04
April
Long VN30F2204 after ATO sessions, and stop the loss when there is the closing price below 1,475 pts level. For better entry, traders could wait the pullback to capture the long positions at 1,500 pts zone. (Hourly chart)
01
April
VN30F2204 keeps respecting the range movement between 1,500 pts and 1,460 pts area. Traders should continue to stay on the sidelines and wait for accurate breakout/breakdown at the key level to avoid false trading signal.
31
March
VN30F2204 keeps respecting the range movement between 1,500 pts and 1,460 pts area. The upcoming market leg is clear if there is the breakout/breakdown at those area. Traders should continue to stay on the sidelines and wait for accurate breakout/breakdown and market noise will continue to increase in upcoming sessions.
30
March
VN30F2204 is following the range movement between 1,500 pts and 1,460 pts area. The upcoming market leg is clear if there is the breakout/breakdown at those area. Traders should continue to stay on the sidelines and wait for accurate breakout/breakdown and market noise will increase in upcoming sessions
29
March
Last week, trading activity is more active across the cover warrant market, up 14% WoW. However, foreign trading activity dropped and continued to be net sold.
29
March
VN30F2204 is having the tendency to retest the 1,460 pts area. Traders should continue to stay on the sidelines and wait for accurate trading signal due to the increase of volatility level in upcoming sessions.
27
March
The 1,500 pts zone is still respected which means the previous bullish swing is not strong enough to fade the downtrend and the next market leg is still unclear. Traders should continue to stay on the sidelines and wait for accurate trading signal due to the increase of volatility level in upcoming sessions.
25
March
The 1,500 pts zone is still respected which means the previous bullish swing is not strong enough to fade the downtrend. Traders should continue to stay on the sidelines and wait for accurate trading signal due to the increase of volatility level in upcoming sessions.
24
March
The rebound phase is strenthened, but the short-term target for this phase is reached (1,500 pts area). Traders should continue to stay on the sidelines and wait for accurate trading signal.
15
March
Regarding the impact of the global commodity price surge on Vietnam CPI, we estimate that the current value of Brent price could push 2022 inflation to exceed the government target of 4%, mainly through the consumption channel. However, implementing well-established tools allows the Vietnam government to mitigate external shocks proactively. To sum up, we forecast that the global commodity surge would create temporary pressure on Vietnam inflation.
27
December
Key factors that drive the stock market to rise in 2022 include: (1) the Vietnam economy recovering and strong growth in 2022 and (2) new money will continue to flow into the stock market as new cash flows into stock markets and new money comes from capital flows of securities companies to margin.
09
November
A record plunge in Vietnam’s economy in 3Q21 has threatened economic prospects in the medium and long term growth. The government is standing in a right place to mitigate the lingering impact of the current outbreak and the next ones if they take appropriate actions in an appropriate timing and appropriate way. Recent macro and policy developments are signaling that the ongoing economic recovery would be smooth and sound, but it needs a booster shot, a sufficiently large fiscal relief package, to accelerate recovery momentum and help economic growth back on track. From our view, the “Economic Recovery and Development” fiscal support package, if successfully passed, would be a key to unlocking the full potential of the economic recovery.
26
July
Amid a widespread COVID-19 delta attack in the Southeast Asia region, Vietnam is stepping into the worst outbreak in both its health and economic impacts. Although the government actively deployed various solutions to follow the twin target that effectively controls the pandemic and promotes socio-economic development, the negative impact of economic recovery is inevitable. We predict that the COVID-19 economic impacts on domestic consumption and production levels would be partly reflected in oncoming macroeconomic updates under strict lockdowns nationwide.
18
June
Surging commodity prices and increasing inflation recently pose a considerable risk to global economic stability. However, the majority of global economists and monetary policymakers just saw this phenomenon as a transitory factor, and this trend would eventually reverse to a normal track in the medium- and long- term. Regarding Vietnam's situation, we saw a stable demand-supply balance in major commodities and well-controlled price conditions. The inflation shock in the near term, if it happens, would be expected to be transient and bear a little risk to the economic stability.
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