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Chart of the day: Wait for bottoming signals

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23

10月

Chart of the day: Wait for bottoming signals

In this situation, investors need to be cautious, stay on the sidelines and wait for the next reversal signal.

Report (137)

23

10月

Market commentary: Bullish Engulfing pattern

The downside risk is still present as the VNIndex closes below the 100-period moving average. Therefore, investors should stay on the sidelines and wait for the next signals.

Report (355)

20

10月

Market commentary: Still “Sliding downhill without brakes”

The stock market has a 4th consecutive deep loss session by more than 1%, indicating selling pressure is still present. The downside risk is intact as the VNIndex remains to end below the 200-period moving average. Therefore, investors should reduce a portion of stocks in their portfolio to the safety threshold and wait for the next signal.

Report (355)

18

10月

Market commentary: Massive divest in the ATC session

The big sell orders in the ATC sessions causes the stock market to experience a 2nd consecutive deep loss session. Selling pressure suddenly intensifies again with the VNIndex maintaining to close below the 50-period moving average, indicating the downside risk is intact. However, the important support level of the 1,100-pts threshold is still not breakout. Therefore, investors should stand aside and carefully observe the next movements. The next time, if VNIndex breaks the above support level with high liquidity, investors should start to reduce a portion of stocks in their portfolio to the safety threshold.

Report (355)

17

10月

ETF Review: Local ETFs buy HDB the most

The HoSE announced the new constituents of the VN DIAMOND Index last Monday. As per the announcement, the index will remove DHC while adding HDB in the 4Q23 review. Furthermore, the VN30Index and the VNFIN LEAD Index will rebalance its weight based on the new free-float rate, share outstanding, and price… The new weight will be effective on 06 Nov 2023.

Report (204)

17

10月

Fundflow 09-13 Oct: Vietnam is divested again

In general, demand declined significantly, while selling pressure intensified strongly again in domestic ETFs. In this case, outflow across Vietnam may persist in the next time. However, it is likely that this situation will not be prolonged, in the context of the stock market's ongoing recovery trend.

Report (86)

17

10月

Market commentary: Faces the strong resistance zone

The stock market encounters difficulties when the VNIndex approaches the strong resistance zone of 1,150-1,160 points, indicating selling pressure is still present and quite significant. The downside risk is intact due to this index maintaining to end below the 50-period moving average. Therefore, investors should stand aside and wait for the next signal. The next time, if the VNIndex surpasses the above resistance zone, investors can open again exploratory long positions and focus on leading stocks.

Report (355)

13

10月

Market commentary: Narrow the upward trend

The stock market closes around the reference points with improved liquidity, indicating investors’ sentiment is still quite cautious. Moreover, the downside risk is still present as the VNIndex maintains to end below the 50-period moving average. Therefore, investors should stand aside and carefully observe the next movements of the market.

Report (355)

13

10月

ETF Review: VN DIAMOND adds HDB

In this quarterly review, the VN DIAMOND Index is expected to remove DHC and add HDB. The results will be announced on 16 Oct 2023, the new weight will be effective on 06 Nov 2023.

Report (203)

10

10月

Fundflow 02-06 Oct: Inflow remains in Vietnam

We expect that the inflow across Vietnam could decrease in upcoming quarters due to the diminish of demand on foreign ETFs, but the net flow would be flat cause the outflow on ETFs could be covered by the inflow from others.

Report (86)
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24

8月

U.S July Retail sales and Vietnam T&G exports

U.S July Retail sales and Vietnam T&G exports According to the latest data from the U.S. Census Bureau, retail sales in the U.S. increased by 0.7% MoM in July of 2023, marking a fourth consecutive rise, and beating market forecasts of a 0.4% increase. In more detail, US clothing store sales grew 1.34% YoY in July, slightly decelerated from 2.69% in June, but remain higher than the one-year slowest growth of 0.32% in April. The potential upturn in US clothing sales, given a relatively strong correlation with Vietnam T&G exports, subsequently benefiting this export sector in the latter half of 2023.

Report (198)

02

8月

An improved economic performance amidst easing external headwinds

July’s data revealed a substantial improvement in economic activities with a softer decline in export turnover, an improving industrial production, and a renewed acceleration in retail sales. On one hand, U.S. consumers tend to regain their confidence during the late phase of the global interest rate hike, fastening the resolution of the overstocking and consequently promoting Vietnam’s export activities. On the other hand, retail sales recorded a higher growth rate than in June coupled with moderate inflation after a series of easing fiscal policies, likely reflecting an expanding demand. We predict economic performance to improve further next month due to softening external headwinds and expanding domestic demand.

Report (197)

28

7月

Vietnam’s economy: gaining momentum

Although the economic performance picked up in 2Q23 in the late stage of the global interest rate hike, we believe that the acceleration of economic activities will need more time to be material due to the insignificant improvement of external factors and the weakening recovery in domestic consumption. On the upside, public investment will continue to be a spotlight in 3Q23 thanks to the government's effort in realizing the significantly higher workload than last year. In addition, the well-controlled inflation and stable exchange rate provide more space for the monetary authority to follow the easing tendency in the next quarter.

Report (195)

13

7月

3Q23 Strategic Insight: Embrace the opportunity

Although the economic performance picked up in 2Q23 in the late stage of the global interest rate hike, we believe that the acceleration of economic activities will need more time to be material due to the insignificant improvement of external factors and the weakening recovery in domestic consumption. On the upside, public investment will continue to be a spotlight in 3Q23 thanks to the government's effort in realizing the significantly higher workload than last year. Investment opportunities exist in Power and Agriculture, Seafood industries that backed by El-Nino and China consumption themes. Besides, crushed stone industry also offers a lucrative choice from 3Q23 for those investors seeking for rising public spending theme. We expect the target range for VNIndex in 2H23 to be 1,260-1,340 points.

Report (197)

30

6月

Slight pickup amidst persistent global challenges

GSO’s June report shows a slight acceleration in economic performance for the second quarter of 2023. Although the economic growth surpassed the downgraded market assessment, it is far from the expected value in the eco-socio tasks. For the latest update in June, export activities deteriorated under the persistent slowdown in the consumption of Vietnam’s major trading partners, showing challenges for the economy to speed up. Regarding domestic factors, the recovery momentum in post-pandemic exhausted with retail sales much lower than the potential level. In the short term, we predict public investment will mainly support economic growth before material improvement in external factors occurs.

Report (195)

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Phone: (84-28) 3914-8585. Fax: (84-28) 3821-6898. Email: isprime@kisvn.vn

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