14
August
As mentioned above, the positive reaction at 50% retracement level has increased the probability for the upward move. However, the upward resumption will be paused and replaced by the consolidation/sudden collapse in price this week. Thus, investors should use this opportunity for re-entering the market.
10
August
Base on the Island Reversal pattern, the bullish market is dominant in the short term. Besides, market sentiment has become optimistic. Therefore, investors should increase their long position and focus on leading stocks such as Banking and Energy.
31
July
Despite the market is traded at balance stage, indicators give the confirmation for the bearish market as well as market sentiment has become pessimistic in the short-term. Thus, investors should reduce proportion of leading stocks during this scenario and stay on the sidelines.
24
July
The downside risk increase as the market sentiment has become pessimistic in the short term. Therefore, investors should reduce long positions and stay on the sidelines.
17
July
There is the tendency for the Index to retest 900 pts level thanks to the valid breakout of the Falling Wedge. Thus, investors could increase the proportion of leading stocks to take the best bid or wait for the breakout at 900 pts zone to increase the certainty level.
10
July
There is the tendency for the Index to retest 900 pts level thanks to the valid breakout of the Falling Wedge. Thus, investors could increase the proportion of leading stocks to take the best bid or wait for the breakout at 900 pts zone to increase the certainty level.
03
July
In this context, the breakout of the Falling Wedge is the significant signals, implying the uptrend. Thus, investors should stay on the sidelines and wait for the breakout.
26
June
In this context, the downside risk increases as the selling pressure is still intact. Thus, investors should reduce long positions, stay on the sidelines, and wait for the breakout or more confirmation signals.
19
June
In this context, there is no signal for the bear as well as outcomes for the next market leg are not confirmed. Thus, investors should hold the positions but proportion in leading stocks should not be increased.
15
March
Regarding the impact of the global commodity price surge on Vietnam CPI, we estimate that the current value of Brent price could push 2022 inflation to exceed the government target of 4%, mainly through the consumption channel. However, implementing well-established tools allows the Vietnam government to mitigate external shocks proactively. To sum up, we forecast that the global commodity surge would create temporary pressure on Vietnam inflation.
27
December
Key factors that drive the stock market to rise in 2022 include: (1) the Vietnam economy recovering and strong growth in 2022 and (2) new money will continue to flow into the stock market as new cash flows into stock markets and new money comes from capital flows of securities companies to margin.
09
November
A record plunge in Vietnam’s economy in 3Q21 has threatened economic prospects in the medium and long term growth. The government is standing in a right place to mitigate the lingering impact of the current outbreak and the next ones if they take appropriate actions in an appropriate timing and appropriate way. Recent macro and policy developments are signaling that the ongoing economic recovery would be smooth and sound, but it needs a booster shot, a sufficiently large fiscal relief package, to accelerate recovery momentum and help economic growth back on track. From our view, the “Economic Recovery and Development” fiscal support package, if successfully passed, would be a key to unlocking the full potential of the economic recovery.
26
July
Amid a widespread COVID-19 delta attack in the Southeast Asia region, Vietnam is stepping into the worst outbreak in both its health and economic impacts. Although the government actively deployed various solutions to follow the twin target that effectively controls the pandemic and promotes socio-economic development, the negative impact of economic recovery is inevitable. We predict that the COVID-19 economic impacts on domestic consumption and production levels would be partly reflected in oncoming macroeconomic updates under strict lockdowns nationwide.
18
June
Surging commodity prices and increasing inflation recently pose a considerable risk to global economic stability. However, the majority of global economists and monetary policymakers just saw this phenomenon as a transitory factor, and this trend would eventually reverse to a normal track in the medium- and long- term. Regarding Vietnam's situation, we saw a stable demand-supply balance in major commodities and well-controlled price conditions. The inflation shock in the near term, if it happens, would be expected to be transient and bear a little risk to the economic stability.
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