18
9月
Daily derivatives: Range bound period
Long positions on VN30F2309 should be held and stop the loss when there is the closing price below 1,220 pts level (Hourly chart).
18
9月
Long positions on VN30F2309 should be held and stop the loss when there is the closing price below 1,220 pts level (Hourly chart).
18
9月
Although the stock market increases slightly again with liquidity at a normal level, the downside risk around the important resistance zone of 1,240-1,250 pts is still present. Therefore, investors should stand aside and carefully observe the next movements of the market.
15
9月
Long positions on VN30F2309 should be held and stop the loss when there is the closing price below 1,220 pts level (Hourly chart).
15
9月
The stock market has a 3rd loss session in the week with liquidity at a high level. This shows investors' sentiment towards the market is relatively cautious and the downside risk is still intact. Therefore, investors should stand aside and carefully observe the next movements of the market.
14
9月
Long positions on VN30F2309 should be held and stop the loss when there is the closing price below 1,220 pts level (Hourly chart).
14
9月
The S&P Global Vietnam Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) rose to 50.5 in August 2023 from 48.7 in the prior month. This was the first increase in factory activity since February, as output, new orders, and foreign sales all returned to expansion. Overall, the PMI's return to growth in August is a welcome development for the Vietnamese economy. It suggests that the manufacturing sector is recovering and is well-positioned to contribute to the country's economic growth in the coming months.
14
9月
Selling pressure intensifies again during the session with liquidity increasing suddenly, causing the VNIndex to continue encounter difficulties approaching the strong resistance zone again. That means the downside risk is still present. Therefore, investors should stand aside and carefully observe the next movements of the market.
13
9月
Long positions on VN30F2309 should be held and stop the loss when there is the closing price below 1,220 pts level (Hourly chart).
13
9月
The stock market losses strongly during the session due to profit-taking activities vibrancy again in the afternoon. Furthermore, the liquidity suddenly rises, indicating investors' caution sentiment as the VNIndex approaches the important resistance zone of 1,240-1,250 pts. However, the uptrend is still intact when this index closes above the 20-period moving average. Therefore, investors should stand aside and observe the next movements of the market.
12
9月
The stock market losses strongly during the session due to profit-taking activities vibrancy again in the afternoon. Furthermore, the liquidity suddenly rises, indicating investors' caution sentiment as the VNIndex approaches the important resistance zone of 1,240-1,250 pts. However, the uptrend is still intact when this index closes above the 20-period moving average. Therefore, investors should stand aside and observe the next movements of the market.
24
8月
U.S July Retail sales and Vietnam T&G exports According to the latest data from the U.S. Census Bureau, retail sales in the U.S. increased by 0.7% MoM in July of 2023, marking a fourth consecutive rise, and beating market forecasts of a 0.4% increase. In more detail, US clothing store sales grew 1.34% YoY in July, slightly decelerated from 2.69% in June, but remain higher than the one-year slowest growth of 0.32% in April. The potential upturn in US clothing sales, given a relatively strong correlation with Vietnam T&G exports, subsequently benefiting this export sector in the latter half of 2023.
02
8月
July’s data revealed a substantial improvement in economic activities with a softer decline in export turnover, an improving industrial production, and a renewed acceleration in retail sales. On one hand, U.S. consumers tend to regain their confidence during the late phase of the global interest rate hike, fastening the resolution of the overstocking and consequently promoting Vietnam’s export activities. On the other hand, retail sales recorded a higher growth rate than in June coupled with moderate inflation after a series of easing fiscal policies, likely reflecting an expanding demand. We predict economic performance to improve further next month due to softening external headwinds and expanding domestic demand.
28
7月
Although the economic performance picked up in 2Q23 in the late stage of the global interest rate hike, we believe that the acceleration of economic activities will need more time to be material due to the insignificant improvement of external factors and the weakening recovery in domestic consumption. On the upside, public investment will continue to be a spotlight in 3Q23 thanks to the government's effort in realizing the significantly higher workload than last year. In addition, the well-controlled inflation and stable exchange rate provide more space for the monetary authority to follow the easing tendency in the next quarter.
13
7月
Although the economic performance picked up in 2Q23 in the late stage of the global interest rate hike, we believe that the acceleration of economic activities will need more time to be material due to the insignificant improvement of external factors and the weakening recovery in domestic consumption. On the upside, public investment will continue to be a spotlight in 3Q23 thanks to the government's effort in realizing the significantly higher workload than last year. Investment opportunities exist in Power and Agriculture, Seafood industries that backed by El-Nino and China consumption themes. Besides, crushed stone industry also offers a lucrative choice from 3Q23 for those investors seeking for rising public spending theme. We expect the target range for VNIndex in 2H23 to be 1,260-1,340 points.
30
6月
GSO’s June report shows a slight acceleration in economic performance for the second quarter of 2023. Although the economic growth surpassed the downgraded market assessment, it is far from the expected value in the eco-socio tasks. For the latest update in June, export activities deteriorated under the persistent slowdown in the consumption of Vietnam’s major trading partners, showing challenges for the economy to speed up. Regarding domestic factors, the recovery momentum in post-pandemic exhausted with retail sales much lower than the potential level. In the short term, we predict public investment will mainly support economic growth before material improvement in external factors occurs.