31
May
Market commentary: Banking in the spotlight
In the short term, the uptrend is still intact thanks to the high demand on Banking stocks. Hence, traders can hold their long position and focus on leading stocks.
31
May
In the short term, the uptrend is still intact thanks to the high demand on Banking stocks. Hence, traders can hold their long position and focus on leading stocks.
31
May
The macroeconomic conditions in May become less favorable than in April due to the ongoing outbreak and a global shock of surging commodity prices. Stricter mobility restrictions put heavy pressure on FDI and retail sales performance this month. On the other side, surging global commodity prices are considered the main factor in lifting inflation in May. Furthermore, the trade balance recorded the second consecutive deficit, attributable to the rising import price. However, a modest recovery in the industrial sector somewhat lightens the macroeconomic picture under many internal and external uncertainties.
31
May
Last week, foreign selling pressure has started to drop. Breaking down by sectors, selling activity mainly focused on Materials, Financials, and Real Estate whilst Energy and Consumer Staples attracted the most foreign demand. With ETF flow, Vietnam continued to be divested. Particularly, the money outflow was mainly contributed by the divestment across VFMVN Diamond and SSIAM VNFIN Lead ETF.
31
May
Buy VN30F2106 at 1,450-1,460 pts area and stop the loss when there is the closing price below 1,435 pts.
28
May
In the short term, the uptrend is still intact because of optimistic market sentiment. In addition, the VNIndex closes above the 1,300-pts threshold. Hence, traders can hold their long position and focus on leading stocks.
28
May
As mentioned above, the uptrend in the long and short term is still intact. Therefore, investors should continue to hold leading stocks and should not decrease the proportion of those candidates.
28
May
Traders should stay on the sidelides and buy only when there is the accurate trigger point.
28
May
Alibaba Group and Baring invested USD400mn, equivalent to 5.5% ownership of The CrownX as of end-April. CrownX aims to build LazMall e-commerce platform co-operated by Lazada Vietnam. Besides, MSN acquired 20% stake of Phuc Long Heritage in May and is eyeing building Phuc Long Kiosks (store in-store concept) inside VinMart+.
27
May
Despite the contraction, the uptrend is still intact in the short term as the index closes above the 1,300-pts threshold. Hence, traders can hold their long position and focus on leading stocks.
27
May
Based on data of 26 May, we expect that FTSE Vietnam ETF will add HSG in the 3Q21, while it will exclude DXG in this quarterly review. Besides, VanEck Vectors Vietnam ETF will not remove ticker but add HSG and PDR in this quarterly review.
15
March
Regarding the impact of the global commodity price surge on Vietnam CPI, we estimate that the current value of Brent price could push 2022 inflation to exceed the government target of 4%, mainly through the consumption channel. However, implementing well-established tools allows the Vietnam government to mitigate external shocks proactively. To sum up, we forecast that the global commodity surge would create temporary pressure on Vietnam inflation.
27
December
Key factors that drive the stock market to rise in 2022 include: (1) the Vietnam economy recovering and strong growth in 2022 and (2) new money will continue to flow into the stock market as new cash flows into stock markets and new money comes from capital flows of securities companies to margin.
09
November
A record plunge in Vietnam’s economy in 3Q21 has threatened economic prospects in the medium and long term growth. The government is standing in a right place to mitigate the lingering impact of the current outbreak and the next ones if they take appropriate actions in an appropriate timing and appropriate way. Recent macro and policy developments are signaling that the ongoing economic recovery would be smooth and sound, but it needs a booster shot, a sufficiently large fiscal relief package, to accelerate recovery momentum and help economic growth back on track. From our view, the “Economic Recovery and Development” fiscal support package, if successfully passed, would be a key to unlocking the full potential of the economic recovery.
26
July
Amid a widespread COVID-19 delta attack in the Southeast Asia region, Vietnam is stepping into the worst outbreak in both its health and economic impacts. Although the government actively deployed various solutions to follow the twin target that effectively controls the pandemic and promotes socio-economic development, the negative impact of economic recovery is inevitable. We predict that the COVID-19 economic impacts on domestic consumption and production levels would be partly reflected in oncoming macroeconomic updates under strict lockdowns nationwide.
18
June
Surging commodity prices and increasing inflation recently pose a considerable risk to global economic stability. However, the majority of global economists and monetary policymakers just saw this phenomenon as a transitory factor, and this trend would eventually reverse to a normal track in the medium- and long- term. Regarding Vietnam's situation, we saw a stable demand-supply balance in major commodities and well-controlled price conditions. The inflation shock in the near term, if it happens, would be expected to be transient and bear a little risk to the economic stability.