Research Center

The VNIndex breaks down a 1,430-1,440 pts zone, showing a strong downtrend. Therefore, traders should wait for the next signals and stay on the sidelines.

HSG witnessed the slightly weaker performance in FY6M2022 on year-on-year basis caused by weak sales volume in first 3 months of 2022: 3M2022 total sales volume at 461,334 tonnes, -22.6% yoy. 3M2022 export volume dropped significantly by 44.1% yoy to 197,256 tonnes, which is the main reason for weaker performance in FY6M2022 while 3M2022 domestic total sales volume increased 8.5% yoy to 264,075 tonnes.

The March performance witnessed the continuing revival in domestic sales volume on month-on-month basis. Domestic volume of steel coat recorded 23,645 tonnes (+15.2% mom, +19.7% yoy) and steel pipes volume posted 16,470 tonnes (+7.1% mom and -22.7% yoy). Export is still the important driver for growth in 3M22.

The March performance witnessed the strong demand for most steel products, especially, construction steel and HRC ones. Export is the important drivers for growth in 3M22, in which, construction steel export volume grew 151% yoy to 369,943 tonnes.

On April 19, Novaland held Annual General Meeting which gave the audience a walkthrough of the 2022F business expansion plan. Despite being missed the 2021 guidance at 54.2%/84.4% of revenue and NPATMI, NVL still set up prosperous targets with a VND35.9tn revenue, +141% yoy and a VND3.5tn NPAT, +88% yoy. Based on management's guidance of 2022F profit, 12MF PE is 45.7 times and 12MF PB is 4.2 times, significantly higher than the 1-year median PE of 35.5x but slightly lower than PB of 4.5x.

Last week, trading activity dropped across the covered warrant market, down 34% WoW. Besides, foreign trading activity was also decreased and the market continued to end up to be net sold.

According to Insurance Association of Viet Nam (IAV), 2M21 total life premium was pegged at VND21,888bn (+17.2% yoy). In detail, the premium of renewal contract led the industry growth with VND15,829bn (32%yoy), offset by the tepid premium of new placement contract with VND6,059bn (-9.5% yoy). Non-life insurance premium surged to VND11,248bn (+15.3% yoy) with positive growth rate from health insurance, motor vehicle and P&C insurance. On the other side, the increasing trend of both deposit rates and bond yields will secure the investment income of insurance companies as the majority of insurance companies’ financial assets are in the form of bank term deposits and bond (both government and corporate).

Selling pressure increases in the short term, implying the downside risk is still intact. Therefore, traders should wait for the next signals and stay on the sidelines. The strong support is a 1,430-1,440 pts zone. The VNIndex may rebound when retesting it.

Long position on VN30F2204 should be closed. Traders should stay on the sidelines and wait for the reaction of this instrument at 1,470 pts area.

Foreign demand ticked up. Buying activity focused on Consumer Discretionary and Industrials whilst large sell orders were placed on Financials and Materials. With ETF flow, money inflow has come back to Vietnam, driven by the stable demand on domestic ETFs (VFMVN Diamond and VNFIN Lead ETF).