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Daily derivatives: No sign of reversal

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15

8月

Daily derivatives: No sign of reversal

Bullish momentum is still active. The current bullish swing could support the long positions but new long positions for swing trading are not recommended. New positions should be placed if there is the minor correction or the short-term range bound to capture the good risk/reward ratio.

Report (350)

15

8月

Market commentary: Demand pushes the market up

The market increases slightly during the session with high liquidity, indicating inflow is still positive. Furthermore, the VNIndex maintains to end above the important support level of 1,200 pts. In the short term, this index has retested the previous resistance level of the 1,240-pts threshold. Therefore, investors should hold long positions and wait for the next signal.

Report (354)

10

8月

PVD – Brief – [BUY] – Promising outlook for 2024F

PVD posted its 2Q23 results with revenue of VND1.4tn (-6.7% yoy) due to lower revenue from well-related services and no revenue from leased rigs. While NPAT-MI turned green to VND161bn in 2Q23 vs a net loss of VND60bn in 2Q22 since PVD’s average jack-up (JU) day rate (USD75,000/day), utilization rate rose strongly yoy and booking a compensation of VND70bn for ending drilling contract with Valeura - Thailand.

Report (126)

10

8月

MSB-Brief-[NONRATED-Heightened bad debt remained

2Q23 PBT was up 9.8% yoy (to VND2,022bn) thanks to a strong growth of TOI. 2Q23 high provision expense (+534%yoy) was the key dampening factor to the profit growth. 2Q23 LC and LMC loan (+28.09%YTD, +4.7%qoq) was the driver of the total consumer loan (+13.22%YTD, -0.16%qoq). 2Q23 NIM (TTM) inched down to 4.3% (vs. 4.4% in 1Q23 and 4.1% in 2Q22) due to lower asset yield. NFI went up 85.3%yoy (to VND1,317bn) in 2Q23. The CIR ratio declined from 2Q22’s 38% to 2Q23’s 29%. 2Q23 NPL (2-5 group) and NPL (3-5 group) climbed to 6.0% (vs. 1Q23’s 5.2%) and 2.6% (vs. 1Q23’s 2.0%) respectively.

Report (109)

10

8月

Market commentary: Intensifies profit-taking activities

The stock market decreases significantly during the session with liquidity at a high level, showing the investors’ caution sentiment is still present. However, the VNIndex remains to end above the important support level of 1,200 pts. Therefore, investors should hold long positions and wait for the next signal.

Report (354)

10

8月

Daily derivatives: Short-term trading

Bullish momentum is still active. The current bullish swing could support the long positions but new long positions for swing trading are not recommended. New positions should be placed if there is the minor correction or the short-term range bound to capture the good risk/reward ratio. For short-term trading, traders could buy VN30F2308 after ATO session and stop the loss when there is the closing price below 1,230 pts level (Hourly chart).

Report (350)

09

8月

Daily derivatives: There is no risk/reward ratio for new positions

Bullish momentum is still active. The current bullish swing could support the long positions but new long positions are not recommended. New positions should be placed if there is the minor correction or the short-term range bound to capture the good risk/reward ratio. Thus, traders should stay on the sidelines in order to capture the best bid/offer (Hourly chart).

Report (350)

09

8月

Market commentary: Struggle between buy and sell

The stock market moves in the narrow range around the reference point while the liquidity remains at a high level, indicating the ongoing tug-of-war between buying and selling activities. However, the uptrend is still positive as the VNIndex maintains close above the 50-period moving average. Therefore, investors should hold long positions and wait for the next signal.

Report (354)

03

8月

Cement-Note-[NEUTRAL]-Still challenging

This quarterly earnings report on the Vietnam cement industry is intended to track the earning growth trend in the cement market. We witnessed earnings were back to positive in 2Q23 . The lower cost of input material was the main driver for the NPAT improvement in 2Q23. Earnings results varied among companies depending on their main markets, its input prices whilst companies have been under the impact of intense competition and weak market demand. Companies completed annual guidance at low level, especially profit’s one, despite that companies already set the cautious profit guidance for 2023F.

Report (120)

03

8月

Daily derivatives: Bullish momentum is paused

Minor correction has high probability to occur. New positions should be placed if there is the minor correction or the short-term range bound. Thus, traders should stay on the sidelines in order to capture the best bid/offer (Hourly chart).

Report (350)
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Featured Articles

24

8月

U.S July Retail sales and Vietnam T&G exports

U.S July Retail sales and Vietnam T&G exports According to the latest data from the U.S. Census Bureau, retail sales in the U.S. increased by 0.7% MoM in July of 2023, marking a fourth consecutive rise, and beating market forecasts of a 0.4% increase. In more detail, US clothing store sales grew 1.34% YoY in July, slightly decelerated from 2.69% in June, but remain higher than the one-year slowest growth of 0.32% in April. The potential upturn in US clothing sales, given a relatively strong correlation with Vietnam T&G exports, subsequently benefiting this export sector in the latter half of 2023.

Report (198)

02

8月

An improved economic performance amidst easing external headwinds

July’s data revealed a substantial improvement in economic activities with a softer decline in export turnover, an improving industrial production, and a renewed acceleration in retail sales. On one hand, U.S. consumers tend to regain their confidence during the late phase of the global interest rate hike, fastening the resolution of the overstocking and consequently promoting Vietnam’s export activities. On the other hand, retail sales recorded a higher growth rate than in June coupled with moderate inflation after a series of easing fiscal policies, likely reflecting an expanding demand. We predict economic performance to improve further next month due to softening external headwinds and expanding domestic demand.

Report (197)

28

7月

Vietnam’s economy: gaining momentum

Although the economic performance picked up in 2Q23 in the late stage of the global interest rate hike, we believe that the acceleration of economic activities will need more time to be material due to the insignificant improvement of external factors and the weakening recovery in domestic consumption. On the upside, public investment will continue to be a spotlight in 3Q23 thanks to the government's effort in realizing the significantly higher workload than last year. In addition, the well-controlled inflation and stable exchange rate provide more space for the monetary authority to follow the easing tendency in the next quarter.

Report (195)

13

7月

3Q23 Strategic Insight: Embrace the opportunity

Although the economic performance picked up in 2Q23 in the late stage of the global interest rate hike, we believe that the acceleration of economic activities will need more time to be material due to the insignificant improvement of external factors and the weakening recovery in domestic consumption. On the upside, public investment will continue to be a spotlight in 3Q23 thanks to the government's effort in realizing the significantly higher workload than last year. Investment opportunities exist in Power and Agriculture, Seafood industries that backed by El-Nino and China consumption themes. Besides, crushed stone industry also offers a lucrative choice from 3Q23 for those investors seeking for rising public spending theme. We expect the target range for VNIndex in 2H23 to be 1,260-1,340 points.

Report (197)

30

6月

Slight pickup amidst persistent global challenges

GSO’s June report shows a slight acceleration in economic performance for the second quarter of 2023. Although the economic growth surpassed the downgraded market assessment, it is far from the expected value in the eco-socio tasks. For the latest update in June, export activities deteriorated under the persistent slowdown in the consumption of Vietnam’s major trading partners, showing challenges for the economy to speed up. Regarding domestic factors, the recovery momentum in post-pandemic exhausted with retail sales much lower than the potential level. In the short term, we predict public investment will mainly support economic growth before material improvement in external factors occurs.

Report (195)

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