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09
October
Daily derivatives: Demand is still weak
Sell positions on VN30F2310 should be held and stop the loss when there is the closing price above 1,160 pts level (Hourly time frame).
Research Center
» Derivatives » Futures
06
October
Daily derivatives: Keep holding the short positions
Sell positions on VN30F2310 should be held and stop the loss when there is the closing price above 1,160 pts level (Hourly time frame).
05
October
Daily derivatives: Selling point is ready
Sell VN30F2310 after ATO session and stop the loss when there is the closing price above 1,160 pts level (Hourly time frame).
04
October
Daily derivatives: Breaking 1,160 pts zone
The opening gap on 22 Sep provided the bad entry point for the VN30F2310. Thus, new short positions are risky and selling point carries bad risk/reward ratio. Oversold condition is reached as well as volatile period is active. Thus, traders should stay on the sidelines and wait for the favorable trading point.
03
October
Daily derivatives: Selling point is not ready
Open interest stays below 50,000 contracts, implying the slowdown of bearish momentum. Oversold condition is reached as well as volatile period is active. New short positions are risky and selling point carries bad risk/reward ratio. Thus, traders should stay on the sidelines and wait for the favorable trading point.
02
October
Daily derivatives: Rebound phase is needed
Oversold condition is reached as well as volatile period is active. New short positions are risky and selling point carries bad risk/reward ratio. Thus, traders should stay on the sidelines and wait for the favorable trading point.
29
September
Daily derivatives: Bearish momentum is still active
Oversold condition is reached as well as volatile period is active. New short positions are risky and selling point carries bad risk/reward ratio. Thus, traders should stay on the sidelines and wait for the favorable trading point.
28
September
Daily derivatives: Open interest stays at high level
Oversold condition is reached as well as volatile period is active. New short positions are risky and selling point carries bad risk/reward ratio. Thus, traders should stay on the sidelines and wait for the favorable trading point.
27
September
Daily derivatives: Heading to 1,100 pts zone
Oversold condition is reached as well as volatile period is active. New short positions are risky and selling point carries bad risk/reward ratio. Thus, traders should stay on the sidelines and wait for the favorable trading point.
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Regarding the impact of the global commodity price surge on Vietnam CPI, we estimate that the current value of Brent price could push 2022 inflation to exceed the government target of 4%, mainly through the consumption channel. However, implementing well-established tools allows the Vietnam government to mitigate external shocks proactively. To sum up, we forecast that the global commodity surge would create temporary pressure on Vietnam inflation.
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December
Outlook 2022 – The Big Uptrend
Key factors that drive the stock market to rise in 2022 include: (1) the Vietnam economy recovering and strong growth in 2022 and (2) new money will continue to flow into the stock market as new cash flows into stock markets and new money comes from capital flows of securities companies to margin.
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November
Time to bet on economic recovery?
A record plunge in Vietnam’s economy in 3Q21 has threatened economic prospects in the medium and long term growth. The government is standing in a right place to mitigate the lingering impact of the current outbreak and the next ones if they take appropriate actions in an appropriate timing and appropriate way. Recent macro and policy developments are signaling that the ongoing economic recovery would be smooth and sound, but it needs a booster shot, a sufficiently large fiscal relief package, to accelerate recovery momentum and help economic growth back on track. From our view, the “Economic Recovery and Development” fiscal support package, if successfully passed, would be a key to unlocking the full potential of the economic recovery.
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July
Fragile hope of recovery path under the worst outbreak
Amid a widespread COVID-19 delta attack in the Southeast Asia region, Vietnam is stepping into the worst outbreak in both its health and economic impacts. Although the government actively deployed various solutions to follow the twin target that effectively controls the pandemic and promotes socio-economic development, the negative impact of economic recovery is inevitable. We predict that the COVID-19 economic impacts on domestic consumption and production levels would be partly reflected in oncoming macroeconomic updates under strict lockdowns nationwide.
18
June
INFLATION: A transient or long-lasting shock?
Surging commodity prices and increasing inflation recently pose a considerable risk to global economic stability. However, the majority of global economists and monetary policymakers just saw this phenomenon as a transitory factor, and this trend would eventually reverse to a normal track in the medium- and long- term. Regarding Vietnam's situation, we saw a stable demand-supply balance in major commodities and well-controlled price conditions. The inflation shock in the near term, if it happens, would be expected to be transient and bear a little risk to the economic stability.