14
July
The stock market remains to gain and surpasses the 1,150-1,160 pts zone which is the significant support zone in the downtrend in 2022. However, this is also the goal point of the rectangle pattern that form before. Therefore, investors should hold a long position and wait for the next signal.
13
July
In this quarterly review, the VN30Index is expected to add SSB and SHB, while remove NVL and PDR. We expect the local ETFs, which use the VN30Index as a benchmark index, to buy SHB and SSB the most with 18.6 million shares and 13.9 million shares. On the sell side, NVL and VPB will be sold heavily with 9.0 million shares and 3.5 million shares.
13
July
The stock market still shows positive signals, as the VNIndex remains to increase and ends above the 10-period moving average. Therefore, investors should open long positions.
12
July
Although the economic performance picked up in 2Q23 in the late stage of the global interest rate hike, we believe that the acceleration of economic activities will need more time to be material due to the insignificant improvement of external factors and the weakening recovery in domestic consumption. On the upside, public investment will continue to be a spotlight in 3Q23 thanks to the government's effort in realizing the significantly higher workload than last year. Investment opportunities exist in Power and Agriculture, Seafood industries that backed by El-Nino and China consumption themes. Besides, crushed stone industry also offers a lucrative choice from 3Q23 for those investors seeking for rising public spending theme. We expect the target range for VNIndex in 2H23 to be 1,260-1,340 points.
12
July
The stock market maintains an uptrend with high liquidity. Additionally, the VNIndex also ends above the 10-period moving average, showing positive signals. Therefore, investors should open long positions.
11
July
The stock market remains to increase strongly with still improved liquidity in the session. Furthermore, the VNIndex successfully surpasses the significant resistance level of 1,140-pts, showing a bullish signal. Therefore, investors should open long positions.
10
July
Outflow on ETFs in Vietnam still maintained, recorded at USD3mn. However ,selling pressure on ETFs in Vietnam gradually decreased and there is an expectation that demand will start to come back on some major ETFs in the coming week
10
July
The stock market reverses to increase and approaches the previous resistance level. In the short term, the uptrend will be consolidated if the VNIndex surpasses the 1,140-pts threshold. Therefore, investors should wait for the next signal to open the long position.
10
July
The rebound phase is confirmed as well as bullish momentum is active. Thus, traders could open the long positions on leading stocks. However, position size should be low due to the active selling pressure near 1,150 pts area.
15
March
Regarding the impact of the global commodity price surge on Vietnam CPI, we estimate that the current value of Brent price could push 2022 inflation to exceed the government target of 4%, mainly through the consumption channel. However, implementing well-established tools allows the Vietnam government to mitigate external shocks proactively. To sum up, we forecast that the global commodity surge would create temporary pressure on Vietnam inflation.
27
December
Key factors that drive the stock market to rise in 2022 include: (1) the Vietnam economy recovering and strong growth in 2022 and (2) new money will continue to flow into the stock market as new cash flows into stock markets and new money comes from capital flows of securities companies to margin.
09
November
A record plunge in Vietnam’s economy in 3Q21 has threatened economic prospects in the medium and long term growth. The government is standing in a right place to mitigate the lingering impact of the current outbreak and the next ones if they take appropriate actions in an appropriate timing and appropriate way. Recent macro and policy developments are signaling that the ongoing economic recovery would be smooth and sound, but it needs a booster shot, a sufficiently large fiscal relief package, to accelerate recovery momentum and help economic growth back on track. From our view, the “Economic Recovery and Development” fiscal support package, if successfully passed, would be a key to unlocking the full potential of the economic recovery.
26
July
Amid a widespread COVID-19 delta attack in the Southeast Asia region, Vietnam is stepping into the worst outbreak in both its health and economic impacts. Although the government actively deployed various solutions to follow the twin target that effectively controls the pandemic and promotes socio-economic development, the negative impact of economic recovery is inevitable. We predict that the COVID-19 economic impacts on domestic consumption and production levels would be partly reflected in oncoming macroeconomic updates under strict lockdowns nationwide.
18
June
Surging commodity prices and increasing inflation recently pose a considerable risk to global economic stability. However, the majority of global economists and monetary policymakers just saw this phenomenon as a transitory factor, and this trend would eventually reverse to a normal track in the medium- and long- term. Regarding Vietnam's situation, we saw a stable demand-supply balance in major commodities and well-controlled price conditions. The inflation shock in the near term, if it happens, would be expected to be transient and bear a little risk to the economic stability.
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