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MWG – AGM Brief – High growth in 2022F guidance earnings

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25

4月

MWG – AGM Brief – High growth in 2022F guidance earnings

On April 23, Mobile World held its Annual General Meeting which gave the audience a walkthrough of the 2022F business expansion plan. Key focus areas are Bach Hoa Xanh (BHX) and An Khang chains. - MWG sets optimistic 2022F guidance with net revenue of VND140tn (+14% yoy) and NPAT of VND6,350bn (+30% yoy). The higher profit growth rate implies that BHX will reduce its losses in 2022F. Based on management's guidance of 2022F profit, 12MF PE is 14.8x and 12MF PB is 3.7x, lower than the 2-year median PE of 15.6x and PB of 4.0x.

Report (106)

25

4月

NKG – AGM Brief: Capacity expansion – higher quality products

The company targets a VND28,000bn revenue (-2.1%yoy) and a VND1,600bn NPAT (-28% yoy) amid input volatility and logistic cost concerns. In 1Q22, the company’s revenue was VND7,100bn (+46% yoy) and NPAT was VND507bn (+58.9% yoy), fulfilling 25.3%/31.6% of annual guidance, respectively. 2Q22 revenue is expected to be over VND8,000bn.

Report (106)

22

4月

PVD – AGM Brief – Earnings guidance is left blank

PVD targets a VND4.7tn revenue (+17.5% yoy), and a VND0bn PBT (vs VND62bn in 2021) in 2022F. The earnings guidance is set blank as the company has yet reaped the fruitful results from the oil price hike. Per the company, although the drilling market has started to warm thanks to rising oil prices, however, some drilling contracts were already signed in 2021 with low Jack-up (JU) day rates. PVD expects the JU day rate will improve from 3Q22F thanks to new contracts.

Report (108)

22

4月

SSI – Brief – 1Q22 Earnings: Squeezed brokerage performance

On April 20, SSI Securities (SSI) announced consolidated business results for 1Q22. Revenue was pegged VND2,008bn(-17% qoq, +33% yoy) and NPAT was VND706bn (-29% qoq , +67% yoy). 1Q22 fulfilled 19% and 20% of full-year company’s target for revenue and profit, respectively. With the lost market share on HSX, brokerage revenue was VND599bn (-24% qoq, +37% yoy). Brokerage rate was also reduced to 0.1845% (-0.43bps qoq). Margin balance at end-Mar was VND20,620bn (-9.4% qoq) and still the top 1 in margin provider. Although margin balance dropped by 10%, revenue from this profession recorded VND566bn (+2% qoq, +131% yoy) thanks to improved lending rate.

Report (106)

21

4月

VHC – AGM brief [BUY] Sustainable plans of the top

The company held an AGM session on Apr 20th to articulate the business plan, coming out with optimistic business guidance. The company targets a VND13,000bn revenue (+43.5% yoy) and a VND1,600bn NPAT (+46% yoy) in 2022F. In 1Q22, the company reached VND3,276bn in revenue (+83% yoy) and VND553bn in NPAT (+3.2x yoy) completing 24%/33% of full-year forecast.

Report (106)

21

4月

Steel – Sector Brief – Mar Steel Production

This monthly report on Vietnam steel production is intended to track the developments in the steel market. During Mar 22, we observed the continuous domestic revival in all finished steel products on month-on-month basic. . The total consumption volume (excluded steel coil) was up 17.4% mom to 1.9mn tonnes, -6.0% yoy.

Report (106)

20

4月

HPG – Brief – Mar 2022 – Operational Updates

The March performance witnessed the strong demand for most steel products, especially, construction steel and HRC ones. Export is the important drivers for growth in 3M22, in which, construction steel export volume grew 151% yoy to 369,943 tonnes.

Report (108)

20

4月

NKG – Brief – March 2022 Operational Updates

The March performance witnessed the continuing revival in domestic sales volume on month-on-month basis. Domestic volume of steel coat recorded 23,645 tonnes (+15.2% mom, +19.7% yoy) and steel pipes volume posted 16,470 tonnes (+7.1% mom and -22.7% yoy). Export is still the important driver for growth in 3M22.

