21
7月
Daily derivatives: Expiration date
Short position on VN30F2207 near 1,230 pts zone should be held and stop the loss when there is the closing price above 1,230 pts level. (Hourly chart)
21
7月
Short position on VN30F2207 near 1,230 pts zone should be held and stop the loss when there is the closing price above 1,230 pts level. (Hourly chart)
20
7月
Short position on VN30F2207 near 1,230 pts zone should be held and stop the loss when there is the closing price above 1,230 pts level
20
7月
Despite the recovery, the downtrend is still dominant in the short term. Therefore, traders should stay on the sidelines and wait for the next signal.
20
7月
Last week, trading activity kept decreasing across the covered warrant market. With foreign trading activity, foreign demand has started to overwhelm supply after ending up to be net sold for 2 consecutive months. Notably, trading interest has shifted to Financials sector, driving by demand on cover warrants which have STB and MBB as the underlying asset.
20
7月
HoSE announced new constituents of the VN30Index and VNFIN LEAD Index last Monday. Accordingly, the VN30Index will add VIB and remove PNJ in the 2H22 review. Besides, the VNFIN LEAD Index will include HCM and SHB and not remove any tickers.
19
7月
The downtrend is dominant in the short term. Therefore, traders should stay on the sidelines and wait for the next signal.
19
7月
Short position on VN30F2207 near 1,230 pts zone should be held and stop the loss when there is the closing price above 1,230 pts level
18
7月
The downtrend is still active and demand could not fade the current selling pressure. In this case, investors should decrease the current positions on leading stocks and wait for more accurate trading signal which would come after the volatile period.
18
7月
Congress passed the new Insurance law 2022 on June 16th 2022. The draft of this new law was first introduced around February 2021 (refer here). After receiving feedback from experts at many meetings, the Law was approved with the rate of 94.18%. The effective date will be January 1st, 2023. In general, the new law retains the same ideas and spirit as the proposed draft, adding some clarifications and changes which are positive for sustainable development and long-term industry outlook.
15
7月
Short position on VN30F2207 near 1,230 pts zone should be held and stop the loss when there is the closing price above 1,240 pts level. (Hourly chart)
24
8月
U.S July Retail sales and Vietnam T&G exports According to the latest data from the U.S. Census Bureau, retail sales in the U.S. increased by 0.7% MoM in July of 2023, marking a fourth consecutive rise, and beating market forecasts of a 0.4% increase. In more detail, US clothing store sales grew 1.34% YoY in July, slightly decelerated from 2.69% in June, but remain higher than the one-year slowest growth of 0.32% in April. The potential upturn in US clothing sales, given a relatively strong correlation with Vietnam T&G exports, subsequently benefiting this export sector in the latter half of 2023.
02
8月
July’s data revealed a substantial improvement in economic activities with a softer decline in export turnover, an improving industrial production, and a renewed acceleration in retail sales. On one hand, U.S. consumers tend to regain their confidence during the late phase of the global interest rate hike, fastening the resolution of the overstocking and consequently promoting Vietnam’s export activities. On the other hand, retail sales recorded a higher growth rate than in June coupled with moderate inflation after a series of easing fiscal policies, likely reflecting an expanding demand. We predict economic performance to improve further next month due to softening external headwinds and expanding domestic demand.
28
7月
Although the economic performance picked up in 2Q23 in the late stage of the global interest rate hike, we believe that the acceleration of economic activities will need more time to be material due to the insignificant improvement of external factors and the weakening recovery in domestic consumption. On the upside, public investment will continue to be a spotlight in 3Q23 thanks to the government's effort in realizing the significantly higher workload than last year. In addition, the well-controlled inflation and stable exchange rate provide more space for the monetary authority to follow the easing tendency in the next quarter.
13
7月
Although the economic performance picked up in 2Q23 in the late stage of the global interest rate hike, we believe that the acceleration of economic activities will need more time to be material due to the insignificant improvement of external factors and the weakening recovery in domestic consumption. On the upside, public investment will continue to be a spotlight in 3Q23 thanks to the government's effort in realizing the significantly higher workload than last year. Investment opportunities exist in Power and Agriculture, Seafood industries that backed by El-Nino and China consumption themes. Besides, crushed stone industry also offers a lucrative choice from 3Q23 for those investors seeking for rising public spending theme. We expect the target range for VNIndex in 2H23 to be 1,260-1,340 points.
30
6月
GSO’s June report shows a slight acceleration in economic performance for the second quarter of 2023. Although the economic growth surpassed the downgraded market assessment, it is far from the expected value in the eco-socio tasks. For the latest update in June, export activities deteriorated under the persistent slowdown in the consumption of Vietnam’s major trading partners, showing challenges for the economy to speed up. Regarding domestic factors, the recovery momentum in post-pandemic exhausted with retail sales much lower than the potential level. In the short term, we predict public investment will mainly support economic growth before material improvement in external factors occurs.