28
6月
Daily derivatives: Bullish momentum is stable
Long positions on VN30F2307 should be held and stop the loss when there is the closing price below 1,100 pts level (Hourly chart).
28
6月
Long positions on VN30F2307 should be held and stop the loss when there is the closing price below 1,100 pts level (Hourly chart).
28
6月
The money market this week seems to neutralize the impact of SBV’s policy rate cut last week as interbank rates rebounded slightly and the dong regained its strength against the U.S. dollar. However, the G-bond yield recorded a fresh low possibly due to its alternative nature for sluggish lending activities. For the next week, GSO will unveil Vietnam’s economic situation through its June report. Hence, we predict the money market to be balanced heading to the next government's assessments and responses to the update of economic performance.
28
6月
PLX approved its conservative 2023F guidance of petroleum volume of 13mn ton (-7% yoy), VND190tn revenue (-38% yoy) and VND3.2tn PBT (+42% yoy). Shareholders approved a cash dividend of VND700/share for 2022, and targeted a cash dividend of VND1,000/share for 2023F.
27
6月
Weak demand weighted continuously on MWG’s May business results, MWG recorded a 10% decrease yoy in revenue to VND10,297bn but was up +6% mom, prompting total revenue of MWG to reach VND59.3tn (-21% yoy) in 5M23.
27
6月
The trading interest has started to spread to all cover warrants which have different underlying assets. This is the first signal for the active trading environment.
27
6月
Long positions on VN30F2307 should be held and stop the loss when there is the closing price below 1,085 pts level (Hourly chart).
27
6月
Inflow across ETFs in Vietnam strongly increased, recorded at USD17mn. In general, inflows into Vietnam still increased and remained on major ETFs. In this case, the demand for funds in Vietnam is still very optimistic and the expectation of positive inflows will be maintained in the context that the stock market is showing positive movements.
27
6月
The market maintains an uptrend along with high liquidity, showing this is a good signal. Further, the VNIndex also closed above the 10-period moving average. Therefore, investors should open long positions and focus on leading stocks.
26
6月
The US-China tech war has led to significant impacts on manufacturers, resulting in a shift from China to Vietnam. The escalating trade tensions between the two countries, coupled with increasing tariffs and export controls, have created a challenging environment for tech companies reliant on Chinese manufacturing. As a result, many manufacturers have started diversifying their supply chains by moving production to Vietnam.
26
6月
The rebound phase is confirmed as well as bullish momentum is active. Thus, traders could open the long positions on leading stocks. However, position size should be low due to the active selling pressure near 1,150 pts area.
24
8月
U.S July Retail sales and Vietnam T&G exports According to the latest data from the U.S. Census Bureau, retail sales in the U.S. increased by 0.7% MoM in July of 2023, marking a fourth consecutive rise, and beating market forecasts of a 0.4% increase. In more detail, US clothing store sales grew 1.34% YoY in July, slightly decelerated from 2.69% in June, but remain higher than the one-year slowest growth of 0.32% in April. The potential upturn in US clothing sales, given a relatively strong correlation with Vietnam T&G exports, subsequently benefiting this export sector in the latter half of 2023.
02
8月
July’s data revealed a substantial improvement in economic activities with a softer decline in export turnover, an improving industrial production, and a renewed acceleration in retail sales. On one hand, U.S. consumers tend to regain their confidence during the late phase of the global interest rate hike, fastening the resolution of the overstocking and consequently promoting Vietnam’s export activities. On the other hand, retail sales recorded a higher growth rate than in June coupled with moderate inflation after a series of easing fiscal policies, likely reflecting an expanding demand. We predict economic performance to improve further next month due to softening external headwinds and expanding domestic demand.
28
7月
Although the economic performance picked up in 2Q23 in the late stage of the global interest rate hike, we believe that the acceleration of economic activities will need more time to be material due to the insignificant improvement of external factors and the weakening recovery in domestic consumption. On the upside, public investment will continue to be a spotlight in 3Q23 thanks to the government's effort in realizing the significantly higher workload than last year. In addition, the well-controlled inflation and stable exchange rate provide more space for the monetary authority to follow the easing tendency in the next quarter.
13
7月
Although the economic performance picked up in 2Q23 in the late stage of the global interest rate hike, we believe that the acceleration of economic activities will need more time to be material due to the insignificant improvement of external factors and the weakening recovery in domestic consumption. On the upside, public investment will continue to be a spotlight in 3Q23 thanks to the government's effort in realizing the significantly higher workload than last year. Investment opportunities exist in Power and Agriculture, Seafood industries that backed by El-Nino and China consumption themes. Besides, crushed stone industry also offers a lucrative choice from 3Q23 for those investors seeking for rising public spending theme. We expect the target range for VNIndex in 2H23 to be 1,260-1,340 points.
30
6月
GSO’s June report shows a slight acceleration in economic performance for the second quarter of 2023. Although the economic growth surpassed the downgraded market assessment, it is far from the expected value in the eco-socio tasks. For the latest update in June, export activities deteriorated under the persistent slowdown in the consumption of Vietnam’s major trading partners, showing challenges for the economy to speed up. Regarding domestic factors, the recovery momentum in post-pandemic exhausted with retail sales much lower than the potential level. In the short term, we predict public investment will mainly support economic growth before material improvement in external factors occurs.