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01
June
Daily derivatives: Intraday correction phase
Long position on VN30F2206 should be held and stop the loss when there is the closing price below 1,270 pts level. (Hourly chart)
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» Derivatives » Futures
31
May
Daily derivatives: Minor pullback is needed
Long position on VN30F2206 should be held and stop the loss when there is the closing price below 1,250 pts level. For better entry, traders could wait for the minor pullback and capture the long positions near 1,300 pts level and stop the loss when there is the closing price below 1,250 pts level. (Hourly chart)
29
May
Daily derivatives: 1,300 pts zone is broken
Long VN30F2206 after ATO session and stop the loss when there is the closing price below 1,250 pts level. For better entry, traders could wait for the minor pullback and capture the long positions near 1,300 pts level and stop the loss when there is the closing price below 1,250 pts level. (Hourly chart)
27
May
Daily derivatives: Intraday range bound
The instrument is expected to fluctuate within 1,200-1,300 pts zone due to the low probability for piercing 1,200 pts level as well as breaking 1,300 pts zone accurately. Thus, traders should continue to stay on the sidelines and wait for the next accurate trading signal which would come after the consolidation/fluctuation phase.
26
May
Daily derivatives: Retest the solid sell zone (1,300 pts area)
The instrument is expected to fluctuate within 1,200-1,300 pts zone due to the low probability for piercing 1,200 pts level as well as breaking 1,300 pts zone accurately. Thus, traders should continue to stay on the sidelines and wait for the next accurate trading signal which would come after the consolidation/fluctuation phase.
25
May
Daily derivatives: Range bound steps in
The instrument is expected to fluctuate within 1,200-1,300 pts zone due to the low probability for piercing 1,200 pts level. Thus, traders should continue to stay on the sidelines and wait for the next accurate trading signal which would come after the consolidation/fluctuation phase.
24
May
Daily derivatives: Selling pressure is still strong
The instrument is expected to fluctuate within 1,200-1,300 pts zone due to the low probability for piercing 1,200 pts level. Thus, traders should continue to stay on the sidelines and wait for the next accurate trading signal which would come after the consolidation/fluctuation phase.
22
May
Daily derivatives: High fluctuation trading period
Consolidation phase has stepped in which provides time for demand accumulation phase. Thus, traders should continue to stay on the sidelines and wait for the next accurate trading signal which would come after the consolidation/fluctuation phase.
20
May
Daily derivatives: Consolidation phase steps in
Consolidation phase has stepped in which provides time for demand accumulation phase. Thus, traders should stay on the sidelines and wait for the next accurate trading signal which would come after the consolidation/fluctuation phase.
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Regarding the impact of the global commodity price surge on Vietnam CPI, we estimate that the current value of Brent price could push 2022 inflation to exceed the government target of 4%, mainly through the consumption channel. However, implementing well-established tools allows the Vietnam government to mitigate external shocks proactively. To sum up, we forecast that the global commodity surge would create temporary pressure on Vietnam inflation.
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December
Outlook 2022 – The Big Uptrend
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09
November
Time to bet on economic recovery?
A record plunge in Vietnam’s economy in 3Q21 has threatened economic prospects in the medium and long term growth. The government is standing in a right place to mitigate the lingering impact of the current outbreak and the next ones if they take appropriate actions in an appropriate timing and appropriate way. Recent macro and policy developments are signaling that the ongoing economic recovery would be smooth and sound, but it needs a booster shot, a sufficiently large fiscal relief package, to accelerate recovery momentum and help economic growth back on track. From our view, the “Economic Recovery and Development” fiscal support package, if successfully passed, would be a key to unlocking the full potential of the economic recovery.
26
July
Fragile hope of recovery path under the worst outbreak
Amid a widespread COVID-19 delta attack in the Southeast Asia region, Vietnam is stepping into the worst outbreak in both its health and economic impacts. Although the government actively deployed various solutions to follow the twin target that effectively controls the pandemic and promotes socio-economic development, the negative impact of economic recovery is inevitable. We predict that the COVID-19 economic impacts on domestic consumption and production levels would be partly reflected in oncoming macroeconomic updates under strict lockdowns nationwide.
18
June
INFLATION: A transient or long-lasting shock?
Surging commodity prices and increasing inflation recently pose a considerable risk to global economic stability. However, the majority of global economists and monetary policymakers just saw this phenomenon as a transitory factor, and this trend would eventually reverse to a normal track in the medium- and long- term. Regarding Vietnam's situation, we saw a stable demand-supply balance in major commodities and well-controlled price conditions. The inflation shock in the near term, if it happens, would be expected to be transient and bear a little risk to the economic stability.