21
June
Last week, foreign selling pressure was faded and the market ended up to be net bought. Breaking down by sectors, selling activity mainly focused on Financials, Materials and Industrials whilst Energy and Real Estate attracted the most foreign demand. With ETF flow, Vietnam was divested due to the divestment across VFMVN Diamond and Fubon FTSE Vietnam.
21
June
Buy VN30F2107 after ATO session with minimum position size and stop the loss only when there is the closing price below 1,450 pts level. (Hourly time frame)
21
June
Based on the breakout, the VNIndex confirmed the long-term uptrend. That implies that traders can increase long positions and focusing on leading stocks.
21
June
As mentioned above, the long-term uptrend is in place and there is the short-term stable bullish momentum. In this case, investors should hold the current positions and new positions (captured at 1,300 pts zone) on leading stocks.
18
June
Surging commodity prices and increasing inflation recently pose a considerable risk to global economic stability. However, the majority of global economists and monetary policymakers just saw this phenomenon as a transitory factor, and this trend would eventually reverse to a normal track in the medium- and long- term. Regarding Vietnam's situation, we saw a stable demand-supply balance in major commodities and well-controlled price conditions. The inflation shock in the near term, if it happens, would be expected to be transient and bear a little risk to the economic stability.
18
June
Traders should stay on the sidelines and wait for the valid buy point with good risk/reward ratio.
18
June
Despite the recovery, the selling pressure is still intact at high prices. Therefore, the traders should be careful and wait for more signals
17
June
We expect that foreign ETFs will sell HPG, VRE, and SBT the most with 11.4 million, 8.2 million and 7.1 million shares. On the buy-side, STB, POW, and HSG will be bought heavily with 22.8 million, 9.6 million, and 5.3 million shares.
17
June
Market sentiment has become cautious in the short term because of selling pressure at a high price. Therefore, the traders should be careful and wait for more signals.
17
June
Notably, the instrument is expired on this trading day and there is high probability for the unexpected volatility to occur. Traders should stay on the sidelines and wait for the valid buy point with good risk/reward ratio.
15
March
Regarding the impact of the global commodity price surge on Vietnam CPI, we estimate that the current value of Brent price could push 2022 inflation to exceed the government target of 4%, mainly through the consumption channel. However, implementing well-established tools allows the Vietnam government to mitigate external shocks proactively. To sum up, we forecast that the global commodity surge would create temporary pressure on Vietnam inflation.
27
December
Key factors that drive the stock market to rise in 2022 include: (1) the Vietnam economy recovering and strong growth in 2022 and (2) new money will continue to flow into the stock market as new cash flows into stock markets and new money comes from capital flows of securities companies to margin.
09
November
A record plunge in Vietnam’s economy in 3Q21 has threatened economic prospects in the medium and long term growth. The government is standing in a right place to mitigate the lingering impact of the current outbreak and the next ones if they take appropriate actions in an appropriate timing and appropriate way. Recent macro and policy developments are signaling that the ongoing economic recovery would be smooth and sound, but it needs a booster shot, a sufficiently large fiscal relief package, to accelerate recovery momentum and help economic growth back on track. From our view, the “Economic Recovery and Development” fiscal support package, if successfully passed, would be a key to unlocking the full potential of the economic recovery.
26
July
Amid a widespread COVID-19 delta attack in the Southeast Asia region, Vietnam is stepping into the worst outbreak in both its health and economic impacts. Although the government actively deployed various solutions to follow the twin target that effectively controls the pandemic and promotes socio-economic development, the negative impact of economic recovery is inevitable. We predict that the COVID-19 economic impacts on domestic consumption and production levels would be partly reflected in oncoming macroeconomic updates under strict lockdowns nationwide.
18
June
Surging commodity prices and increasing inflation recently pose a considerable risk to global economic stability. However, the majority of global economists and monetary policymakers just saw this phenomenon as a transitory factor, and this trend would eventually reverse to a normal track in the medium- and long- term. Regarding Vietnam's situation, we saw a stable demand-supply balance in major commodities and well-controlled price conditions. The inflation shock in the near term, if it happens, would be expected to be transient and bear a little risk to the economic stability.
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