11
April
Based on the third losing session, the VNIndex shows downside risks. Notably, the index closes below the 10-period moving average. That means the signals lose consensus. Hence, traders should be careful if the market still shows negative signals.
10
April
Foreign demand slowed down whilst selling pressure stayed at high level, pushing the market to ended up to be net sold. Net sell value was USD33mn. With ETF flow, outflow was active across Vietnam, ending the 4 consecutive weeks of inflow. Outflow was USD2mn. Notably, outflow has spread among major ETFs and demand on Fubon ETF was paused. There is still not a good sign for the stable inflow and outflow could be active in upcoming weeks.
10
April
Based on the second losing session, the VNIndex shows downside risks in the short term. The signals lose consensus. Hence, traders should be careful if the market still shows negative signals.
10
April
The VNIndex needs more bullish signals to confirm the uptrend because the signals lose consensus.
07
April
Based on a strong losing session, the VNIndex shows downside risks in the short term. The signals lose consensus. Hence, traders should be careful if the market still shows negative signals.
06
April
Based on recovery, the VNIndex shows an uptrend in the short term. Therefore, traders may open small long positions. However, the selling pressure appears at a high level of around 1,100-pts. Hence, traders should be careful if the market shows negative.
05
April
After the VNIndex rises for the ninth consecutive gaining session, the VNIndex shows an uptrend in the short term. Therefore, traders may open small long positions. However, the selling pressure appears at a high level of around 1,100-pts. Therefore, traders should be careful if the market shows negative.
04
April
The VNIndex rises for the ninth consecutive gaining session, showing an uptrend in the short term. Therefore, traders may open small long positions. However, the selling pressure appears at a high level of around 1,100-pts. Therefore, traders should be careful if the market shows negative.
03
April
Foreign demand slowed down whilst selling pressure stayed at high level, pushing the market to ended up to be net sold. Net sell value was USD6mn. With ETF flow, the inflow has been active across Vietnam for 4 consecutive weeks as well as demand stayed at high level. Inflow was USD14mn. Although there was the active inflow, demand focused only on Fubon ETF whilst other major ETFs such as VFMVN30 ETF, VFMVN Diamond, VNFin Lead, and KIM Growth VN30 ETF, FTSE Vietnam experienced the outflow or the insignificant flow of money.
15
March
Regarding the impact of the global commodity price surge on Vietnam CPI, we estimate that the current value of Brent price could push 2022 inflation to exceed the government target of 4%, mainly through the consumption channel. However, implementing well-established tools allows the Vietnam government to mitigate external shocks proactively. To sum up, we forecast that the global commodity surge would create temporary pressure on Vietnam inflation.
27
December
Key factors that drive the stock market to rise in 2022 include: (1) the Vietnam economy recovering and strong growth in 2022 and (2) new money will continue to flow into the stock market as new cash flows into stock markets and new money comes from capital flows of securities companies to margin.
09
November
A record plunge in Vietnam’s economy in 3Q21 has threatened economic prospects in the medium and long term growth. The government is standing in a right place to mitigate the lingering impact of the current outbreak and the next ones if they take appropriate actions in an appropriate timing and appropriate way. Recent macro and policy developments are signaling that the ongoing economic recovery would be smooth and sound, but it needs a booster shot, a sufficiently large fiscal relief package, to accelerate recovery momentum and help economic growth back on track. From our view, the “Economic Recovery and Development” fiscal support package, if successfully passed, would be a key to unlocking the full potential of the economic recovery.
26
July
Amid a widespread COVID-19 delta attack in the Southeast Asia region, Vietnam is stepping into the worst outbreak in both its health and economic impacts. Although the government actively deployed various solutions to follow the twin target that effectively controls the pandemic and promotes socio-economic development, the negative impact of economic recovery is inevitable. We predict that the COVID-19 economic impacts on domestic consumption and production levels would be partly reflected in oncoming macroeconomic updates under strict lockdowns nationwide.
18
June
Surging commodity prices and increasing inflation recently pose a considerable risk to global economic stability. However, the majority of global economists and monetary policymakers just saw this phenomenon as a transitory factor, and this trend would eventually reverse to a normal track in the medium- and long- term. Regarding Vietnam's situation, we saw a stable demand-supply balance in major commodities and well-controlled price conditions. The inflation shock in the near term, if it happens, would be expected to be transient and bear a little risk to the economic stability.
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