Report (106)

20

4月

HSG – Brief – March 2022 Operational Updates

HSG witnessed the slightly weaker performance in FY6M2022 on year-on-year basis caused by weak sales volume in first 3 months of 2022: 3M2022 total sales volume at 461,334 tonnes, -22.6% yoy. 3M2022 export volume dropped significantly by 44.1% yoy to 197,256 tonnes, which is the main reason for weaker performance in FY6M2022 while 3M2022 domestic total sales volume increased 8.5% yoy to 264,075 tonnes.

Report (106)

20

4月

Insurance – Brief – Feb updates

According to Insurance Association of Viet Nam (IAV), 2M21 total life premium was pegged at VND21,888bn (+17.2% yoy). In detail, the premium of renewal contract led the industry growth with VND15,829bn (32%yoy), offset by the tepid premium of new placement contract with VND6,059bn (-9.5% yoy). Non-life insurance premium surged to VND11,248bn (+15.3% yoy) with positive growth rate from health insurance, motor vehicle and P&C insurance. On the other side, the increasing trend of both deposit rates and bond yields will secure the investment income of insurance companies as the majority of insurance companies’ financial assets are in the form of bank term deposits and bond (both government and corporate).

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Featured Articles

24

8月

U.S July Retail sales and Vietnam T&G exports

U.S July Retail sales and Vietnam T&G exports According to the latest data from the U.S. Census Bureau, retail sales in the U.S. increased by 0.7% MoM in July of 2023, marking a fourth consecutive rise, and beating market forecasts of a 0.4% increase. In more detail, US clothing store sales grew 1.34% YoY in July, slightly decelerated from 2.69% in June, but remain higher than the one-year slowest growth of 0.32% in April. The potential upturn in US clothing sales, given a relatively strong correlation with Vietnam T&G exports, subsequently benefiting this export sector in the latter half of 2023.

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02

8月

An improved economic performance amidst easing external headwinds

July’s data revealed a substantial improvement in economic activities with a softer decline in export turnover, an improving industrial production, and a renewed acceleration in retail sales. On one hand, U.S. consumers tend to regain their confidence during the late phase of the global interest rate hike, fastening the resolution of the overstocking and consequently promoting Vietnam’s export activities. On the other hand, retail sales recorded a higher growth rate than in June coupled with moderate inflation after a series of easing fiscal policies, likely reflecting an expanding demand. We predict economic performance to improve further next month due to softening external headwinds and expanding domestic demand.

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28

7月

Vietnam’s economy: gaining momentum

Although the economic performance picked up in 2Q23 in the late stage of the global interest rate hike, we believe that the acceleration of economic activities will need more time to be material due to the insignificant improvement of external factors and the weakening recovery in domestic consumption. On the upside, public investment will continue to be a spotlight in 3Q23 thanks to the government's effort in realizing the significantly higher workload than last year. In addition, the well-controlled inflation and stable exchange rate provide more space for the monetary authority to follow the easing tendency in the next quarter.

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13

7月

3Q23 Strategic Insight: Embrace the opportunity

Although the economic performance picked up in 2Q23 in the late stage of the global interest rate hike, we believe that the acceleration of economic activities will need more time to be material due to the insignificant improvement of external factors and the weakening recovery in domestic consumption. On the upside, public investment will continue to be a spotlight in 3Q23 thanks to the government's effort in realizing the significantly higher workload than last year. Investment opportunities exist in Power and Agriculture, Seafood industries that backed by El-Nino and China consumption themes. Besides, crushed stone industry also offers a lucrative choice from 3Q23 for those investors seeking for rising public spending theme. We expect the target range for VNIndex in 2H23 to be 1,260-1,340 points.

Report (197)

30

6月

Slight pickup amidst persistent global challenges

GSO’s June report shows a slight acceleration in economic performance for the second quarter of 2023. Although the economic growth surpassed the downgraded market assessment, it is far from the expected value in the eco-socio tasks. For the latest update in June, export activities deteriorated under the persistent slowdown in the consumption of Vietnam’s major trading partners, showing challenges for the economy to speed up. Regarding domestic factors, the recovery momentum in post-pandemic exhausted with retail sales much lower than the potential level. In the short term, we predict public investment will mainly support economic growth before material improvement in external factors occurs.

Report (195)

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