09
November
Daily derivatives: Uncertainty
The captured long positions on VN30F2111 should not be closed and stop the loss when there is the closing price below 1,520 pts level (Hourly chart).
09
November
The captured long positions on VN30F2111 should not be closed and stop the loss when there is the closing price below 1,520 pts level (Hourly chart).
09
November
Foreign selling pressure came back. Selling activity focused on Real Estate, Consumer Staples, and Materials whilst Consumer Discretionary and Utilities attracted the most foreign demand. With ETF flow, Vietnam kept attracting the flow of money, mainly driven by the demand across SSIAM VNFIN Lead ETF and VFMVN Diamond ETF.
08
November
This quarterly earnings report on Vietnam steel production is intended to track the earning growth trend in the steel market. We think the demand growth outlook is still brisk in 4Q21 backed by 1) realized export opportunities in the U.S. and EU 2) the bounce back for domestic demand.
08
November
The VNIndex retests the last peak and maintains its uptrend in the short term because of closing above its significant moving averages and 1,400-pts threshold. Therefore, the traders should hold their long position and focus on leading stocks.
08
November
The captured long positions on VN30F2111 should not be closed and stop the loss when there is the closing price below 1,460 pts level (Hourly chart). For new long positions, traders could enter the long positions when there is the valid breakout at 1,540 pts level and stop the loss when there is the closing price below 1,520 pts level.
08
November
The upward resumption phase is still active. In this case, investors should continue to hold the current positions on leading stocks. On the contrary, positions should be closed by half if the 1,300 pts area is pierced.
05
November
Key focus areas are presale growth and its funding demand. Since lockdown prolonged until Nov that impedes the sales events, NVL aims to sell 7,000 units in 2021F, reducing 30% vs the initial plan. More than 2,000 units sold in 4Q21 could bring around VND15tn-20tn contract sale value, according to the management. Net debt/equity as of end-3Q21 increased to 0.98x from 0.96x as of end-2Q21. NVL’s leve rage ratio, which is significantly higher than average for developers (0.2x-0.4x), remains unhealthy in our view.
05
November
The captured long positions on VN30F2111 should not be closed and stop the loss when there is the closing price below 1,460 pts level (Hourly chart). For new long positions, traders could enter the long positions when there is the valid breakout at 1,540 pts level and stop the loss when there is the closing price below 1,520 pts level.
05
November
The VNIndex maintains its uptrend in the short term because the index closed above the significant moving average and 1,400-pts threshold. Therefore, the traders should hold their long position and focus on leading stocks.
04
November
The captured long positions on VN30F2111 should not be closed and stop the loss when there is the closing price below 1,460 pts level (Hourly chart). For new long positions, traders could enter the long positions when there is the valid breakout at 1,540 pts level and stop the loss when there is the closing price below 1,520 pts level.
15
March
Regarding the impact of the global commodity price surge on Vietnam CPI, we estimate that the current value of Brent price could push 2022 inflation to exceed the government target of 4%, mainly through the consumption channel. However, implementing well-established tools allows the Vietnam government to mitigate external shocks proactively. To sum up, we forecast that the global commodity surge would create temporary pressure on Vietnam inflation.
27
December
Key factors that drive the stock market to rise in 2022 include: (1) the Vietnam economy recovering and strong growth in 2022 and (2) new money will continue to flow into the stock market as new cash flows into stock markets and new money comes from capital flows of securities companies to margin.
09
November
A record plunge in Vietnam’s economy in 3Q21 has threatened economic prospects in the medium and long term growth. The government is standing in a right place to mitigate the lingering impact of the current outbreak and the next ones if they take appropriate actions in an appropriate timing and appropriate way. Recent macro and policy developments are signaling that the ongoing economic recovery would be smooth and sound, but it needs a booster shot, a sufficiently large fiscal relief package, to accelerate recovery momentum and help economic growth back on track. From our view, the “Economic Recovery and Development” fiscal support package, if successfully passed, would be a key to unlocking the full potential of the economic recovery.
26
July
Amid a widespread COVID-19 delta attack in the Southeast Asia region, Vietnam is stepping into the worst outbreak in both its health and economic impacts. Although the government actively deployed various solutions to follow the twin target that effectively controls the pandemic and promotes socio-economic development, the negative impact of economic recovery is inevitable. We predict that the COVID-19 economic impacts on domestic consumption and production levels would be partly reflected in oncoming macroeconomic updates under strict lockdowns nationwide.
18
June
Surging commodity prices and increasing inflation recently pose a considerable risk to global economic stability. However, the majority of global economists and monetary policymakers just saw this phenomenon as a transitory factor, and this trend would eventually reverse to a normal track in the medium- and long- term. Regarding Vietnam's situation, we saw a stable demand-supply balance in major commodities and well-controlled price conditions. The inflation shock in the near term, if it happens, would be expected to be transient and bear a little risk to the economic stability.