13
6月
Daily derivatives: The range is still respected
Long position on VN30F2206 should be held and stop the loss when there is the closing price below 1,270 pts level. (Hourly chart)
13
6月
Long position on VN30F2206 should be held and stop the loss when there is the closing price below 1,270 pts level. (Hourly chart)
13
6月
Based on a bullish market, traders may open small long positions on leading stocks. However, the downside risk is still intact in the long term, hence, they should avoid buying on margin.
13
6月
Despite the strong contraction, the VNIndex maintains the bullish trend thanks to bullish signals of technical indicators. Therefore, traders may hold long positions.
10
6月
In May 2022, total electricity production was 23.34bn kWh (+3.2% mom, -2.7% yoy). Hydropower output also surged 47.9% yoy, 44.7% mom to hit 8.31bn kWh in the context of rising gas and coal prices when coal and gas thermal power output plunged. Vinacomin and Dong Bac pledged to supply enough coal for remaining months when total coal volume supplied to power plants is expected to reach 43.99mn tonnes. The nuclear power plant and Block B - O Mon projects are considered to be resumed to meet surging power demand.
10
6月
The management sets conservative guidance when it targets the output of 4.34bn kWh (+35% yoy), revenue of VND8,129bn (+32% yoy), and PAT of VND468bn (-12% yoy). NT2 is going to pay a 15% cash dividend at par for 2022F. In 1Q22, NT2 recorded a splendid result with a VND2,006bn (+22% yoy) and a VND159.6bn (+38.9% yoy), fulfilling 25%/34% annual guidance. 2Q22’s net profit is predicted to exceed 20% of quarterly plan. NT2 expects to enjoy better results in 2022F and a spectacular result since 2024F when its assets reach full depreciation.
10
6月
The VNIndex confirms the bullish trend thanks to the breakout of the small rectangle, continuation pattern, with a target price of around 1,400 pts. Therefore, traders may open and hold long positions.
10
6月
Long position on VN30F2206 should be held and stop the loss when there is the closing price below 1,270 pts level. (Hourly chart)
09
6月
Based on the breakout, the VNIndex confirmed the small rectangle, continuation Pattern, with a target price of around 1,400 pts. Therefore, traders may open and hold long positions.
09
6月
Long position on VN30F2206 should be held and stop the loss when there is the closing price below 1,270 pts level. (Hourly chart)
Based on our estimates, 1Q22 aggregated revenue of listed T&G and yarn companies perked up 32.6%/22.6% yoy while NPATMI soared 71.5%/ 22.3% yoy, respectively. Top companies include VGG (+550% yoy), HTG (+247.6% yoy), and VGT (+102% yoy). 2Q is a typical peak period when production begins for the next fall/winter season. Inventory assets swelled 24.5% yoy as of end-1Q22 in T&G companies, and this demonstrates healthy conditions among clients. Vietnam’s textile and garment export turnover in Apr 2022 sustains the revival growth of 28.4% yoy and 3.6% mom to USD3.1bn. Revenue recovery could ramp up in 2Q22F for T&G segments.
24
8月
U.S July Retail sales and Vietnam T&G exports According to the latest data from the U.S. Census Bureau, retail sales in the U.S. increased by 0.7% MoM in July of 2023, marking a fourth consecutive rise, and beating market forecasts of a 0.4% increase. In more detail, US clothing store sales grew 1.34% YoY in July, slightly decelerated from 2.69% in June, but remain higher than the one-year slowest growth of 0.32% in April. The potential upturn in US clothing sales, given a relatively strong correlation with Vietnam T&G exports, subsequently benefiting this export sector in the latter half of 2023.
02
8月
July’s data revealed a substantial improvement in economic activities with a softer decline in export turnover, an improving industrial production, and a renewed acceleration in retail sales. On one hand, U.S. consumers tend to regain their confidence during the late phase of the global interest rate hike, fastening the resolution of the overstocking and consequently promoting Vietnam’s export activities. On the other hand, retail sales recorded a higher growth rate than in June coupled with moderate inflation after a series of easing fiscal policies, likely reflecting an expanding demand. We predict economic performance to improve further next month due to softening external headwinds and expanding domestic demand.
28
7月
Although the economic performance picked up in 2Q23 in the late stage of the global interest rate hike, we believe that the acceleration of economic activities will need more time to be material due to the insignificant improvement of external factors and the weakening recovery in domestic consumption. On the upside, public investment will continue to be a spotlight in 3Q23 thanks to the government's effort in realizing the significantly higher workload than last year. In addition, the well-controlled inflation and stable exchange rate provide more space for the monetary authority to follow the easing tendency in the next quarter.
13
7月
Although the economic performance picked up in 2Q23 in the late stage of the global interest rate hike, we believe that the acceleration of economic activities will need more time to be material due to the insignificant improvement of external factors and the weakening recovery in domestic consumption. On the upside, public investment will continue to be a spotlight in 3Q23 thanks to the government's effort in realizing the significantly higher workload than last year. Investment opportunities exist in Power and Agriculture, Seafood industries that backed by El-Nino and China consumption themes. Besides, crushed stone industry also offers a lucrative choice from 3Q23 for those investors seeking for rising public spending theme. We expect the target range for VNIndex in 2H23 to be 1,260-1,340 points.
30
6月
GSO’s June report shows a slight acceleration in economic performance for the second quarter of 2023. Although the economic growth surpassed the downgraded market assessment, it is far from the expected value in the eco-socio tasks. For the latest update in June, export activities deteriorated under the persistent slowdown in the consumption of Vietnam’s major trading partners, showing challenges for the economy to speed up. Regarding domestic factors, the recovery momentum in post-pandemic exhausted with retail sales much lower than the potential level. In the short term, we predict public investment will mainly support economic growth before material improvement in external factors occurs.