24
March
Based on the second contraction session, the market sentiment has become cautious in the short term. If the VNIndex breaks down the 1,150-pts threshold, the rectangle pattern will be confirmed. In this case, the 1,100-pts zone is the target price in the short term. Therefore, traders should be careful and wait for the confirmation signals.
23
March
Selling pressure appears on large-cap stocks. That implies the downside risk is still intact as the VNIndex approaches the 1,200-pts threshold. Until VNIndex breaks the threshold, traders should be careful and wait for the confirmation signals.
23
March
In the short term, the market sentiment has become cautious. That shows the downside risk is still intact as the VNIndex approaches the 1,200-pts threshold. Until VNIndex breaks the threshold, traders should be careful and wait for the confirmation signals.
22
March
Based on the contraction, the market sentiment has become cautious in the short term. That implies the downside risk is still intact. Until VNIndex breaks the 1,200-pts threshold, traders should be careful and wait for the confirmation signals.
18
March
Despite the sharp recovery, the VNIndex has not broken out the 1,200-pts threshold. Therefore, the downside risk is still intact. Until then, traders should be careful and wait for the breakout to confirm the bullish market.
18
March
Despite the recovery, the downside risk is still intact because of the selling pressure of foreigners. Moreover, the index reaches the 1,200-pts threshold, which is the strong resistance. Therefore, traders should be careful and wait for the next signal to confirm the current trend.
17
March
The VNIndex still moves in a tight range, imply the cautious market sentiment. Besides, the downside risk is still intact because the index reaches the 1,200-pts threshold. Therefore, traders should be careful and wait for the next signal to confirm the current trend.
15
March
The downside risk is still intact because the VNIndex reaches the 1,200-pts threshold. Therefore, traders should be careful and wait for the next signal to confirm the current trend.
12
March
In the short term, the downside risk is still intact because the VNIndex reaches the 1,200-pts threshold. Therefore, traders should be careful and wait for the next signal to confirm the current trend.
15
March
Regarding the impact of the global commodity price surge on Vietnam CPI, we estimate that the current value of Brent price could push 2022 inflation to exceed the government target of 4%, mainly through the consumption channel. However, implementing well-established tools allows the Vietnam government to mitigate external shocks proactively. To sum up, we forecast that the global commodity surge would create temporary pressure on Vietnam inflation.
27
December
Key factors that drive the stock market to rise in 2022 include: (1) the Vietnam economy recovering and strong growth in 2022 and (2) new money will continue to flow into the stock market as new cash flows into stock markets and new money comes from capital flows of securities companies to margin.
09
November
A record plunge in Vietnam’s economy in 3Q21 has threatened economic prospects in the medium and long term growth. The government is standing in a right place to mitigate the lingering impact of the current outbreak and the next ones if they take appropriate actions in an appropriate timing and appropriate way. Recent macro and policy developments are signaling that the ongoing economic recovery would be smooth and sound, but it needs a booster shot, a sufficiently large fiscal relief package, to accelerate recovery momentum and help economic growth back on track. From our view, the “Economic Recovery and Development” fiscal support package, if successfully passed, would be a key to unlocking the full potential of the economic recovery.
26
July
Amid a widespread COVID-19 delta attack in the Southeast Asia region, Vietnam is stepping into the worst outbreak in both its health and economic impacts. Although the government actively deployed various solutions to follow the twin target that effectively controls the pandemic and promotes socio-economic development, the negative impact of economic recovery is inevitable. We predict that the COVID-19 economic impacts on domestic consumption and production levels would be partly reflected in oncoming macroeconomic updates under strict lockdowns nationwide.
18
June
Surging commodity prices and increasing inflation recently pose a considerable risk to global economic stability. However, the majority of global economists and monetary policymakers just saw this phenomenon as a transitory factor, and this trend would eventually reverse to a normal track in the medium- and long- term. Regarding Vietnam's situation, we saw a stable demand-supply balance in major commodities and well-controlled price conditions. The inflation shock in the near term, if it happens, would be expected to be transient and bear a little risk to the economic stability.
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