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TCB-[Brief]-[NONRATED]-Stop falling profit

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26

7月

TCB-[Brief]-[NONRATED]-Stop falling profit

TCB released its results with 2Q23 PBT down 22.8%yoy and up +0.5%qoq due to (1) NIM LTM decline and (2) high provision expense growth. 2Q23 Net interest margin (NIM LTM) inched down to 4.3% (vs 5.6% in 2Q22 and 4.6% in 1Q23). Although 2Q23 CASA ratio was 35%, lower than 2Q22 (47%) but a significant improvement compared to 1Q23 (32%). 2Q23 NFI and 1H23 went down 3%yoy (to VND2,259bn) and up 5%yoy (to VND4,430bn) thanks to cards, trade, and FX services. 2Q23 NPL ascended to 1.07%, compared to 1Q23 of 0.85% and end-22 of 0.72%. 2Q23 LLR was sufficient at 116%.

Report (133)

26

7月

SIP-Brief-[NONRATED]-One in a million

On Jul 25, we attended SIP’s 2023 Investor Day, and the presentation the company’s 2Q23 results and its strategy plan. Per management, 2Q23 prelim results came in at VND1,660.7bn revenue (, 3.1% yoy 19.1% qoq) and VND276bn net profit (7.8% yoy ,111% qoq). SIP is among our fancy industrial park players in the South thanks to its unrivalled competitive advantages. - However, the free floating (major shareholders occupy 47.91%) raises the concern over liquidity.

Report (133)

26

7月

Daily derivatives: Short-term target for the bullish leg is near

New positions should be placed if there is the minor correction or the short-term range bound. Thus, traders should stay on the sidelines in order to capture the best bid/offer (Hourly chart).

Report (350)

26

7月

Covered warrant 17-21 Jul: Trading volume reaches new peak

The trading interest has started to spread to all cover warrants which have different underlying assets as well as trading activity also surged across groups. This is the sign for the active market.

Report (188)

26

7月

Market commentary: Approach the important resistance threshold

The stock market maintains an upward trend and the liquidity is still at a high level, showing a bullish signal. Furthermore, the VNIndex approaches the important resistance level of the 1,200 pts threshold. If successfully surpasses this threshold, the uptrend will be confirmed. Therefore, investors should hold long positions and wait for the breakout signal.

Report (354)

25

7月

Market commentary: Optimistic sentiment

The market maintains to increase with high liquidity, showing that the inflow is still positive. This reflects the market's optimistic sentiment towards the scenario of the VNIndex successfully surpassing the significant resistance level of 1,200 pts and confirming the uptrend. Therefore, investors should hold long positions and wait for the next signal.

Report (354)

25

7月

Daily derivatives: Overbought condition

New positions should be placed if there is the minor correction or the short-term range bound. Thus, traders should stay on the sidelines in order to capture the best bid/offer (Hourly chart).

Report (350)

24

7月

Chart of the day: Approaching 1,200 pts zone

The active long-term bullish move is confirmed. Thus, traders could hold the long positions on leading stocks. For new positions, minor correction or short-term range bound should be used to capture the good entry on leading stocks.

Report (136)

24

7月

Market commentary: Wait for the breakout signal

Inflow is intensified in the session, pushing the market increases by more than 1% with high liquidity. Besides, the VNIndex advance into the 1,180-1,200 pts zone, a significant resistance zone. Accordingly, if this index successfully surpasses the 1,200-pts threshold, an uptrend will be confirmed. Therefore, investors should hold long positions and wait for the next breakout signal.

Report (354)

24

7月

Daily derivatives: Target for the bullish move is near

New positions should be placed if there is the minor correction or the short-term range bound. Thus, traders should stay on the sidelines in order to capture the best bid/offer (Hourly chart).

Report (350)
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Featured Articles

24

8月

U.S July Retail sales and Vietnam T&G exports

U.S July Retail sales and Vietnam T&G exports According to the latest data from the U.S. Census Bureau, retail sales in the U.S. increased by 0.7% MoM in July of 2023, marking a fourth consecutive rise, and beating market forecasts of a 0.4% increase. In more detail, US clothing store sales grew 1.34% YoY in July, slightly decelerated from 2.69% in June, but remain higher than the one-year slowest growth of 0.32% in April. The potential upturn in US clothing sales, given a relatively strong correlation with Vietnam T&G exports, subsequently benefiting this export sector in the latter half of 2023.

Report (198)

02

8月

An improved economic performance amidst easing external headwinds

July’s data revealed a substantial improvement in economic activities with a softer decline in export turnover, an improving industrial production, and a renewed acceleration in retail sales. On one hand, U.S. consumers tend to regain their confidence during the late phase of the global interest rate hike, fastening the resolution of the overstocking and consequently promoting Vietnam’s export activities. On the other hand, retail sales recorded a higher growth rate than in June coupled with moderate inflation after a series of easing fiscal policies, likely reflecting an expanding demand. We predict economic performance to improve further next month due to softening external headwinds and expanding domestic demand.

Report (197)

28

7月

Vietnam’s economy: gaining momentum

Although the economic performance picked up in 2Q23 in the late stage of the global interest rate hike, we believe that the acceleration of economic activities will need more time to be material due to the insignificant improvement of external factors and the weakening recovery in domestic consumption. On the upside, public investment will continue to be a spotlight in 3Q23 thanks to the government's effort in realizing the significantly higher workload than last year. In addition, the well-controlled inflation and stable exchange rate provide more space for the monetary authority to follow the easing tendency in the next quarter.

Report (195)

13

7月

3Q23 Strategic Insight: Embrace the opportunity

Although the economic performance picked up in 2Q23 in the late stage of the global interest rate hike, we believe that the acceleration of economic activities will need more time to be material due to the insignificant improvement of external factors and the weakening recovery in domestic consumption. On the upside, public investment will continue to be a spotlight in 3Q23 thanks to the government's effort in realizing the significantly higher workload than last year. Investment opportunities exist in Power and Agriculture, Seafood industries that backed by El-Nino and China consumption themes. Besides, crushed stone industry also offers a lucrative choice from 3Q23 for those investors seeking for rising public spending theme. We expect the target range for VNIndex in 2H23 to be 1,260-1,340 points.

Report (197)

30

6月

Slight pickup amidst persistent global challenges

GSO’s June report shows a slight acceleration in economic performance for the second quarter of 2023. Although the economic growth surpassed the downgraded market assessment, it is far from the expected value in the eco-socio tasks. For the latest update in June, export activities deteriorated under the persistent slowdown in the consumption of Vietnam’s major trading partners, showing challenges for the economy to speed up. Regarding domestic factors, the recovery momentum in post-pandemic exhausted with retail sales much lower than the potential level. In the short term, we predict public investment will mainly support economic growth before material improvement in external factors occurs.

Report (195)

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