The middle-income trap is closely tied to economic growth, so if growth doesn’t stay high and for decades and there is not high income per capita, the nation will fall into the middle income trap, said Deputy Director of the Central Institute of Economic Management (CIEM) Nguyen Thi Tue Anh.
Policy is one of the most important factors to promote industrial development, she said.
Vietnam is also facing challenges in overcoming the middle-income trap requiring suitable management from the Government, she said.
According to Deputy Director of the General Economics Department under the Party Central Committee’s Economic Commission Hoang Truong Giang, the labour force and workers’ skills are hugely important, so Vietnam must improve labour productivity of workers and enterprises.
Ngo Minh Tuan, a CIEM researcher, said Vietnam must focus on developing several fundamental industries and meeting the demand for basic means of production in the economy.
Vietnam also needs to focus on developing support industries, strengthening links between multinational corporations and domestic enterprises, forming support industrial complexes and linking commodity chains, he said.
Tue Anh said so far, only a few countries have overcome the middle-income trap. According to the CIEM’s research, productivity growth is a decisive factor in Vietnam’s solutions on overcoming the middle-income trap, with support from reforms of technology and institution.
The Government has directed economic restructuring towards industrialisation and transformation from agricultural economy to industrial economy, aiming to increase labour productivity and income per capita as well as to upgrade all industrial sectors.
First of all, the processing and manufacturing industry produces higher value-added and more complicated products and increase labour productivity, she said.
In addition, the Government has employed a solution to restructure the manufacturing and processing industry from producing consumer goods such as food, garment, tobacco and wood, to capital goods such as chemicals and metals, machinery and equipment and motor vehicles.
According to Tue Anh, the Government, the authorities need to find ways to mobilise maximum potential and take advantage of opportunities for focusing on support industrial development, wit a focus on the private sector.