11
8月
Daily derivatives: Consolidation phase steps in
Long position on VN30F2208 near 1,220-1,225 pts area should be held and stop the loss when there is the closing price below 1,215 pts level. (Hourly chart)
11
8月
Long position on VN30F2208 near 1,220-1,225 pts area should be held and stop the loss when there is the closing price below 1,215 pts level. (Hourly chart)
10
8月
Long position on VN30F2208 near 1,220-1,225 pts area should be held and stop the loss when there is the closing price below 1,215 pts level. (Hourly chart)
10
8月
DCM posted 2Q22 business results with a VND4,084bn (+118% yoy and +0.2% qoq) revenue and a VND1,039bn (+250% yoy and -32% qoq) NPAT. It was a very surprising result when the market expected lower sales along with the downtrend of the fertilizer sector. DCM’s revenue in 2Q22 went sideways compared to the previous quarter thanks to a significant contribution from trading revenue. Sales from trading products increased from VND134bn in 1Q22 to VND796bn in 2Q22.
10
8月
The VNindex has formed a corrective pattern, almost like a Bearish Spinning Top. That means the index may move sideways or correct in the next few sessions. However, the uptrend since July is still intact. Therefore, traders may hold long positions focusing on the leading sectors.
10
8月
This quarterly earnings report on Vietnam steel production is intended to track the earning growth trend in the steel market. In 2Q22, we saw the revenue growth pace in 2Q22 just slightly declined by 2.4% yoy thanks to the good selling price while NPATMI growth dropped significantly by 67.4% yoy. Net profit growth pace in last 2 quarters was significantly hit by heavier material costs. We also see the high material costs still partly affect the margin in 3Q22 due to inventories cycle. In 3Q22, we expect the total consumption volume (finished steel products and HRC) will positively grow at 2.6% yoy thanks to the low base in 3Q21 caused by the COVID-19 lockdown.
10
8月
Overall, SAB recorded an impressive 2Q22 business result with a VND9.0tn revenue (+24.7% yoy), and a VND1,793bn PAT (+67.4% yoy). It prompts 1H22 SAB revenue and PAT to go up 25% and 48% to VND16.3tn and VND3.0tn, respectively. Higher revenue was contributed from both higher volume and selling prices. Beer consumption had been recovering continuously due to the normalization of social activities. SAB also increased selling prices easily amidst higher demand.
09
8月
Last week, trading activity decreased slightly across the covered warrant market. With foreign trading activity, trading activity kept increasing in both supply and demand. However, selling pressure continued to overwhelm supply. Net sell value was VND2bn. Notably, trading interest from domestic and foreigners have shifted to cover warrants which have STB and HPG as the underlying asset.
09
8月
Long position on VN30F2208 near 1,220-1,225 pts area should be held and stop the loss when there is the closing price below 1,215 pts level. (Hourly chart)
09
8月
The prelim export turnover of Vietnam’s textile and garment remained optimistic with 16.9% yoy and 2.7% mom, to USD3.68bn in July. The US persisted as the largest textile and garment importer with a USD1.8bn, +13.1% yoy/-0.1% mom, accounting for 48.8% of Vietnam's total textile and garment export value. Overall, in 7M22, Vietnam’s textile and garment export turnover soared 20.6% yoy to USD22.3bn.
09
8月
Based on the recovery, the uptrend is still intact in the short term. Therefore, traders may hold long positions focusing on the leading sectors.
24
8月
U.S July Retail sales and Vietnam T&G exports According to the latest data from the U.S. Census Bureau, retail sales in the U.S. increased by 0.7% MoM in July of 2023, marking a fourth consecutive rise, and beating market forecasts of a 0.4% increase. In more detail, US clothing store sales grew 1.34% YoY in July, slightly decelerated from 2.69% in June, but remain higher than the one-year slowest growth of 0.32% in April. The potential upturn in US clothing sales, given a relatively strong correlation with Vietnam T&G exports, subsequently benefiting this export sector in the latter half of 2023.
02
8月
July’s data revealed a substantial improvement in economic activities with a softer decline in export turnover, an improving industrial production, and a renewed acceleration in retail sales. On one hand, U.S. consumers tend to regain their confidence during the late phase of the global interest rate hike, fastening the resolution of the overstocking and consequently promoting Vietnam’s export activities. On the other hand, retail sales recorded a higher growth rate than in June coupled with moderate inflation after a series of easing fiscal policies, likely reflecting an expanding demand. We predict economic performance to improve further next month due to softening external headwinds and expanding domestic demand.
28
7月
Although the economic performance picked up in 2Q23 in the late stage of the global interest rate hike, we believe that the acceleration of economic activities will need more time to be material due to the insignificant improvement of external factors and the weakening recovery in domestic consumption. On the upside, public investment will continue to be a spotlight in 3Q23 thanks to the government's effort in realizing the significantly higher workload than last year. In addition, the well-controlled inflation and stable exchange rate provide more space for the monetary authority to follow the easing tendency in the next quarter.
13
7月
Although the economic performance picked up in 2Q23 in the late stage of the global interest rate hike, we believe that the acceleration of economic activities will need more time to be material due to the insignificant improvement of external factors and the weakening recovery in domestic consumption. On the upside, public investment will continue to be a spotlight in 3Q23 thanks to the government's effort in realizing the significantly higher workload than last year. Investment opportunities exist in Power and Agriculture, Seafood industries that backed by El-Nino and China consumption themes. Besides, crushed stone industry also offers a lucrative choice from 3Q23 for those investors seeking for rising public spending theme. We expect the target range for VNIndex in 2H23 to be 1,260-1,340 points.
30
6月
GSO’s June report shows a slight acceleration in economic performance for the second quarter of 2023. Although the economic growth surpassed the downgraded market assessment, it is far from the expected value in the eco-socio tasks. For the latest update in June, export activities deteriorated under the persistent slowdown in the consumption of Vietnam’s major trading partners, showing challenges for the economy to speed up. Regarding domestic factors, the recovery momentum in post-pandemic exhausted with retail sales much lower than the potential level. In the short term, we predict public investment will mainly support economic growth before material improvement in external factors occurs.