Key solutions and tasks for the remainder of 2019
– Boosting improvement of regulatory frameworks in order to create a more business-friendly climate for enterprises and investors;
– Improving the business climate, with true reduction of business conditions, reform of administrative procedures, and removal of bottlenecks for enterprises;
– Implementing solutions to control epidemics in cattle and poultry and stabilise agricultural production, and furthering agro-forestry-fishery production in service of export;
– Removing difficulties for industrial production and construction, and accelerating the completion of large-scale industrial projects which can further fuel economic growth;
– Implementing solutions for making breakthroughs in the domestic market and expanding export markets;
– Monitoring and frequently updating information about the domestic property market, and improving the quality of information and database about the housing and property market;
– Developing tourism in order to help further develop the production and service sectors;
– Further attracting private investment and foreign direct investment, with a focus to be laid on accelerating the disbursement of public investment for 2019; and
– Boosting media activities to further strengthen the confidence of people, enterprises, and investors in production and business.
Rather than discussions of many different issues at the same time as in previous sessions, the seventh session of the 14th National Assembly is to place a bigger focus on specific measures to boost economic growth, which the government said is showing signs of slowing down, and about how Vietnamese enterprises can be supported to overcome obstacles.
At last month’s Standing Committee meeting, which made preparations for the session taking place between May 20 and June 14, Minister of Planning and Investment Nguyen Chi Dung said, “Besides achievements, the economy is now facing difficulties and limitations, as well as new challenges.”
“Challenges include ongoing natural calamities and epidemics which can affect enterprises’ business and production in the coming months, and the government’s capacity in realising its growth target for 2019,” he said. “These will need suitable and feasible solutions to solve.”
National Assembly Office Chairman, General Secretary Nguyen Hanh Phuc, also stated, “It is urgent to take drastic and concrete solutions now to help businesses out of difficulties, in order to ensure the economic growth target this year.”
The government, which expects to see the economy grow over 7 per cent this year, is acknowledging concerns on how to achieve this target.
The government reported that in the first quarter of 2019, the economy grew 6.79 per cent, lower than 7.45 per cent in the same period last year. In which, growth in all key sectors of the economy has showed signals of sluggish movement.
Specifically, in the first three months of 2019, the agro-forestry-fishery sector climbed 2.68 per cent on-year, far lower than the 4.24 per cent on-year rise in the corresponding period last year, due to droughts, saline intrusion, and cases of African swine fever (ASF).
According to the Department of Animal Health under the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Development, as of May 12, ASF occurred in nearly 2,300 communes of 204 districts across 29 cities and provinces nationwide, with more than 1.22 million ASF-hit pigs being culled, accounting for 4 per cent of Vietnam’s total pig heads.
PATCHY RESULTS
The government reported that the industrial and construction sector is also now facing difficulties. In the first four months of 2019, the sector grew 9.2 per cent on-year, lower than the equivalent rise of 10.7 per cent in the same period last year.
The processing and manufacturing sector, which accounts for about 80 per cent of the economy’s industrial growth, grew 10.9 per cent on-year, lower than 12.9 per cent in the same period of 2018.
Market research firm FiinPro Platform reported that as of May 2, some 680 Vietnamese enterprises, which occupy 87 per cent of the capital of the country’s stock market, publicised their first-quarter financial reports. Accordingly, if banking and insurance firms are excluded, listed enterprises in general suffered from an on-year 2.34 per cent profit reduction, such as Pomina Steel (down 140 per cent) and Hoa Phat (down 18.6 per cent) due to a decrease in product prices.
Pomina Steel, for example, is reported to have suffered from a loss of nearly VND84 billion ($3.65 million) in the first quarter of 2019. Meanwhile in the first three months of 2018, the company enjoyed a profit of over VND209 billion ($9 million).
According to the General Statistics Office, in the first four months of 2019, the number of enterprises halting performance was about 17,000, up nearly 20 per cent on-year. Additionally, nearly 17,300 enterprises put a halt to operations to conduct bankruptcy procedures, and over 5,300 enterprises completed such procedures.
Meanwhile, the on-year growth rate in attracting international tourists in the first four months of 2019 was only 7.6 per cent (5.97 million international tourists), far lower than the impressive growth rate of 29.5 per cent in the same period last year.
“These difficulties must receive due attention from the government and must be carefully discussed at the National Assembly’s upcoming session,” said Vu Hong Thanh, Chairman of the National Assembly Economic Committee. “The government needs to increase inspections at ministries and localities in order to ensure the effectiveness of the government’s efforts to remove unnecessary business conditions, and boost administrative procedures in favour of the business community.”
SEEKING SOLUTIONS
The government has subsequently proposed a number of key solutions for supporting enterprises and economic development from now to the end of the year (see box).
However, Thanh added, “I think that one of the best solutions to support enterprises is to quickly remove unnecessary administrative procedures across all business sectors, especially investment, construction, transport, and education.”
“All processes must be truly made transparent and open, with all violators strictly punished in order to eradicate unofficial costs for people and enterprises,” he continued. “Also importantly, private enterprises must be allowed to engage in constructing national-level projects.”
Elsewhere, the World Bank has pointed out a series of challenges for Vietnam to seek solutions. According to the bank, despite improved short-term prospects, there are significant downside risks. Domestically, a slowdown in the restructuring of state-owned enterprises and the banking sector could adversely impact the macro-financial situation and create public sector liabilities.
A World Bank report on Vietnam’s recently-released economic update said, “Vietnam’s economy also remains susceptible to further volatile developments in the global economy, given its high trade openness and relatively limited fiscal and monetary policy buffers. Weaker external demand and heightened global financial volatility call for a continued focus on sound macroeconomic management to safeguard against possible shocks.”
DISSCUSSING LAWS
According to the tentative agenda of the National Assembly’s seventh session, one of the biggest highlights will be the three days spent on organising Q&A activities. They are expected to focus on issues that have drawn special attention of the public, such as appointment of state officials and officers, exam fraud, public investment, and also cases involving officials with violations.
Along with that, the legislature will consider and adopt seven laws, including Education (amended), Architecture, Tax Administration (amended), amendments to the Law on Public Investment, Implementation of Criminal Sentences (amended), Preventing and Combating Harmful Effects of Alcohol and Beer, and amendments to the Law on Insurance Business and the Law on Intellectual Property.
State President Nguyen Phu Trong will read out a proposal on Vietnam’s joining of the Convention No.98 on the Right to Organise and Collective Bargaining of the International Labour Organization. The National Assembly will then discuss Vietnam’s participation in the convention, before a relevant hallmark resolution will be adopted. Besides, the legislature will provide comment for nine draft laws on labour, securities, library, militia and self-defence forces, immigration for Vietnamese citizens, amendments to the Law on Governmental Organisation and the Law on organising the Local Government, amendments to the Law on Cadres and Civil Servants, and amendments to the Law on State Auditing.
The legislature will also review and debate a report on the socio-economic and state budget situation of 2018, and of the first months of 2019, as well as socio-economic orientations for the rest of the year and beyond.