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Fundflow 24-28 Jul: Inflow across Vietnam is still positive

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01

8月

Fundflow 24-28 Jul: Inflow across Vietnam is still positive

In general, the inflow was still positive and remained stable. On the other side, there is still notable differentiation in capital allocation, only concentrated on a few ETFs. In this case, the demand for funds in Vietnam is still very optimistic and the expectation of positive inflows will be maintained in the context that the stock market is showing positive movements.

Report (85)

01

8月

GEG-Earnings Review-[BUY]-Pressure from interest expenses

NPAT recorded a significant decline -81.1%yoy. The largest effect comes from the surge of interest expenses, which is VND206bn, +47.9%yoy right after Tan Thuan Phong 1 wind power plant started operating and stop capitalizing interest expenses. In addition to we forecast that interest expenses will remain high in 2H23. We still keep a BUY recommendation for GEG with target price 19,700 VND per share, upside 27.5% compared to market price on 30 July 2023.

Report (106)

01

8月

Covered warrant 24-28 Jul: Demand spreads to all CWs

The trading interest has started to spread to all cover warrants which have different underlying assets as well as trading activity also surged across groups. This is the sign for the active market.

Report (188)

01

8月

VIC-Brief-[NONRATED]-A wild dream is one step closer

A glimpse of relief is spreading on the air of the meeting given the U.S Securities and Exchange declared Vinfast’s F-4 in connection with the proposed business combination with Black Spade effective. Despite the GM loss of Vinfast segment (narrowed to 42.4% in 2Q23 vs -234.2% in 1Q23 and -225.3% in 2Q22, and the concern over the harsh competition from China and Tesla-brand EVs, the company insists on its capability to raise fund of USD300-400mn cash in the IPO and post listing out of USD2bn capex to build the Carolina factory.

Report (109)

31

7月

Market commentary: Intensifies inflow

The stock market increases strongly in the session with high liquidity, showing positive signals. However, the downside risk intact remains around the next important resistance level of 1,240-1,250 pts, which is the old peak zone in 2Q22. Therefore, investors should hold long positions and wait for the next signal.

Report (354)

31

7月

Chart of the day: Breakout 1,200-pts threshold

The VNIndex sustains its medium- and short-term uptrend, bolstered by ample liquidity and a decisive breakout above the 1,200-pts level. This bodes well for investors' confidence and potential market gains. In this case, traders should hold long positions and focus on leading stocks.

Report (136)

31

7月

VRE-Brief-[NONRATED]-Faring well amid the abnormal post – outbreak

On Jul 28, we tuned in to VRE’s 2Q23, and the presentation covered how the weather the storm of tightening retail consumption amid the inflation fear. VRE released the 2Q23 on Jul 28, featuring a VND2,172.8bn revenue (+17.5% yoy, +11.8% qoq) and a VND1,000.6bn NPAT (+29.4% yoy, -2.3% qoq). We selectively fancy VRE thanks to its earnings turnaround in 2023 which also is factored in the market expectation but we skeptically expect VRE could weather the storm. The decreasing demand for consumption is saw widely across the economic indicators.

Report (107)

31

7月

HSG-Earnings Review-[HOLD]-Bottom-line was actually positive

HSG’ revenue decreased significantly 29.0% yoy to VND8,645bn in 3QFY23 driven mainly by the weak global and domestic demand. In which, the total export volume in 3QFY23 dropped to 183,665 tonnes, -20.2% yoy, but +43.9% qoq. The 3QFY23 NPAT posted VND14.2bn (-94.6% yoy).

Report (117)

31

7月

HPG-Earnings Review-[HOLD]-Margins improved thanks to lower costs

HPG’ revenue decreased 21.2% yoy to VND29,496bn in 2Q23 while the NPAT posted VND1447.8bn (64%yoy). Thanks to the lower input costs, the gross margin improved from 6.3% in 1Q23 to 10.8% in 2Q23 amid lower ASP (construction steel ASP decreased by 4.5% compared to 1Q23).

Report (133)

31

7月

Daily derivatives: Bullish momentum reaches the extreme

Overbought condition is active across time frame. New positions should be placed if there is the minor correction or the short-term range bound. Thus, traders should stay on the sidelines in order to capture the best bid/offer (Hourly chart).

Report (350)
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Featured Articles

24

8月

U.S July Retail sales and Vietnam T&G exports

U.S July Retail sales and Vietnam T&G exports According to the latest data from the U.S. Census Bureau, retail sales in the U.S. increased by 0.7% MoM in July of 2023, marking a fourth consecutive rise, and beating market forecasts of a 0.4% increase. In more detail, US clothing store sales grew 1.34% YoY in July, slightly decelerated from 2.69% in June, but remain higher than the one-year slowest growth of 0.32% in April. The potential upturn in US clothing sales, given a relatively strong correlation with Vietnam T&G exports, subsequently benefiting this export sector in the latter half of 2023.

Report (198)

02

8月

An improved economic performance amidst easing external headwinds

July’s data revealed a substantial improvement in economic activities with a softer decline in export turnover, an improving industrial production, and a renewed acceleration in retail sales. On one hand, U.S. consumers tend to regain their confidence during the late phase of the global interest rate hike, fastening the resolution of the overstocking and consequently promoting Vietnam’s export activities. On the other hand, retail sales recorded a higher growth rate than in June coupled with moderate inflation after a series of easing fiscal policies, likely reflecting an expanding demand. We predict economic performance to improve further next month due to softening external headwinds and expanding domestic demand.

Report (197)

28

7月

Vietnam’s economy: gaining momentum

Although the economic performance picked up in 2Q23 in the late stage of the global interest rate hike, we believe that the acceleration of economic activities will need more time to be material due to the insignificant improvement of external factors and the weakening recovery in domestic consumption. On the upside, public investment will continue to be a spotlight in 3Q23 thanks to the government's effort in realizing the significantly higher workload than last year. In addition, the well-controlled inflation and stable exchange rate provide more space for the monetary authority to follow the easing tendency in the next quarter.

Report (195)

13

7月

3Q23 Strategic Insight: Embrace the opportunity

Although the economic performance picked up in 2Q23 in the late stage of the global interest rate hike, we believe that the acceleration of economic activities will need more time to be material due to the insignificant improvement of external factors and the weakening recovery in domestic consumption. On the upside, public investment will continue to be a spotlight in 3Q23 thanks to the government's effort in realizing the significantly higher workload than last year. Investment opportunities exist in Power and Agriculture, Seafood industries that backed by El-Nino and China consumption themes. Besides, crushed stone industry also offers a lucrative choice from 3Q23 for those investors seeking for rising public spending theme. We expect the target range for VNIndex in 2H23 to be 1,260-1,340 points.

Report (197)

30

6月

Slight pickup amidst persistent global challenges

GSO’s June report shows a slight acceleration in economic performance for the second quarter of 2023. Although the economic growth surpassed the downgraded market assessment, it is far from the expected value in the eco-socio tasks. For the latest update in June, export activities deteriorated under the persistent slowdown in the consumption of Vietnam’s major trading partners, showing challenges for the economy to speed up. Regarding domestic factors, the recovery momentum in post-pandemic exhausted with retail sales much lower than the potential level. In the short term, we predict public investment will mainly support economic growth before material improvement in external factors occurs.

Report (195)

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