09
October
Daily derivatives: No place for short side
Buy VN30F2010 at 868 pts zone, take a profit at 900 pts and stop a loss at 860 pts.
09
October
Buy VN30F2010 at 868 pts zone, take a profit at 900 pts and stop a loss at 860 pts.
09
October
In the short term, the VNIndex forms the rectangle pattern as the index closes above the 920-pts threshold. The target price of this pattern is 940-950 pts. Therefore, investors may hold their long position and focus on leading tickers
09
October
The upward resumption phase is confirmed as well as 940 pts area is the next target. Therefore, investors should continue to hold the current positions and buy more in correction phase.
08
October
We reiterate BUY rating as sales of GSW and St Moritz condo projects could be on track in FY20F-21F. Our RNAV-based target price remains at VND12,800. Our mid-to-long-term investment thesis depends on whether DXG can successfully unlock its mega-sized Gem Riverside project in Dist 2 in FY20-21F. Key downside risks to our call is deteriorated economy growth that could dampen our presale outlook.
08
October
Buy VN30F2010 at 867 pts, take a profit at 900 pts and stop a loss at 850 pts.
08
October
Despite the contraction, the short-term uptrend of the VNIndex is still intact as the VNIndex closes above significant moving averages. Therefore, investors may hold their long position and focus on leading tickers.
07
October
Recent monetary easing decision from SBV is expected to maintain the interbank rates at a low base in 4Q20. In the context of cheap liquidity flooding to banks and lending activity remaining sluggish, demand for Vietnam G-bonds was rocketing to an all-time high in the primary G-bond market. Looking forward to October, we expect the interest bank rates to remain stable at low levels, while abundant liquidity will put further downward pressure on G-bonds from 5-year to 15-year tenors.
07
October
Sell VN30F2010 at 863 pts when 864 pts level is broken, take a profit at 855 pts and stop a loss at 868 pts.
07
October
Nam A Bank was established in HCM in 1992. Its total assets reached VND95tn (+26% yoy) in 2019, ranking 23/31 domestic commercial banks in Vietnam, and held 0.9% lending market share. It increased presence significantly since 2018 and achieved 105 branches and transaction offices as of June 2020. NAB retail clients account for 84% of the bank total deposits but just 30% of loans.
07
October
The short-term uptrend of the VNIndex is still intact thanks to the high demand on large-cap stocks. Therefore, investors may be held their long position and focus on leading tickers.
15
March
Regarding the impact of the global commodity price surge on Vietnam CPI, we estimate that the current value of Brent price could push 2022 inflation to exceed the government target of 4%, mainly through the consumption channel. However, implementing well-established tools allows the Vietnam government to mitigate external shocks proactively. To sum up, we forecast that the global commodity surge would create temporary pressure on Vietnam inflation.
27
December
Key factors that drive the stock market to rise in 2022 include: (1) the Vietnam economy recovering and strong growth in 2022 and (2) new money will continue to flow into the stock market as new cash flows into stock markets and new money comes from capital flows of securities companies to margin.
09
November
A record plunge in Vietnam’s economy in 3Q21 has threatened economic prospects in the medium and long term growth. The government is standing in a right place to mitigate the lingering impact of the current outbreak and the next ones if they take appropriate actions in an appropriate timing and appropriate way. Recent macro and policy developments are signaling that the ongoing economic recovery would be smooth and sound, but it needs a booster shot, a sufficiently large fiscal relief package, to accelerate recovery momentum and help economic growth back on track. From our view, the “Economic Recovery and Development” fiscal support package, if successfully passed, would be a key to unlocking the full potential of the economic recovery.
26
July
Amid a widespread COVID-19 delta attack in the Southeast Asia region, Vietnam is stepping into the worst outbreak in both its health and economic impacts. Although the government actively deployed various solutions to follow the twin target that effectively controls the pandemic and promotes socio-economic development, the negative impact of economic recovery is inevitable. We predict that the COVID-19 economic impacts on domestic consumption and production levels would be partly reflected in oncoming macroeconomic updates under strict lockdowns nationwide.
18
June
Surging commodity prices and increasing inflation recently pose a considerable risk to global economic stability. However, the majority of global economists and monetary policymakers just saw this phenomenon as a transitory factor, and this trend would eventually reverse to a normal track in the medium- and long- term. Regarding Vietnam's situation, we saw a stable demand-supply balance in major commodities and well-controlled price conditions. The inflation shock in the near term, if it happens, would be expected to be transient and bear a little risk to the economic stability.