Tiếng Việt
普通话
29
December
Daily derivatives: Wait for the valid buying signal
Long VN30F2201 when there is the closing price above 1,530 pts level and stop the loss when there is the closing price below 1,500 pts level (Hourly chart).
Research Center
29
December
Market commentary: A fear about Omicron COVID-19
The VNIndex has approached the 1,500-pts resistance, implying the selling pressure in the short term. Therefore, traders should stay on the sideline and wait for a signal. If they want to trade for the short-term position, they should wait for a breakout for 1,500-pts before opening their long positions.
28
December
Daily derivatives: Upward resumption phase?
Long VN30F2201 when there is the closing price above 1,530 pts level and stop the loss when there is the closing price below 1,500 pts level (Hourly chart).
28
December
Fundflow 20 – 24 Dec: Outflow is not significant
Foreign suppy kept overwhelming. Selling activity focused on Real Estate, Consumer Staples, and Materials. With ETF flow, Vietnam has turned around to be divested, mainly driven by the divestment across VanEck Vietnam ETF.
28
December
Market commentary: Maintain short-term uptrend
Despite the second recovery, the short-term downside risk is still intact. Therefore, traders should stay on the sideline and wait for a signal. If they want to trade for the short-term position, they should wait for a breakout for 1,500-pts before opening their long positions.
27
December
Outlook 2022 – The Big Uptrend
Key factors that drive the stock market to rise in 2022 include: (1) the Vietnam economy recovering and strong growth in 2022 and (2) new money will continue to flow into the stock market as new cash flows into stock markets and new money comes from capital flows of securities companies to margin.
27
December
Daily derivatives: The solid demand zone
Due to the unclear market move and the increase of volatility level, traders should stay on the sidelines and wait for the valid trading signals. All the short positions should be out.
27
December
Chart of the day: High volatility
Traders should stay on the lineside. They should open long positions in the short term if the VNIndex breakout the 1,500-pts threshold. However, the contraction is the opportunity to accumulate stocks for long-term positions at significant supports.
27
December
Market commentary: Banking stocks jump
Despite the sharp recovery, the short-term downside risk is still intact. Therefore, traders should stay on the lineside and wait for a signal. If they want to trade for the short-term position, they should wait for a breakout for 1,500-pts before opening their long positions.
24
December
Market commentary: Sell-off?
Based on the sharp contraction, the short-term downside risk has increased. That implies the bearish market may form. Therefore, traders should stay on the lineside and wait for a signal. If they want to trade for the short-term position, they should wait for a breakout for 1,500-pts before opening their long positions.
Featured Articles
15
March
Point Break
Regarding the impact of the global commodity price surge on Vietnam CPI, we estimate that the current value of Brent price could push 2022 inflation to exceed the government target of 4%, mainly through the consumption channel. However, implementing well-established tools allows the Vietnam government to mitigate external shocks proactively. To sum up, we forecast that the global commodity surge would create temporary pressure on Vietnam inflation.
27
December
Outlook 2022 – The Big Uptrend
Key factors that drive the stock market to rise in 2022 include: (1) the Vietnam economy recovering and strong growth in 2022 and (2) new money will continue to flow into the stock market as new cash flows into stock markets and new money comes from capital flows of securities companies to margin.
09
November
Time to bet on economic recovery?
A record plunge in Vietnam’s economy in 3Q21 has threatened economic prospects in the medium and long term growth. The government is standing in a right place to mitigate the lingering impact of the current outbreak and the next ones if they take appropriate actions in an appropriate timing and appropriate way. Recent macro and policy developments are signaling that the ongoing economic recovery would be smooth and sound, but it needs a booster shot, a sufficiently large fiscal relief package, to accelerate recovery momentum and help economic growth back on track. From our view, the “Economic Recovery and Development” fiscal support package, if successfully passed, would be a key to unlocking the full potential of the economic recovery.
26
July
Fragile hope of recovery path under the worst outbreak
Amid a widespread COVID-19 delta attack in the Southeast Asia region, Vietnam is stepping into the worst outbreak in both its health and economic impacts. Although the government actively deployed various solutions to follow the twin target that effectively controls the pandemic and promotes socio-economic development, the negative impact of economic recovery is inevitable. We predict that the COVID-19 economic impacts on domestic consumption and production levels would be partly reflected in oncoming macroeconomic updates under strict lockdowns nationwide.
18
June
INFLATION: A transient or long-lasting shock?
Surging commodity prices and increasing inflation recently pose a considerable risk to global economic stability. However, the majority of global economists and monetary policymakers just saw this phenomenon as a transitory factor, and this trend would eventually reverse to a normal track in the medium- and long- term. Regarding Vietnam's situation, we saw a stable demand-supply balance in major commodities and well-controlled price conditions. The inflation shock in the near term, if it happens, would be expected to be transient and bear a little risk to the economic stability.