26
October
Daily derivatives: Buy zone is ready
Buy VN30F2011 at 900-905 pts area, take a profit at 950 pts and stop a loss at 885 pts.
26
October
Buy VN30F2011 at 900-905 pts area, take a profit at 950 pts and stop a loss at 885 pts.
26
October
Last week, selling activities kept overwhelming. Breaking down by sectors, selling pressure continued to focus on Consumer Staples, Industrials, and Real Estate whilst Materials was accumulated the most. Regarding to ETF flow, Vietnam recorded the second week of outflow. VFMVN30 ETF and VanEck Vietnam ETF were the main contributors which recorded USD5.5mn of outflow despite X FTSE Vietnam attracted USD1.4mn last week.
26
October
VCB reported 3Q20 controlling-interest NP at VND4tn, down 20.9% yoy and 4.5% qoq due to an increase in OPEX. VCB has been more conservative than other banks regarding to provisioning and credit expansion. As of Sep 2020, VCB made a credit growth of 1.6% qoq and 6.5% ytd while maintained NPL coverage ratio as high as 215%. We reiterate Hold on VCB.
23
October
The short-term bullish leg is reaching its short-term objective and there is no entry point with good risk-reward ratio. Thus, traders should stay on the sidelines and wait for the reaction of VN30F2010 at 940-950 pts zone and only buy when price collapses.
23
October
Nam Tan Uyen’s 3Q20 revenue skyrocket 90.8% yoy to VND102.8bn and the 3Q20 net profit boomed by 115.6% yoy to VND98bn mainly thanks to land transfer revenue growth of +109.4% yoy to VND90bn. The 3Q20 land transfer revenue recorded the first one-time recognition of rental payment of around 1.7ha
23
October
As mentioned above, upward resumption phase and there is the tendency for the Index to retest 990-1,000 pts area. Therefore, investors should continue to hold the current positions and buy more in correction phase.
23
October
After the second gaining session, the market sentiment has become an optimist. That confirms the short-term uptrend. Therefore, investors may hold their long position and focus on leading tickers.
23
October
Long Hau JSC (LHG) reported a stellar 3Q20 topline of VND72bn, up 46.2% yoy. We believe the strong growth was driven by 1) the 33-40% yoy surge in land rent in 3Q20 and 2) 0.5ha land transfer area in 3Q20 vs 0ha land area in 3Q19. The 3Q20 net profit grew to VND23bn, 25.6% yoy, in line with our 3Q20 preview report.
22
October
Long positions captured at the best bid zone (900 pts) should not be closed, take a profit at 940-950 pts and positions must be out when this instrument retests 900 pts. For new positions, long VN30F2011 at 915 pts zone, take a profit at 940-950 pts and stop a loss at 900 pts.
22
October
The short-term uptrend is confirmed because of the optimistic market sentiment. Therefore, investors may hold their long position and focus on leading tickers.
15
March
Regarding the impact of the global commodity price surge on Vietnam CPI, we estimate that the current value of Brent price could push 2022 inflation to exceed the government target of 4%, mainly through the consumption channel. However, implementing well-established tools allows the Vietnam government to mitigate external shocks proactively. To sum up, we forecast that the global commodity surge would create temporary pressure on Vietnam inflation.
27
December
Key factors that drive the stock market to rise in 2022 include: (1) the Vietnam economy recovering and strong growth in 2022 and (2) new money will continue to flow into the stock market as new cash flows into stock markets and new money comes from capital flows of securities companies to margin.
09
November
A record plunge in Vietnam’s economy in 3Q21 has threatened economic prospects in the medium and long term growth. The government is standing in a right place to mitigate the lingering impact of the current outbreak and the next ones if they take appropriate actions in an appropriate timing and appropriate way. Recent macro and policy developments are signaling that the ongoing economic recovery would be smooth and sound, but it needs a booster shot, a sufficiently large fiscal relief package, to accelerate recovery momentum and help economic growth back on track. From our view, the “Economic Recovery and Development” fiscal support package, if successfully passed, would be a key to unlocking the full potential of the economic recovery.
26
July
Amid a widespread COVID-19 delta attack in the Southeast Asia region, Vietnam is stepping into the worst outbreak in both its health and economic impacts. Although the government actively deployed various solutions to follow the twin target that effectively controls the pandemic and promotes socio-economic development, the negative impact of economic recovery is inevitable. We predict that the COVID-19 economic impacts on domestic consumption and production levels would be partly reflected in oncoming macroeconomic updates under strict lockdowns nationwide.
18
June
Surging commodity prices and increasing inflation recently pose a considerable risk to global economic stability. However, the majority of global economists and monetary policymakers just saw this phenomenon as a transitory factor, and this trend would eventually reverse to a normal track in the medium- and long- term. Regarding Vietnam's situation, we saw a stable demand-supply balance in major commodities and well-controlled price conditions. The inflation shock in the near term, if it happens, would be expected to be transient and bear a little risk to the economic stability.