19
July
Despite the second recovery in a row, the downside risk is still intact in the short term due to the selling signal of a rising wedge pattern. Notably, the market sentiment has become cautious as the volatility increases. Therefore, traders should be careful and reduce the position.
19
July
The captured long positions on VN30F2108 at 1,435 pts should not be closed, set 1,500 pts area as the profit target and stop the loss immediately if there is the closing price below 1,410 pts (Hourly chart).
18
July
As mentioned above, the long-term uptrend is confirmed but it has turned to dormant due to the short-term downward swing. In this case, investors should continue to hold the current positions and buy more if the 1,200 pts zone is retested.
16
July
Buy VN30F2108 after ATO session, set 1,500 pts area as the profit target and stop the loss immediately if there is the closing price below 1,410 pts (Hourly chart).
15
July
Despite the recovery, the downtrend is still intact due to the selling signal of a rising wedge pattern. Notably, the market sentiment has become cautious as the volatility increases. Therefore, traders should be careful and reduce the position.
15
July
Traders should stay on the sidelines and wait for the upcoming contract which will provide the valid trading point for the next market leg.
15
July
In the short term, the downtrend is still intact because of the selling pressure on large-cap stocks. Notably, the market sentiment has become cautious as the volatility increases. Therefore, traders should be careful and reduce the position.
14
July
Buy VN30F2107 after ATO session, set the profit target at 1,540 pts and stop the loss immediately when there is the closing price below 1,430 pts level (Hourly chart).
13
July
Despite the rebound, the downtrend is still intact in the short term. Notably, the market sentiment has become cautious as the volatility increases. Therefore, traders should be careful and reduce the position.
13
July
1,400 pts level is reached as well as there is the surge of demand around this level. In this case, new short positions are risky and there is no signal for buyer. Thus, traders should continue to stay on the sidelines and wait for the valid entry point.
15
March
Regarding the impact of the global commodity price surge on Vietnam CPI, we estimate that the current value of Brent price could push 2022 inflation to exceed the government target of 4%, mainly through the consumption channel. However, implementing well-established tools allows the Vietnam government to mitigate external shocks proactively. To sum up, we forecast that the global commodity surge would create temporary pressure on Vietnam inflation.
27
December
Key factors that drive the stock market to rise in 2022 include: (1) the Vietnam economy recovering and strong growth in 2022 and (2) new money will continue to flow into the stock market as new cash flows into stock markets and new money comes from capital flows of securities companies to margin.
09
November
A record plunge in Vietnam’s economy in 3Q21 has threatened economic prospects in the medium and long term growth. The government is standing in a right place to mitigate the lingering impact of the current outbreak and the next ones if they take appropriate actions in an appropriate timing and appropriate way. Recent macro and policy developments are signaling that the ongoing economic recovery would be smooth and sound, but it needs a booster shot, a sufficiently large fiscal relief package, to accelerate recovery momentum and help economic growth back on track. From our view, the “Economic Recovery and Development” fiscal support package, if successfully passed, would be a key to unlocking the full potential of the economic recovery.
26
July
Amid a widespread COVID-19 delta attack in the Southeast Asia region, Vietnam is stepping into the worst outbreak in both its health and economic impacts. Although the government actively deployed various solutions to follow the twin target that effectively controls the pandemic and promotes socio-economic development, the negative impact of economic recovery is inevitable. We predict that the COVID-19 economic impacts on domestic consumption and production levels would be partly reflected in oncoming macroeconomic updates under strict lockdowns nationwide.
18
June
Surging commodity prices and increasing inflation recently pose a considerable risk to global economic stability. However, the majority of global economists and monetary policymakers just saw this phenomenon as a transitory factor, and this trend would eventually reverse to a normal track in the medium- and long- term. Regarding Vietnam's situation, we saw a stable demand-supply balance in major commodities and well-controlled price conditions. The inflation shock in the near term, if it happens, would be expected to be transient and bear a little risk to the economic stability.
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