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19
April
Market commentary: Slight recovery
Despite the second recovery, the downside risk is still intact because of high selling pressure at a high level. Hence, traders should be careful if the market still shows negative signals.
Research Center
» Investment Strategy » Daily Commentary
13
April
Market commentary: Cautious sentiment
The VNIndex shows downside risks due to cautious sentiment. Notably, the index closes below the 10-period moving average. That means the signals lose consensus. Hence, traders should be careful if the market still shows negative signals.
12
April
Market commentary: Intraday rebound
Despite the rebound, the VNIndex shows downside risks. Notably, the index closes below the 10-period moving average. That means the signals lose consensus. Hence, traders should be careful if the market still shows negative signals.
11
April
Market commentary: Bearish market?
Based on the third losing session, the VNIndex shows downside risks. Notably, the index closes below the 10-period moving average. That means the signals lose consensus. Hence, traders should be careful if the market still shows negative signals.
10
April
Market commentary: Cash flows into Brokerage
Based on the second losing session, the VNIndex shows downside risks in the short term. The signals lose consensus. Hence, traders should be careful if the market still shows negative signals.
07
April
Market commentary: Strong profit-taking?
Based on a strong losing session, the VNIndex shows downside risks in the short term. The signals lose consensus. Hence, traders should be careful if the market still shows negative signals.
06
April
Market commentary: Resume uptrend
Based on recovery, the VNIndex shows an uptrend in the short term. Therefore, traders may open small long positions. However, the selling pressure appears at a high level of around 1,100-pts. Hence, traders should be careful if the market shows negative.
05
April
Market commentary: Consolidation phase?
After the VNIndex rises for the ninth consecutive gaining session, the VNIndex shows an uptrend in the short term. Therefore, traders may open small long positions. However, the selling pressure appears at a high level of around 1,100-pts. Therefore, traders should be careful if the market shows negative.
04
April
Market commentary: Optimistic sentiment
The VNIndex rises for the ninth consecutive gaining session, showing an uptrend in the short term. Therefore, traders may open small long positions. However, the selling pressure appears at a high level of around 1,100-pts. Therefore, traders should be careful if the market shows negative.
Featured Articles
15
March
Point Break
Regarding the impact of the global commodity price surge on Vietnam CPI, we estimate that the current value of Brent price could push 2022 inflation to exceed the government target of 4%, mainly through the consumption channel. However, implementing well-established tools allows the Vietnam government to mitigate external shocks proactively. To sum up, we forecast that the global commodity surge would create temporary pressure on Vietnam inflation.
27
December
Outlook 2022 – The Big Uptrend
Key factors that drive the stock market to rise in 2022 include: (1) the Vietnam economy recovering and strong growth in 2022 and (2) new money will continue to flow into the stock market as new cash flows into stock markets and new money comes from capital flows of securities companies to margin.
09
November
Time to bet on economic recovery?
A record plunge in Vietnam’s economy in 3Q21 has threatened economic prospects in the medium and long term growth. The government is standing in a right place to mitigate the lingering impact of the current outbreak and the next ones if they take appropriate actions in an appropriate timing and appropriate way. Recent macro and policy developments are signaling that the ongoing economic recovery would be smooth and sound, but it needs a booster shot, a sufficiently large fiscal relief package, to accelerate recovery momentum and help economic growth back on track. From our view, the “Economic Recovery and Development” fiscal support package, if successfully passed, would be a key to unlocking the full potential of the economic recovery.
26
July
Fragile hope of recovery path under the worst outbreak
Amid a widespread COVID-19 delta attack in the Southeast Asia region, Vietnam is stepping into the worst outbreak in both its health and economic impacts. Although the government actively deployed various solutions to follow the twin target that effectively controls the pandemic and promotes socio-economic development, the negative impact of economic recovery is inevitable. We predict that the COVID-19 economic impacts on domestic consumption and production levels would be partly reflected in oncoming macroeconomic updates under strict lockdowns nationwide.
18
June
INFLATION: A transient or long-lasting shock?
Surging commodity prices and increasing inflation recently pose a considerable risk to global economic stability. However, the majority of global economists and monetary policymakers just saw this phenomenon as a transitory factor, and this trend would eventually reverse to a normal track in the medium- and long- term. Regarding Vietnam's situation, we saw a stable demand-supply balance in major commodities and well-controlled price conditions. The inflation shock in the near term, if it happens, would be expected to be transient and bear a little risk to the economic stability.