uptrend of the VNIndex is still intact. Therefore, investors may be held their long position and focus on leading tickers.
29
September
Long positions captured at 855 pts area should not be closed, take a profit at 870-875 pts and stop a loss at 845 pts.
29
September
An amendment of Cir.01 with the extension of debts subjected for restructuring may be finalized and announced soon in Oct 2020. This may provide credit institutions a leeway to further assist severe impacted debtors and enables them to contain NPL ratio and credit cost in 2020 and 2021 at manageable levels. We maintain Overweight on the sector.
15
March
Regarding the impact of the global commodity price surge on Vietnam CPI, we estimate that the current value of Brent price could push 2022 inflation to exceed the government target of 4%, mainly through the consumption channel. However, implementing well-established tools allows the Vietnam government to mitigate external shocks proactively. To sum up, we forecast that the global commodity surge would create temporary pressure on Vietnam inflation.
27
December
Key factors that drive the stock market to rise in 2022 include: (1) the Vietnam economy recovering and strong growth in 2022 and (2) new money will continue to flow into the stock market as new cash flows into stock markets and new money comes from capital flows of securities companies to margin.
09
November
A record plunge in Vietnam’s economy in 3Q21 has threatened economic prospects in the medium and long term growth. The government is standing in a right place to mitigate the lingering impact of the current outbreak and the next ones if they take appropriate actions in an appropriate timing and appropriate way. Recent macro and policy developments are signaling that the ongoing economic recovery would be smooth and sound, but it needs a booster shot, a sufficiently large fiscal relief package, to accelerate recovery momentum and help economic growth back on track. From our view, the “Economic Recovery and Development” fiscal support package, if successfully passed, would be a key to unlocking the full potential of the economic recovery.
26
July
Amid a widespread COVID-19 delta attack in the Southeast Asia region, Vietnam is stepping into the worst outbreak in both its health and economic impacts. Although the government actively deployed various solutions to follow the twin target that effectively controls the pandemic and promotes socio-economic development, the negative impact of economic recovery is inevitable. We predict that the COVID-19 economic impacts on domestic consumption and production levels would be partly reflected in oncoming macroeconomic updates under strict lockdowns nationwide.
18
June
Surging commodity prices and increasing inflation recently pose a considerable risk to global economic stability. However, the majority of global economists and monetary policymakers just saw this phenomenon as a transitory factor, and this trend would eventually reverse to a normal track in the medium- and long- term. Regarding Vietnam's situation, we saw a stable demand-supply balance in major commodities and well-controlled price conditions. The inflation shock in the near term, if it happens, would be expected to be transient and bear a little risk to the economic stability.