04
November
Daily derivatives: Hit the bid after ATO session
Long VN30F2011 after the ATO session, take a profit at 950 pts and stop a loss at 895 pts.
04
November
Long VN30F2011 after the ATO session, take a profit at 950 pts and stop a loss at 895 pts.
04
November
The downside risk is still intact in the short term because the US presidential election results are not clear. Therefore, investors should stay on the sidelines and wait for the next signal.
04
November
TPB is pursuing a robust growth in order to upgrade its position in the industry. It’s 9M20 credit growth topped at 22.5% vs. 6.09% of the industry average thanks to corporate bond investment. However, huge restructured loans (~7.3% of loan book) may threat the bank’s assets quality in coming quarters
03
November
High margin debt and the selling pressure of foreign investors cause the stock market to form a short-term peak. However, Vietnam economy recovers, along with the capital flow of ETFs that will support the stock market and continue its uptrend in the long term.
03
November
In 4Q20, we expect that Vinh Hoan will achieve better business results than our previous estimates, premised by (1) yoy growth of export price to the U.S. in 4Q20, (2) Collagen & Gelatin revenue to see qoq recovery in 4Q20 and (3) Vinh Hoan’s yoy gross margin improvement in 4Q20
03
November
Long VN30F2011 at 895-900 pts zone, take a profit at 950 pts and stop a loss at 870 pts.
03
November
We reaffirm BUY at lift TP by 13% to VND29,100 with major change in assumptions related to credit growth and credit cost in 2020-2021. As the pandemic worry has returned upon 2020-21 winter and EU recent lockdown, we incline to resilient banks like ACB.
03
November
Despite the third gaining session, the short-term uptrend does not confirm in the short term as the VNIndex closes below the significant moving average. Therefore, investors should stay on the sidelines and wait for the next signal.
02
November
Despite the second gaining session, the uptrend does not confirm in the short term as the VNIndex closes below the significant moving average. Therefore, investors should stay on the sidelines and wait for the next signal.
02
November
Long VN30F2011 at 895 pts zone, take a profit at 950 pts and stop a loss at 870 pts.
15
March
Regarding the impact of the global commodity price surge on Vietnam CPI, we estimate that the current value of Brent price could push 2022 inflation to exceed the government target of 4%, mainly through the consumption channel. However, implementing well-established tools allows the Vietnam government to mitigate external shocks proactively. To sum up, we forecast that the global commodity surge would create temporary pressure on Vietnam inflation.
27
December
Key factors that drive the stock market to rise in 2022 include: (1) the Vietnam economy recovering and strong growth in 2022 and (2) new money will continue to flow into the stock market as new cash flows into stock markets and new money comes from capital flows of securities companies to margin.
09
November
A record plunge in Vietnam’s economy in 3Q21 has threatened economic prospects in the medium and long term growth. The government is standing in a right place to mitigate the lingering impact of the current outbreak and the next ones if they take appropriate actions in an appropriate timing and appropriate way. Recent macro and policy developments are signaling that the ongoing economic recovery would be smooth and sound, but it needs a booster shot, a sufficiently large fiscal relief package, to accelerate recovery momentum and help economic growth back on track. From our view, the “Economic Recovery and Development” fiscal support package, if successfully passed, would be a key to unlocking the full potential of the economic recovery.
26
July
Amid a widespread COVID-19 delta attack in the Southeast Asia region, Vietnam is stepping into the worst outbreak in both its health and economic impacts. Although the government actively deployed various solutions to follow the twin target that effectively controls the pandemic and promotes socio-economic development, the negative impact of economic recovery is inevitable. We predict that the COVID-19 economic impacts on domestic consumption and production levels would be partly reflected in oncoming macroeconomic updates under strict lockdowns nationwide.
18
June
Surging commodity prices and increasing inflation recently pose a considerable risk to global economic stability. However, the majority of global economists and monetary policymakers just saw this phenomenon as a transitory factor, and this trend would eventually reverse to a normal track in the medium- and long- term. Regarding Vietnam's situation, we saw a stable demand-supply balance in major commodities and well-controlled price conditions. The inflation shock in the near term, if it happens, would be expected to be transient and bear a little risk to the economic stability.