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GEG – Note – Non-rated – GEG will benefit from PDP VIII

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08

8月

GEG – Note – Non-rated – GEG will benefit from PDP VIII

Thanks to the 3 new wind power projects which officially operated at the end of 2021, GEG’s output volume was considerably up 47% yoy to 217mn kWh which made the total revenue to have an impressive growth of 58% yoy, to VND506bn. However, 2Q22’s NPAT-post MI plunged 53% yoy to VND30bn due to the surging depreciation and interest expenses. GEG is awaiting the regulation regarding “transitional” renewable energy projects and it is expected to be a beneficiary of PDP VIII.

Report (106)

05

8月

VNM-Brief-HOLD-The worst is over

VNM recorded domestic market revenue of VND12,471bn (-5.9% yoy) contributed by the parent’s domestic revenue of VND10,994bn (-7.2% yoy) and VND839bn (+6.2% yoy) revenue of MCM in 2Q22. The decrease in domestic revenue was caused by weak demand amid high inflation and distribution restructuring in 2Q22. However, VNM has recorded positive signals after restructuring, with revenue growth of 3% and 10% yoy in June and July, respectively.

Report (108)

04

8月

SSI – Note – Non-rated – Long experience made difference

Occurrences of the stock market in 2Q22 were unexpectedly unforable for securities companies and SSI is no exception. Revenue was VND1,629bn (-18.9% qoq, -7.8% yoy) and net profit was VND421bn (-40.4% qoq, -28.7% yoy). All the professions of SSI had negative growths, except IB revenue with solid income. As of Aug 3rd, SSI is trading at price of VND23.550 dong, PE 7.75x which is below 2-year average of company at 16x and also below sector's avrage at 13.2x.

Report (115)

03

8月

MSN-Brief-HOLD-Maintaining strong expansion in 2H22

On 02 August, we joined Masan Group’s analyst meeting to update more details on 2Q22 business result. MSN posted VND17,834bn revenue (-16.0% yoy) and VND918bn NPAT-MI (+24.0% yoy) in 2Q22, EBITDA margin was improved by 3.1%p to 20.7%. Thus, MSN recorded VND36,023bn revenue (-12.6% yoy) and VND2,577bn NPAT-MI (+163.3% yoy) in 1H22, fulfilling of 38%/47% of 2022 guidance. Excluding the feed segment, the revenue of MSN would record an increase of 9.1% yoy and 6.3% yoy in 1H22 and 2Q22, respectively.

Report (108)

03

8月

Pharmaceutical – Note – [Non-rated] – 2Q22 Earning

Although the absolute result of the pharmaceutical industry showed a positive signal about the recovery of the pharmaceutical industry, it was not very impressive as the revenue growth only inched 4.6% qoq in 2Q22 and the NPAT posted a fall of 4.7% qoq.

Report (109)

03

8月

Seafood – Sector Brief – July seafood export updates

In Jul 2022, Vietnam’s prelim seafood export recorded USD1,047mn, up 14% yoy but down 7% mom. Shrimp and pangasius export increased 3% yoy and 68% yoy in Jul. Yet, shrimp export fell 15% mom and pangasius export declined 10% mom since the demand import in the key market as US and China drop significantly.

Report (110)

03

8月

Fertilizer – 2Q22 Earning Note

Based on our estimate, 2Q22 aggregated revenue of 26 listed fertilizer producers rose 46.0% yoy (VND31.9tn), while aggregated NPAT climbed 211.0% yoy (VND5.5tn). However, compared to the first quarter, it could be said that the fertilizer sector had the lag business results with a 1.3%/20.4% qoq decrease in revenue and net profit.

