25
7月
Daily derivatives: Volatile trading environment
Long VN30F2208 near 1,220-1,225 pts area and stop the loss when there is the closing price below 1,215 pts level. (Hourly chart)
25
7月
Long VN30F2208 near 1,220-1,225 pts area and stop the loss when there is the closing price below 1,215 pts level. (Hourly chart)
25
7月
Because of selling pressure at the high level, the downtrend is still dominant in the short term. Therefore, traders should stay on the sidelines and wait for the next signal.
25
7月
Although some bullish signals appear, the downtrend is dominant in the short term. Hence, we need more confirmation signals to define a new uptrend.
22
7月
Despite the third recovery, the downtrend is still intact in the short term. Therefore, traders should stay on the sidelines and wait for the next signal.
22
7月
Phat Dat Group released 2Q22 results on 21 Jul, posting revenue of VND853bn (+58.6% yoy, 36.5% qoq) and net profit/NPATMI of VND409bn/413bn (+62.9/63.9% yoy and 46.6/46.5% qoq), implying EPS of VND671.The key attributes to the flourishing revenue growth are the bulk sales of condo projects in Nhon Hoi Ecological tourism and townhouse project (satellite region Binh Dinh province) and in Bau Ca Residential project (Central Coast Quang Ngai province).
22
7月
STK posted 2Q22 business results with revenue of VND530bn (-17.3% qoq, +3.8% yoy) and NPAT of VND70bn (-8.9% qoq, -2.0% yoy). Overall, in 1H22, the company recorded revenue of VND1,170bn (+8.6% yoy) and NPAT of VND146bn (+3.4% yoy), fulfilling 45%/49% of annual guidance.
22
7月
Long VN30F2208 near 1,220-1,225 pts area and stop the loss when there is the closing price below 1,215 pts level. (Hourly chart)
22
7月
VHC’s 2Q22 revenue surged 80% yoy to VND4,226bn and net profit jumped 2.0x yoy to VND788bn, above 1%/40% our 2Q22F estimation and fulfilling 56%/80% our forecast. In 3Q22, we expect that VHC still maintain solid business results compared to 3Q21 but is merely equivalent to new high record at 2Q22, mdue to the soft landing qoq of export fillet pangasius product in key market US.
21
7月
On July 20, SSI Securities (SSI) announced MI financial report for 2Q22. Revenue was pegged VND1,583bn(-17% qoq, -8.4% yoy) and NPAT was VND416bn (-39% qoq , -26.4% yoy). In 1H22, SSI recorded VND3,198bn revenue (+10.6% yoy) and VND998bn net profit (+10.9% yoy).
21
7月
Despite the second recovery, the downtrend is still dominant in the short term. Therefore, traders should stay on the sidelines and wait for the next signal.
24
8月
U.S July Retail sales and Vietnam T&G exports According to the latest data from the U.S. Census Bureau, retail sales in the U.S. increased by 0.7% MoM in July of 2023, marking a fourth consecutive rise, and beating market forecasts of a 0.4% increase. In more detail, US clothing store sales grew 1.34% YoY in July, slightly decelerated from 2.69% in June, but remain higher than the one-year slowest growth of 0.32% in April. The potential upturn in US clothing sales, given a relatively strong correlation with Vietnam T&G exports, subsequently benefiting this export sector in the latter half of 2023.
02
8月
July’s data revealed a substantial improvement in economic activities with a softer decline in export turnover, an improving industrial production, and a renewed acceleration in retail sales. On one hand, U.S. consumers tend to regain their confidence during the late phase of the global interest rate hike, fastening the resolution of the overstocking and consequently promoting Vietnam’s export activities. On the other hand, retail sales recorded a higher growth rate than in June coupled with moderate inflation after a series of easing fiscal policies, likely reflecting an expanding demand. We predict economic performance to improve further next month due to softening external headwinds and expanding domestic demand.
28
7月
Although the economic performance picked up in 2Q23 in the late stage of the global interest rate hike, we believe that the acceleration of economic activities will need more time to be material due to the insignificant improvement of external factors and the weakening recovery in domestic consumption. On the upside, public investment will continue to be a spotlight in 3Q23 thanks to the government's effort in realizing the significantly higher workload than last year. In addition, the well-controlled inflation and stable exchange rate provide more space for the monetary authority to follow the easing tendency in the next quarter.
13
7月
Although the economic performance picked up in 2Q23 in the late stage of the global interest rate hike, we believe that the acceleration of economic activities will need more time to be material due to the insignificant improvement of external factors and the weakening recovery in domestic consumption. On the upside, public investment will continue to be a spotlight in 3Q23 thanks to the government's effort in realizing the significantly higher workload than last year. Investment opportunities exist in Power and Agriculture, Seafood industries that backed by El-Nino and China consumption themes. Besides, crushed stone industry also offers a lucrative choice from 3Q23 for those investors seeking for rising public spending theme. We expect the target range for VNIndex in 2H23 to be 1,260-1,340 points.
30
6月
GSO’s June report shows a slight acceleration in economic performance for the second quarter of 2023. Although the economic growth surpassed the downgraded market assessment, it is far from the expected value in the eco-socio tasks. For the latest update in June, export activities deteriorated under the persistent slowdown in the consumption of Vietnam’s major trading partners, showing challenges for the economy to speed up. Regarding domestic factors, the recovery momentum in post-pandemic exhausted with retail sales much lower than the potential level. In the short term, we predict public investment will mainly support economic growth before material improvement in external factors occurs.