18
May
Market commentary: HPG limits up
The market sentiment has become optimistic as the sharp rebound of the VNIndex. The short-term downside risk has reduced. Therefore, traders can increase long positions and focus on leading stocks.
18
May
The market sentiment has become optimistic as the sharp rebound of the VNIndex. The short-term downside risk has reduced. Therefore, traders can increase long positions and focus on leading stocks.
18
May
Last week, foreign buying activities increased dramatically, recorded a net buy value of USD91.1mn, a one-year high. In this scenario, money outflow across Vietnam decreased slightly, recorded a net outflow at USD0.4mn. Of which, VFMVN30 ETF and SSIAM VNFIN LEAD attracted money inflow whilst X FTSE and VanEck Vietnam ETF were the main contributors for the outflow of money.
18
May
Power Construction No.1 reported 1Q20 NPAT of VND93bn, up 5.9% YoY. This result is attributed to handover of Thanh Xuan project to cover poor performance of power generation segment. We expect PCC1 has a long-term prospect based on the growth of power generation to improve earnings quality so that we remain our BUY recommendation
15
May
We expect brighter domestic market post pandemic and favorable milk input price will strengthen profit growth in the coming quarters. Therefore, we maintain BUY for VNM share with TP of VND124,400. Total expected return is 16%.
15
May
In 2Q20, we believe the strong recovery of export to China, thanks to Chinese re-opening, to offset the decrease of export to the U.S. Furthermore, we expect negative impact of COVID-19 pandemic will fade away in Vinh Hoan’s top three export markets from 3Q20. Therefore, we maintain BUY for VHC share with TP of VND37,800. Total expected return is 23%.
15
May
In this scenario, the tightening phase or correction period this week will provide the opportunities for investors to earn price advantages or re-enter the market. Therefore, investors can hold their long positions and focus on leading stocks.
15
May
Despite the contraction in the last week, the short-term uptrend has been still intact because of the breakout of the VNIndex, closing above the significant threshold of 800 pts. Therefore, traders can increase long positions and focus on leading stocks.
15
May
Long positions captured at 760 pts zone should let profit run with upside target at 830 pts. For new positions, long VN30F2005 at 780 pts zone when the upper threshold is broken, take profit at 830 pts and stoploss at 760 pts.
15
May
We retain our BUY rating with a RNAV-based TP of VND90,000, thanks to its leading and dominant position in the Vietnam market in both land bank and execution aspects. Its flexible sales strategy in combining retail and bulk sales seems to help the firm withstand market headwinds, maintaining constant pre-sale activities and earnings growth.
15
May
Despite the cautious sentiment, the uptrend has been still intact in the short term. Therefore, traders can increase long positions and focus on leading stocks.
15
March
Regarding the impact of the global commodity price surge on Vietnam CPI, we estimate that the current value of Brent price could push 2022 inflation to exceed the government target of 4%, mainly through the consumption channel. However, implementing well-established tools allows the Vietnam government to mitigate external shocks proactively. To sum up, we forecast that the global commodity surge would create temporary pressure on Vietnam inflation.
27
December
Key factors that drive the stock market to rise in 2022 include: (1) the Vietnam economy recovering and strong growth in 2022 and (2) new money will continue to flow into the stock market as new cash flows into stock markets and new money comes from capital flows of securities companies to margin.
09
November
A record plunge in Vietnam’s economy in 3Q21 has threatened economic prospects in the medium and long term growth. The government is standing in a right place to mitigate the lingering impact of the current outbreak and the next ones if they take appropriate actions in an appropriate timing and appropriate way. Recent macro and policy developments are signaling that the ongoing economic recovery would be smooth and sound, but it needs a booster shot, a sufficiently large fiscal relief package, to accelerate recovery momentum and help economic growth back on track. From our view, the “Economic Recovery and Development” fiscal support package, if successfully passed, would be a key to unlocking the full potential of the economic recovery.
26
July
Amid a widespread COVID-19 delta attack in the Southeast Asia region, Vietnam is stepping into the worst outbreak in both its health and economic impacts. Although the government actively deployed various solutions to follow the twin target that effectively controls the pandemic and promotes socio-economic development, the negative impact of economic recovery is inevitable. We predict that the COVID-19 economic impacts on domestic consumption and production levels would be partly reflected in oncoming macroeconomic updates under strict lockdowns nationwide.
18
June
Surging commodity prices and increasing inflation recently pose a considerable risk to global economic stability. However, the majority of global economists and monetary policymakers just saw this phenomenon as a transitory factor, and this trend would eventually reverse to a normal track in the medium- and long- term. Regarding Vietnam's situation, we saw a stable demand-supply balance in major commodities and well-controlled price conditions. The inflation shock in the near term, if it happens, would be expected to be transient and bear a little risk to the economic stability.