04
May
Daily derivatives: Forming the short-term uptrend
Buy VN30F2104 if it has opening price higher 1,300-pts threshold and stop the loss when 1,280 pts level is pierced.
04
May
Buy VN30F2104 if it has opening price higher 1,300-pts threshold and stop the loss when 1,280 pts level is pierced.
29
April
The economic condition continued going more favorable in April as production, trade, and consumption activities recover further compared to the same period last year. Besides, CPI upward pressure became softer this month when the uptrend in world commodity prices become less aggressive. Hence, we indicate that the macroeconomic conditions generally remain stable in this month.
29
April
The market sentiment has become optimistic thanks to the high demand on large-cap stocks. Moreover, the uptrend is still maintained in the wider time frame as well as 1,200 pts level will set the strong demand zone for the market. In this case, investors should buy leading stocks when VNIndex positively reacted with this area.
29
April
The current contraction is a consolidation in the long-term uptrend. Therefore, traders should hold the current positions and buy more on the first pullback (when the 1,200-pts zone is retested).
29
April
TCB 1Q21 controlling-interest NP reached VND4,397bn, up 79% yoy and 11.2% qoq with upbeat sound across all business lines. NIM kept expanding to 5.9% thanks to high CASA ratio and low deposit rates while non-interest income stream is still growing. Given that, 2021F NP is upgraded by 30% to VND18.4tn. We raise TP to VND50,400 and reaffirm BUY.
29
April
Based on the high demand on ATC session, the market sentiment has become optimistic in the short term. Moreover, the uptrend is still maintained in wider time frame as well as 1,200 pts level will set the strong demand zone for the market. In this case, investors should buy leading stocks when VNIndex positively reacted with this area.
29
April
Long VN30F2105 after ATO session and stop the loss when there is the closing price below 1,260 pts level (Hourly time frame).
29
April
Vinhomes reported an exciting 1Q21 revenue growth of 99.2% yoy to VND12.9tn mainly driven by the property revenue growth of 75.2% yoy to VND10tn, equivalent to 2,900 units handed in 1Q21. However, net profit growth was below at -21.2% yoy to VND5.4tn due to the absence of a VND8.3tn financial income from bulk sale transactions recorded in 1Q20.
28
April
The company sets moderate guidance of a VND1.2tn net profit, 4% yoy and VND4.8tn revenue, 6% yoy. The commence of delivery of Lovera Vista condo project (1,145 units) in tandem with the delivery of remaining Safira condo units drives the FY21F revenue growth. Per management, three projects could be launched to the housing market including 1) a 4.3ha townhouse project (158 units) in Dist 9, 2) a 5.7ha townhouse project in Dist 2 and 3) a 1.8ha condo project (1,100 units) in Binh Tan Dist
28
April
The collapse on Monday has confirmed the short-term correction phase as well as the followed consolidation phase has shown no signal for the rebound. However, uptrend is still maintained in wider time frame as well as 1,200 pts level will set the strong demand zone for the market. In this case, investors should buy leading stocks when VNIndex positively reacted with this area.
15
March
Regarding the impact of the global commodity price surge on Vietnam CPI, we estimate that the current value of Brent price could push 2022 inflation to exceed the government target of 4%, mainly through the consumption channel. However, implementing well-established tools allows the Vietnam government to mitigate external shocks proactively. To sum up, we forecast that the global commodity surge would create temporary pressure on Vietnam inflation.
27
December
Key factors that drive the stock market to rise in 2022 include: (1) the Vietnam economy recovering and strong growth in 2022 and (2) new money will continue to flow into the stock market as new cash flows into stock markets and new money comes from capital flows of securities companies to margin.
09
November
A record plunge in Vietnam’s economy in 3Q21 has threatened economic prospects in the medium and long term growth. The government is standing in a right place to mitigate the lingering impact of the current outbreak and the next ones if they take appropriate actions in an appropriate timing and appropriate way. Recent macro and policy developments are signaling that the ongoing economic recovery would be smooth and sound, but it needs a booster shot, a sufficiently large fiscal relief package, to accelerate recovery momentum and help economic growth back on track. From our view, the “Economic Recovery and Development” fiscal support package, if successfully passed, would be a key to unlocking the full potential of the economic recovery.
26
July
Amid a widespread COVID-19 delta attack in the Southeast Asia region, Vietnam is stepping into the worst outbreak in both its health and economic impacts. Although the government actively deployed various solutions to follow the twin target that effectively controls the pandemic and promotes socio-economic development, the negative impact of economic recovery is inevitable. We predict that the COVID-19 economic impacts on domestic consumption and production levels would be partly reflected in oncoming macroeconomic updates under strict lockdowns nationwide.
18
June
Surging commodity prices and increasing inflation recently pose a considerable risk to global economic stability. However, the majority of global economists and monetary policymakers just saw this phenomenon as a transitory factor, and this trend would eventually reverse to a normal track in the medium- and long- term. Regarding Vietnam's situation, we saw a stable demand-supply balance in major commodities and well-controlled price conditions. The inflation shock in the near term, if it happens, would be expected to be transient and bear a little risk to the economic stability.