30
3月
Market commentary: Bull trap?
Despite the recovery, the downside risk is still intact as the selling pressure appears at the 1,510-pts threshold. Therefore, traders should still be careful and stay on the sidelines.
30
3月
Despite the recovery, the downside risk is still intact as the selling pressure appears at the 1,510-pts threshold. Therefore, traders should still be careful and stay on the sidelines.
30
3月
On Mar 29, SZC made an AGM presentation briefing for the upcoming business expansion plan. Key issues covered were the 2022F guidance and their long-term targets. In 2022F, SZC’s earnings guidance retreats by 43.2% yoy despite a flattish revenue growth forecast of 7.3% yoy, per management. Based on management's guidance of 2022F profit, 12MF PE is 42.3 times and 12MF PB is 4.7 times, remarkably higher than the 2-year median of 17.2x and 2.7x, respectively.
29
3月
Last week, trading activity is more active across the cover warrant market, up 14% WoW. However, foreign trading activity dropped and continued to be net sold.
29
3月
On Mar 29, Petrolimex (PLX) held the 2022 extraordinary Annual General Meeting to elect the Board of Management and Board of Supervisors members for 2021-2026F. It is the 1st time PLX elects an independent BoM member. The company also mentioned about its divestment plans in PJICO and PG Bank in 2022F and its petroleum import plan in 2022F in the context of decreasing supply from Nghi Son Oil Refinery plant.
29
3月
In 2M22, MWG recorded total revenue of VND25,383bn (+16.9% yoy) and a total NPAT of VND 1,077 bn (+7.8% yoy), fulfilling 18%/17% guidance. In which, TGDD and DMX achieved VND21,300bn revenue (+20% yoy). Meanwhile, the BHX chain recorded revenue of VND3.900bn (-2.5% yoy). Per MWG, BHX’s strategy will focus on boosting sales volume through promotions which will affect temporarily the BHX chain’s profit margins in 2022F
29
3月
Based on the strong bearish session, the downside risk is still intact as the selling pressure appears at the 1,510-pts threshold. Therefore, traders should still be careful and stay on the sidelines.
29
3月
VN30F2204 is having the tendency to retest the 1,460 pts area. Traders should continue to stay on the sidelines and wait for accurate trading signal due to the increase of volatility level in upcoming sessions.
29
3月
Foreign demand surged. Demand focused on Real Estate, Industrials, and Consumer Staples. With ETF flow, inflow ticked up, driven by the strong demand on VFMVN Diamond and Fubon FTSE.
28
3月
On Mar 26, PDR held a 2022 AMG briefing for the upcoming business expansion plan. Key issues covered were the 2022F guidance, and funding demand. The company offered its guidance for 2022F with a VND10.7tn revenue, 127.7% yoy and a VND2.9tn net profit, 55.5% yoy. PDR has yet supplied further information on the new funding demand but is eyeing on issuing abroad and green bonds.
28
3月
In the short term, the downside risk is still intact as the selling pressure appears at the 1,510-pts threshold. Therefore, traders should still be careful and stay on the sidelines.
24
8月
U.S July Retail sales and Vietnam T&G exports According to the latest data from the U.S. Census Bureau, retail sales in the U.S. increased by 0.7% MoM in July of 2023, marking a fourth consecutive rise, and beating market forecasts of a 0.4% increase. In more detail, US clothing store sales grew 1.34% YoY in July, slightly decelerated from 2.69% in June, but remain higher than the one-year slowest growth of 0.32% in April. The potential upturn in US clothing sales, given a relatively strong correlation with Vietnam T&G exports, subsequently benefiting this export sector in the latter half of 2023.
02
8月
July’s data revealed a substantial improvement in economic activities with a softer decline in export turnover, an improving industrial production, and a renewed acceleration in retail sales. On one hand, U.S. consumers tend to regain their confidence during the late phase of the global interest rate hike, fastening the resolution of the overstocking and consequently promoting Vietnam’s export activities. On the other hand, retail sales recorded a higher growth rate than in June coupled with moderate inflation after a series of easing fiscal policies, likely reflecting an expanding demand. We predict economic performance to improve further next month due to softening external headwinds and expanding domestic demand.
28
7月
Although the economic performance picked up in 2Q23 in the late stage of the global interest rate hike, we believe that the acceleration of economic activities will need more time to be material due to the insignificant improvement of external factors and the weakening recovery in domestic consumption. On the upside, public investment will continue to be a spotlight in 3Q23 thanks to the government's effort in realizing the significantly higher workload than last year. In addition, the well-controlled inflation and stable exchange rate provide more space for the monetary authority to follow the easing tendency in the next quarter.
13
7月
Although the economic performance picked up in 2Q23 in the late stage of the global interest rate hike, we believe that the acceleration of economic activities will need more time to be material due to the insignificant improvement of external factors and the weakening recovery in domestic consumption. On the upside, public investment will continue to be a spotlight in 3Q23 thanks to the government's effort in realizing the significantly higher workload than last year. Investment opportunities exist in Power and Agriculture, Seafood industries that backed by El-Nino and China consumption themes. Besides, crushed stone industry also offers a lucrative choice from 3Q23 for those investors seeking for rising public spending theme. We expect the target range for VNIndex in 2H23 to be 1,260-1,340 points.
30
6月
GSO’s June report shows a slight acceleration in economic performance for the second quarter of 2023. Although the economic growth surpassed the downgraded market assessment, it is far from the expected value in the eco-socio tasks. For the latest update in June, export activities deteriorated under the persistent slowdown in the consumption of Vietnam’s major trading partners, showing challenges for the economy to speed up. Regarding domestic factors, the recovery momentum in post-pandemic exhausted with retail sales much lower than the potential level. In the short term, we predict public investment will mainly support economic growth before material improvement in external factors occurs.