18
October
Long positions on VN30F2110 (captured at 1,457 pts zone) should be held and stop the loss when there is the closing price below 1,450 pts level (Hourly chart). For new long positions, traders should wait for the pullback to trigger the positions or wait for the valid buy point on the upcoming contract (VN30F2111).
18
October
Foreign selling activity kept overwhelming. Selling pressure focused on Consumer Staples, Financials, and Real Estate whilst Industrials attracted the most foreign demand across the market. With ETF flow, Vietnam experienced the outflow, mainly driven by the divestment on Fubon FTSE Vietnam and VFMVN Diamond ETF.
18
October
Long positions on VN30F2110 (captured at 1,457 pts zone) should not be closed and stop the loss when there is the closing price below 1,450 pts level (Hourly chart). For new long positions, traders should wait for the pullback to trigger the positions.
18
October
In the short term, market sentiment has become cautious as the VNIndex retests the 1,400-pts threshold. However, the uptrend is still intact in the short term, thanks to the breakout signal at 1,380 pts. Therefore, the traders should increase their long position and focus on leading stocks.
18
October
In this situation, traders should increase their long position and focus on leading sector because of the flag pattern. However, the long-term uptrend is still intact. Hence, the contraction is the opportunity to accumulate stocks for long-term positions at significant supports such as the 1,300-pts threshold.
15
October
Long positions on VN30F2110 (captured at 1,457 pts zone) should not be closed and stop the loss when there is the closing price below 1,435 pts level (Hourly chart). For new long positions, traders need to wait for valid buy point after the consolidation phase and should not chasing the momentum.
15
October
Market sentiment has become cautious in the last three sessions as the VNIndex retests the 1,400-pts threshold. However, the uptrend is still intact in the short term, thanks to the breakout signal at the 1,380 pts. Therefore, the traders should increase their long position and focus on leading stocks.
14
October
Long positions on VN30F2110 (captured at 1,457 pts zone) should not be closed and stop the loss when there is the closing price below 1,435 pts level (Hourly chart). For new long positions, traders need to wait for valid buy point after the consolidation phase and should not chasing the momentum.
14
October
Despite the second contraction in a row, the uptrend is still intact in the short term as the VNIndex breaks out the Aug peak at 1,380 pts. Therefore, the traders should increase their long position and focus on leading stocks.
13
October
Long positions on VN30F2110 (captured at 1,457 pts zone) should not be closed and stop the loss when there is the closing price below 1,435 pts level (Hourly chart). For new long positions, traders need to wait for the pullback to trigger the positions in order to have the favorable risk/reward trade.
15
March
Regarding the impact of the global commodity price surge on Vietnam CPI, we estimate that the current value of Brent price could push 2022 inflation to exceed the government target of 4%, mainly through the consumption channel. However, implementing well-established tools allows the Vietnam government to mitigate external shocks proactively. To sum up, we forecast that the global commodity surge would create temporary pressure on Vietnam inflation.
27
December
Key factors that drive the stock market to rise in 2022 include: (1) the Vietnam economy recovering and strong growth in 2022 and (2) new money will continue to flow into the stock market as new cash flows into stock markets and new money comes from capital flows of securities companies to margin.
09
November
A record plunge in Vietnam’s economy in 3Q21 has threatened economic prospects in the medium and long term growth. The government is standing in a right place to mitigate the lingering impact of the current outbreak and the next ones if they take appropriate actions in an appropriate timing and appropriate way. Recent macro and policy developments are signaling that the ongoing economic recovery would be smooth and sound, but it needs a booster shot, a sufficiently large fiscal relief package, to accelerate recovery momentum and help economic growth back on track. From our view, the “Economic Recovery and Development” fiscal support package, if successfully passed, would be a key to unlocking the full potential of the economic recovery.
26
July
Amid a widespread COVID-19 delta attack in the Southeast Asia region, Vietnam is stepping into the worst outbreak in both its health and economic impacts. Although the government actively deployed various solutions to follow the twin target that effectively controls the pandemic and promotes socio-economic development, the negative impact of economic recovery is inevitable. We predict that the COVID-19 economic impacts on domestic consumption and production levels would be partly reflected in oncoming macroeconomic updates under strict lockdowns nationwide.
18
June
Surging commodity prices and increasing inflation recently pose a considerable risk to global economic stability. However, the majority of global economists and monetary policymakers just saw this phenomenon as a transitory factor, and this trend would eventually reverse to a normal track in the medium- and long- term. Regarding Vietnam's situation, we saw a stable demand-supply balance in major commodities and well-controlled price conditions. The inflation shock in the near term, if it happens, would be expected to be transient and bear a little risk to the economic stability.
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