10
December
Market commentary: ACB in the spotlight
Based on the optimistic sentiment, short-term uptrend is dominant. Thus, traders should hold their long position and focus on leading stocks.
10
December
Based on the optimistic sentiment, short-term uptrend is dominant. Thus, traders should hold their long position and focus on leading stocks.
09
December
Long positions captured at 995 pts zone should not be closed, riding the bull until it ends and out the positions when 995 pts level is broken.
09
December
We upgrade to BUY following inclusion of FE Credit IPO at TP of VND 37,033. Since the third virus spread in Vietnam is contained promptly and we believe that all sides have been included COVID-19 variable into modeling, our base case assumption is that VPB is able to divest 49% stake of FE Credit at 3.00x PB in 2021.
08
December
Long positions captured at 995 pts zone should not be closed, riding the bull until it ends and stop a loss when 990 pts level is broken.
08
December
Despite the contraction, the short-term uptrend is dominant as the VNIndex closed above all significant thresholds. Thus, traders should hold their long position and focus on leading stocks.
08
December
Excess liquidity in the banking system, due to a slowdown in bank lending, has been driving interbank rates and G-bond yields to historic low levels, of which some rates have stayed near-zero level for a long time. However, a surge in credit growth in November may give an early signal that liquidity conditions in the banking system would not as easing as before, which could reverse a super low-rate environment in the fixed-income markets.
08
December
Last week, selling activities slowed down. Breaking down by sectors, selling activities focused on Industrials, Consumer Discretionary, and Utilities whilst Real Estate, Financials, and Consumer Staples were accumulated the most. Regarding to ETF flow, Vietnam maintained the positive flow of money thanks to VFMVN Diamond ETF which attracted the total of USD24.2mn last week.
08
December
Buy VN30F2012 at 994-995 pts zone, take a profit at 1,000 pts and stop a loss when 990 pts level is broken.
08
December
The market sentiment has become optimistic in the short term, implying the uptrend of VNIndex. Thus, traders should hold their long position and focus on leading stocks.
04
December
We raise our target price (TP) for MSN share by 27% to VND94,000/share but downgrade to Hold from BUY as MSN share price has jumpt by 62% over the last two months. Our TP increase is driven by rolling price recommendation to the end of 2021 and the increase of our estimate for Masan Group’s 2021 NPAT post-MI on the back of higher earning forecasts for all four core business segments.
15
March
Regarding the impact of the global commodity price surge on Vietnam CPI, we estimate that the current value of Brent price could push 2022 inflation to exceed the government target of 4%, mainly through the consumption channel. However, implementing well-established tools allows the Vietnam government to mitigate external shocks proactively. To sum up, we forecast that the global commodity surge would create temporary pressure on Vietnam inflation.
27
December
Key factors that drive the stock market to rise in 2022 include: (1) the Vietnam economy recovering and strong growth in 2022 and (2) new money will continue to flow into the stock market as new cash flows into stock markets and new money comes from capital flows of securities companies to margin.
09
November
A record plunge in Vietnam’s economy in 3Q21 has threatened economic prospects in the medium and long term growth. The government is standing in a right place to mitigate the lingering impact of the current outbreak and the next ones if they take appropriate actions in an appropriate timing and appropriate way. Recent macro and policy developments are signaling that the ongoing economic recovery would be smooth and sound, but it needs a booster shot, a sufficiently large fiscal relief package, to accelerate recovery momentum and help economic growth back on track. From our view, the “Economic Recovery and Development” fiscal support package, if successfully passed, would be a key to unlocking the full potential of the economic recovery.
26
July
Amid a widespread COVID-19 delta attack in the Southeast Asia region, Vietnam is stepping into the worst outbreak in both its health and economic impacts. Although the government actively deployed various solutions to follow the twin target that effectively controls the pandemic and promotes socio-economic development, the negative impact of economic recovery is inevitable. We predict that the COVID-19 economic impacts on domestic consumption and production levels would be partly reflected in oncoming macroeconomic updates under strict lockdowns nationwide.
18
June
Surging commodity prices and increasing inflation recently pose a considerable risk to global economic stability. However, the majority of global economists and monetary policymakers just saw this phenomenon as a transitory factor, and this trend would eventually reverse to a normal track in the medium- and long- term. Regarding Vietnam's situation, we saw a stable demand-supply balance in major commodities and well-controlled price conditions. The inflation shock in the near term, if it happens, would be expected to be transient and bear a little risk to the economic stability.