Report (110)

02

8月

NVL-Brief-Nonrated-Earnings quality is questionable

On Aug 1, Novaland released its 2Q22 business results, featuring mixed performance. Novaland recorded its 2Q22 flattish 4.5% yoy growth of topline (VND2,658.2bn) driven by a VND2.2bn handover value of low-rise houses in Aqua City, NovaWorld Ho Tram, NovaWorld Phan Thiet, NovaHill Mui Ne, Soho Residence and Victoria Village. However, NPATMI plunged sharply by 44% yoy to VND749bn, due to the absence of one-off other income of VND1,691.5bn recorded in 2Q21

Report (106)

02

8月

KDH-Review-BUY-One in a million

Khang Dien House Trading and Investment JSC’s (KDH) 2Q22 revenue reached VND732.5bn, -34.1% yoy and NPATMI posted VND331.8bn, 24.6% yoy. Gross margin (GM) in 2Q22 boomed by 25.5% p yoy and 13.7%p qoq to 67.9%. As we expect, the sales events could be kicked off from 2H22F. Contrast to the sluggish presales growth in 2021 which was impeded by social lockdown, KDH is exciting to come back the real estate market

Report (106)

01

8月

VIC-Brief-Nonrated-New era, new hope

We attended VIC's analyst meeting on Jul 29 to be covered with their strategy on Vinfast vision. We are highly regarding their fast-than-expected global presence in North Carolina. Even the gross margin plunged sharply in 2Q22, we think the market share is much more important.

Report (106)
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Featured Articles

24

8月

U.S July Retail sales and Vietnam T&G exports

U.S July Retail sales and Vietnam T&G exports According to the latest data from the U.S. Census Bureau, retail sales in the U.S. increased by 0.7% MoM in July of 2023, marking a fourth consecutive rise, and beating market forecasts of a 0.4% increase. In more detail, US clothing store sales grew 1.34% YoY in July, slightly decelerated from 2.69% in June, but remain higher than the one-year slowest growth of 0.32% in April. The potential upturn in US clothing sales, given a relatively strong correlation with Vietnam T&G exports, subsequently benefiting this export sector in the latter half of 2023.

Report (198)

02

8月

An improved economic performance amidst easing external headwinds

July’s data revealed a substantial improvement in economic activities with a softer decline in export turnover, an improving industrial production, and a renewed acceleration in retail sales. On one hand, U.S. consumers tend to regain their confidence during the late phase of the global interest rate hike, fastening the resolution of the overstocking and consequently promoting Vietnam’s export activities. On the other hand, retail sales recorded a higher growth rate than in June coupled with moderate inflation after a series of easing fiscal policies, likely reflecting an expanding demand. We predict economic performance to improve further next month due to softening external headwinds and expanding domestic demand.

Report (197)

28

7月

Vietnam’s economy: gaining momentum

Although the economic performance picked up in 2Q23 in the late stage of the global interest rate hike, we believe that the acceleration of economic activities will need more time to be material due to the insignificant improvement of external factors and the weakening recovery in domestic consumption. On the upside, public investment will continue to be a spotlight in 3Q23 thanks to the government's effort in realizing the significantly higher workload than last year. In addition, the well-controlled inflation and stable exchange rate provide more space for the monetary authority to follow the easing tendency in the next quarter.

Report (195)

13

7月

3Q23 Strategic Insight: Embrace the opportunity

Although the economic performance picked up in 2Q23 in the late stage of the global interest rate hike, we believe that the acceleration of economic activities will need more time to be material due to the insignificant improvement of external factors and the weakening recovery in domestic consumption. On the upside, public investment will continue to be a spotlight in 3Q23 thanks to the government's effort in realizing the significantly higher workload than last year. Investment opportunities exist in Power and Agriculture, Seafood industries that backed by El-Nino and China consumption themes. Besides, crushed stone industry also offers a lucrative choice from 3Q23 for those investors seeking for rising public spending theme. We expect the target range for VNIndex in 2H23 to be 1,260-1,340 points.

Report (197)

30

6月

Slight pickup amidst persistent global challenges

GSO’s June report shows a slight acceleration in economic performance for the second quarter of 2023. Although the economic growth surpassed the downgraded market assessment, it is far from the expected value in the eco-socio tasks. For the latest update in June, export activities deteriorated under the persistent slowdown in the consumption of Vietnam’s major trading partners, showing challenges for the economy to speed up. Regarding domestic factors, the recovery momentum in post-pandemic exhausted with retail sales much lower than the potential level. In the short term, we predict public investment will mainly support economic growth before material improvement in external factors occurs.

Report (195)

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