19
September
Chart of the day: Retest the 50-pts moving average
The bearish trend is dominant in the short term because the breakdown occurs last week. In this case, investors should reduce long positions and wait for the next signals.
19
September
The bearish trend is dominant in the short term because the breakdown occurs last week. In this case, investors should reduce long positions and wait for the next signals.
12
September
The 1,250 pts area is retested with the increase of demand. In this case, investors could increase the current position on leading stocks. However, margin level should be kept at low level due to the existence medium-term downtrend.
05
September
Despite the slowdown in the uptrend, the VNIndex still maintains the bullish market in the short term. In this case, investors could hold long positions on leading stocks but margin trading should be avoided due to the medium-term bearish swing.
29
August
Although the rebound phase is active, minor correction has high probability to occur. In this case, investors could increase the current position on leading stocks when 1,250 pts area is retested. However, margin level should be kept at low level.
22
August
The VNIndex shows a consolidation phase in the next week, however, the short-term uptrend is still intact.
15
August
Although the current downtrend is still active, rebound phase has high probability to fade the current down trend. In this case, investors could increase the current position on leading stocks but margin level should be kept at low level.
08
August
The short-term uptrend is dominant thanks to high liquidity and breakout.
01
August
The reversal pattern is formed and the probability for VNIndex to extend its current rebound phase is high. In this case, investors could start to open positions on leading stocks but margin trading should be avoided due to the medium-term bearish swing.
15
July
The downtrend is still active and demand could not fade the current selling pressure. In this case, investors should decrease the current positions on leading stocks and wait for more accurate trading signal which would come after the volatile period.
15
March
Regarding the impact of the global commodity price surge on Vietnam CPI, we estimate that the current value of Brent price could push 2022 inflation to exceed the government target of 4%, mainly through the consumption channel. However, implementing well-established tools allows the Vietnam government to mitigate external shocks proactively. To sum up, we forecast that the global commodity surge would create temporary pressure on Vietnam inflation.
27
December
Key factors that drive the stock market to rise in 2022 include: (1) the Vietnam economy recovering and strong growth in 2022 and (2) new money will continue to flow into the stock market as new cash flows into stock markets and new money comes from capital flows of securities companies to margin.
09
November
A record plunge in Vietnam’s economy in 3Q21 has threatened economic prospects in the medium and long term growth. The government is standing in a right place to mitigate the lingering impact of the current outbreak and the next ones if they take appropriate actions in an appropriate timing and appropriate way. Recent macro and policy developments are signaling that the ongoing economic recovery would be smooth and sound, but it needs a booster shot, a sufficiently large fiscal relief package, to accelerate recovery momentum and help economic growth back on track. From our view, the “Economic Recovery and Development” fiscal support package, if successfully passed, would be a key to unlocking the full potential of the economic recovery.
26
July
Amid a widespread COVID-19 delta attack in the Southeast Asia region, Vietnam is stepping into the worst outbreak in both its health and economic impacts. Although the government actively deployed various solutions to follow the twin target that effectively controls the pandemic and promotes socio-economic development, the negative impact of economic recovery is inevitable. We predict that the COVID-19 economic impacts on domestic consumption and production levels would be partly reflected in oncoming macroeconomic updates under strict lockdowns nationwide.
18
June
Surging commodity prices and increasing inflation recently pose a considerable risk to global economic stability. However, the majority of global economists and monetary policymakers just saw this phenomenon as a transitory factor, and this trend would eventually reverse to a normal track in the medium- and long- term. Regarding Vietnam's situation, we saw a stable demand-supply balance in major commodities and well-controlled price conditions. The inflation shock in the near term, if it happens, would be expected to be transient and bear a little risk to the economic stability.