12
September
Market commentary: Bottom fishing
Despite the recovery, the VNIndex still closes below the 1,250-pts threshold. That means the index shows the bearish signals. Therefore, traders should reduce long positions and wait for next signals.
12
September
Despite the recovery, the VNIndex still closes below the 1,250-pts threshold. That means the index shows the bearish signals. Therefore, traders should reduce long positions and wait for next signals.
12
September
Long VN30F2209 if there is the breakout at 1,300 pts zone, stop the loss if there is the closing price below 1,280 pts level. (Hourly chart)
12
September
The 1,250 pts area is retested with the increase of demand. In this case, investors could increase the current position on leading stocks. However, margin level should be kept at low level due to the existence medium-term downtrend.
09
September
The Consumer Price Index (CPI) is a measure of the average change over time in the prices paid by urban consumers for a market basket of consumer goods and services. Indexes are available for the U.S. and various geographic areas. The CPI is widely used by financial market participants to gauge inflation and by the Federal Reserve to calibrate its monetary policy. Businesses and consumers also use the CPI to make informed economic decisions. Since CPI measures the change in consumers' purchasing power, it is often a key factor in pay negotiations.
09
September
PAN estimates 3Q22F business results with a VND3,643bn revenue (+13% qoq and +43% yoy) and a VND140bn NPAT (-39% qoq and +92% yoy). The gross margin could fall from 21% in 2Q22 to 18% in 3Q22F due to expensive input material prices. Overall, PAN could record a VND9,815bn revenue (53.3% yoy) and a VND537bn NPAT (131.7% yoy), fulfilling 69/65% of their annual guidance in 9M22F.
09
September
Flat-steel sector has overperformed the broader market throughout 2021 as they have benefitted from global supply disruption caused by COVID-19. In 2022, however, we reiterate a Neutral rating on the Flat-steel sector as we see multiple headwinds upcoming amid high-inflation and central banks' policies concerns.
09
September
Although there is the sharp decline, VN30F2209 keeps respecting the range bound as well as the demand zone is approached. If the range is held, trading point would be invalid. In this case, traders should stay on the sidelines and wait for accurate trading point.
09
September
Based on the second losing session, the downtrend may confirm in the short term. Therefore, traders should reduce long positions and wait for next signals.
08
September
The prelim export turnover of Vietnam’s textile and garment remained robust with a growth of 51.1% yoy and 8.7% mom, reaching USD4bn in August. The US persisted as the largest textile and garment importer with a USD1.74bn, +31.6% yoy/-3.0% mom, accounting for 43.6% of Vietnam's total textile and garment export value. Overall, in 8M22, Vietnam’s textile and garment export turnover soared 24.5% yoy to USD26.3bn.
08
September
Although there is the sharp decline, VN30F2209 keeps respecting the range bound. If the range is held, trading point would be invalid. In this case, traders should stay on the sidelines and wait for accurate trading point.
15
March
Regarding the impact of the global commodity price surge on Vietnam CPI, we estimate that the current value of Brent price could push 2022 inflation to exceed the government target of 4%, mainly through the consumption channel. However, implementing well-established tools allows the Vietnam government to mitigate external shocks proactively. To sum up, we forecast that the global commodity surge would create temporary pressure on Vietnam inflation.
27
December
Key factors that drive the stock market to rise in 2022 include: (1) the Vietnam economy recovering and strong growth in 2022 and (2) new money will continue to flow into the stock market as new cash flows into stock markets and new money comes from capital flows of securities companies to margin.
09
November
A record plunge in Vietnam’s economy in 3Q21 has threatened economic prospects in the medium and long term growth. The government is standing in a right place to mitigate the lingering impact of the current outbreak and the next ones if they take appropriate actions in an appropriate timing and appropriate way. Recent macro and policy developments are signaling that the ongoing economic recovery would be smooth and sound, but it needs a booster shot, a sufficiently large fiscal relief package, to accelerate recovery momentum and help economic growth back on track. From our view, the “Economic Recovery and Development” fiscal support package, if successfully passed, would be a key to unlocking the full potential of the economic recovery.
26
July
Amid a widespread COVID-19 delta attack in the Southeast Asia region, Vietnam is stepping into the worst outbreak in both its health and economic impacts. Although the government actively deployed various solutions to follow the twin target that effectively controls the pandemic and promotes socio-economic development, the negative impact of economic recovery is inevitable. We predict that the COVID-19 economic impacts on domestic consumption and production levels would be partly reflected in oncoming macroeconomic updates under strict lockdowns nationwide.
18
June
Surging commodity prices and increasing inflation recently pose a considerable risk to global economic stability. However, the majority of global economists and monetary policymakers just saw this phenomenon as a transitory factor, and this trend would eventually reverse to a normal track in the medium- and long- term. Regarding Vietnam's situation, we saw a stable demand-supply balance in major commodities and well-controlled price conditions. The inflation shock in the near term, if it happens, would be expected to be transient and bear a little risk to the economic stability.
