21
July
The market closes around the reference point thanks to the bottom-fishing demand in the afternoon. Besides, liquidity decreases in the session, showing that profit-talking pressure is not strong. Therefore, investors should hold long positions and wait for the next signal.
20
July
The stock market only experiences a slight decline with improved liquidity, indicating that investors' hesitation is still present. Inflow remains relatively cautious after a series of consecutive gain sessions, while profit-taking pressure remains weak. Nevertheless, the uptrend maintains a positive signal as the VNIndex still ends above the 50-period moving average. Therefore, investors should hold long positions and focus on leading stocks.
19
July
The market slows down however the VNIndex still ends in the green territory, indicating the investors' hesitation sentiment. Moreover, the downside risk is still present around the 1,180-1,200 pts zone. Therefore, investors should hold long positions and wait for the next signals.
18
July
The stock market remains to increase with the 7th consecutive increase session. It is likely that short-term profit-taking activities will appear the next time, around the 1,180-1,200 pts zone. However, the uptrend is still positive when the VNIndex maintains to close above the 50-period moving average. Therefore, investors should hold long positions and wait for the next signals.
17
July
The stock market has 6th consecutive increase session with high liquidity. Additionally, the market appears to demand at lower price levels, indicating positive signals. However, the downside risk may present around the 1,180-1,200 pts zone. Therefore, investors should hold long positions and wait for the next signal.
14
July
The stock market remains to gain and surpasses the 1,150-1,160 pts zone which is the significant support zone in the downtrend in 2022. However, this is also the goal point of the rectangle pattern that form before. Therefore, investors should hold a long position and wait for the next signal.
13
July
The stock market still shows positive signals, as the VNIndex remains to increase and ends above the 10-period moving average. Therefore, investors should open long positions.
12
July
The stock market maintains an uptrend with high liquidity. Additionally, the VNIndex also ends above the 10-period moving average, showing positive signals. Therefore, investors should open long positions.
11
July
The stock market remains to increase strongly with still improved liquidity in the session. Furthermore, the VNIndex successfully surpasses the significant resistance level of 1,140-pts, showing a bullish signal. Therefore, investors should open long positions.
15
March
Regarding the impact of the global commodity price surge on Vietnam CPI, we estimate that the current value of Brent price could push 2022 inflation to exceed the government target of 4%, mainly through the consumption channel. However, implementing well-established tools allows the Vietnam government to mitigate external shocks proactively. To sum up, we forecast that the global commodity surge would create temporary pressure on Vietnam inflation.
27
December
Key factors that drive the stock market to rise in 2022 include: (1) the Vietnam economy recovering and strong growth in 2022 and (2) new money will continue to flow into the stock market as new cash flows into stock markets and new money comes from capital flows of securities companies to margin.
09
November
A record plunge in Vietnam’s economy in 3Q21 has threatened economic prospects in the medium and long term growth. The government is standing in a right place to mitigate the lingering impact of the current outbreak and the next ones if they take appropriate actions in an appropriate timing and appropriate way. Recent macro and policy developments are signaling that the ongoing economic recovery would be smooth and sound, but it needs a booster shot, a sufficiently large fiscal relief package, to accelerate recovery momentum and help economic growth back on track. From our view, the “Economic Recovery and Development” fiscal support package, if successfully passed, would be a key to unlocking the full potential of the economic recovery.
26
July
Amid a widespread COVID-19 delta attack in the Southeast Asia region, Vietnam is stepping into the worst outbreak in both its health and economic impacts. Although the government actively deployed various solutions to follow the twin target that effectively controls the pandemic and promotes socio-economic development, the negative impact of economic recovery is inevitable. We predict that the COVID-19 economic impacts on domestic consumption and production levels would be partly reflected in oncoming macroeconomic updates under strict lockdowns nationwide.
18
June
Surging commodity prices and increasing inflation recently pose a considerable risk to global economic stability. However, the majority of global economists and monetary policymakers just saw this phenomenon as a transitory factor, and this trend would eventually reverse to a normal track in the medium- and long- term. Regarding Vietnam's situation, we saw a stable demand-supply balance in major commodities and well-controlled price conditions. The inflation shock in the near term, if it happens, would be expected to be transient and bear a little risk to the economic stability.
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