05
March
Daily derivatives: The range is still held
During the rigid price movement where trading signals are invalid, traders should continue to stay on the sidelines and wait for the range is broken to capture the big market leg.
05
March
During the rigid price movement where trading signals are invalid, traders should continue to stay on the sidelines and wait for the range is broken to capture the big market leg.
05
March
In the short term, the downside risk is intact due to cautious market sentiment. Moreover, the 1,200-pts threshold is the strong resistance. Therefore, traders should be careful and wait for the next signal to confirm the current trend.
05
March
There is no signal for the bearish momentum in the medium- and long-term and we are still in the uptrend. Thus, investors should hold the current positions and the captured positions at the buy zone (1,000-1,080 pts) and take action only when the next market leg is clear or there is the valid breakout at 1,200 pts zone.
05
March
Based on the sharp contraction, the market sentiment has become cautious in the short term. Moreover, the 1,200-pts threshold is the strong resistance. Therefore, traders should be careful and wait for the next signal to confirm the current trend.
05
March
TCB 4Q20 NP beats our estimate by ~23% at VND3.95tn (+30.5% yoy and 28% qoq) given better-than-expected credit provision. For whole 2020, TCB earned a NP of VND12.3tn, up 22% yoy on a TOI of VND27tn, up 28% yoy. In the update, we lift our TP to VND47,000 and maintain BUY given more positive assumptions related to credit growth, assets quality, NIM and non –NII growth.
04
March
During the rigid price movement where trading signals are invalid, traders should stay on the sidelines and wait for the range is broken to capture the big market leg.
04
March
February showed a gloomy picture for the economic activity due to a long holiday. Export and production posted the first reduction since the pandemic, while CPI recorded the strongest increase in 8 years. For the outlook in March, we expect the well-controlled pandemic situation domestically and accelerating COVID-19 vaccines distribution globally will push economic growth back to expansionary.
04
March
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04
March
Vinh Hoan announced business results in Jan 2021, which delivered optimistic yoy revenue growth. Vinh Hoan reached VND632bn revenue in Jan 2021 (+31.0% yoy), which was mainly premised by export revenue surge to China (+180.0% yoy), Europe (+32.0% yoy) and rest of world excluding the U.S., EU, China (+48.0% yoy).
03
March
Long positions captured at 1,183.5 pts should be closed when there is the closing price below 1,180 pts level (Hourly time frame). For new long positions, long VN30F2103 after ATO session and stop the loss when there is the closing price below 1,180 pts level. (Hourly time frame)
15
March
Regarding the impact of the global commodity price surge on Vietnam CPI, we estimate that the current value of Brent price could push 2022 inflation to exceed the government target of 4%, mainly through the consumption channel. However, implementing well-established tools allows the Vietnam government to mitigate external shocks proactively. To sum up, we forecast that the global commodity surge would create temporary pressure on Vietnam inflation.
27
December
Key factors that drive the stock market to rise in 2022 include: (1) the Vietnam economy recovering and strong growth in 2022 and (2) new money will continue to flow into the stock market as new cash flows into stock markets and new money comes from capital flows of securities companies to margin.
09
November
A record plunge in Vietnam’s economy in 3Q21 has threatened economic prospects in the medium and long term growth. The government is standing in a right place to mitigate the lingering impact of the current outbreak and the next ones if they take appropriate actions in an appropriate timing and appropriate way. Recent macro and policy developments are signaling that the ongoing economic recovery would be smooth and sound, but it needs a booster shot, a sufficiently large fiscal relief package, to accelerate recovery momentum and help economic growth back on track. From our view, the “Economic Recovery and Development” fiscal support package, if successfully passed, would be a key to unlocking the full potential of the economic recovery.
26
July
Amid a widespread COVID-19 delta attack in the Southeast Asia region, Vietnam is stepping into the worst outbreak in both its health and economic impacts. Although the government actively deployed various solutions to follow the twin target that effectively controls the pandemic and promotes socio-economic development, the negative impact of economic recovery is inevitable. We predict that the COVID-19 economic impacts on domestic consumption and production levels would be partly reflected in oncoming macroeconomic updates under strict lockdowns nationwide.
18
June
Surging commodity prices and increasing inflation recently pose a considerable risk to global economic stability. However, the majority of global economists and monetary policymakers just saw this phenomenon as a transitory factor, and this trend would eventually reverse to a normal track in the medium- and long- term. Regarding Vietnam's situation, we saw a stable demand-supply balance in major commodities and well-controlled price conditions. The inflation shock in the near term, if it happens, would be expected to be transient and bear a little risk to the economic stability.