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Fertilizer – Brief – [Non-rated] – Puny export volume

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24

8月

Fertilizer – Brief – [Non-rated] – Puny export volume

In Jul, the total fertilizer export volume was 112,705 tonnes (-55% mom and +30% yoy), equivalent to nearly USD75mn (-53% mom and +121 yoy). Although the export volume shrunk in Jul, the export prices were still higher than the Jun level (USD665/tonne vs USD644/tonne). In 7M22, Vietnam exported more than 1.1mn tonnes (+42% yoy) of fertilizer with USD722mn (+174% yoy). In which, Cambodia was the largest export market with 298 thousand tonnes (-13% yoy) and more than USD160mn (+33% yoy).

Report (110)

23

8月

MWG – Brief – HOLD – Challenge on the horizon

MWG’s net revenue and net profit of 1H22 were VND70.8tn and VND2.6tn, increased by +16% yoy and +1% yoy respectively. The slower growth of net profit was mainly driven by higher expenses for renovations of BHX stores. In July, MWG’s revenue was VND11tn (+16% yoy), in which: revenue of TGDD&DMX: VND8.4 tn (+63% yoy); BHX: VND2.35tn (-14% yoy). MWG is expected to meet the revenue target, however, it seems to be highly challenging to reach the net profit growth target of 34% as guided.

Report (107)

22

8月

TCM-Brief-Nonrated-Shine on a low base

TCM posted impressive business results in July with revenue of USD17.1mn (+118% yoy) and NPAT of USD1.5mn (+224% yoy) thanks to a low base of the same period last year as the Southern region was in lockdown due to Covid tension. Overall, in 7M22, the company achieved USD108.3mn (+13% yoy) in revenue and USD6.7mn in NPAT (+17% yoy), fulfilling 61% and 62% of its 2022F guidance, respectively.

Report (110)

22

8月

HPG – Brief – HOLD – July 2022 Construction export stole spot light

The July performance witnessed a slight increase in total sales volume thanks to the great performance of steel pipes and construction steel export. HPG is expected to continue seeing weak domestic market demand amid high inflation concerns and the rainy season.

Report (110)

22

8月

HSG – Brief – Nonrated -July 2022 Continuing Weak Sales Volume

We witnessed the slump in performance of FY10M2022 on year-on-year basis caused by weak sales volume in first 7 months of 2022, which showed a significant drop in demand from both domestic and export channels.

Report (107)

22

8月

NKG – Brief – Nonrated – July 2022 Weak demand dragged overall performance

The July performance witnessed the significant decline in export volume, however, export still remains as the key growth driver in 7M22. Weak demand dragged overall performance. In which, domestic sales volume dropped significantly by 13.8% yoy.

Report (107)

22

8月

Steel – Sector Brief – July Steel Production Update

This monthly report on Vietnam steel production is intended to track the developments in the steel market. During July 22, it’s no surprised that we observed the weak demand in both domestic and export markets. We expect the trend to continue in next months.

Report (107)

18

8月

Power- Note- Nonrated – Hydropower hits the jackpot in 3Q22F

In 2Q22, hydropower volume soared up 51% yoy thanks to high rainfall levels and rising global coal & fuel oil prices which made coal thermal and gas-fired power output plunged 26% yoy and 7% yoy. Despite that, some thermal makers namely HND, QTP, NT2 profit still have positive profit growth thanks to rising selling price. We expect the favorable weather condition in 3Q22 will be beneficial to hydropower generators in the North and central region.

Report (111)

17

8月

Insurance – Sector Brief – June updates: Non-life is on the rise

On Aug 16th, The Insurance Association of Viet Nam (IAV) announced 1H22 market figures. Total insurance premium in 1H22 was VND118,252bn (+15.2% yoy). In which, life insurance premium increased by 15.7% to VND84,467bn; non-life insurance premium also surged by 14.1% to VND33,785bn. Non-life insurance growth slightly increased to 14.1% in 1H22, still on the rise with double-digit figures. Whilst, life insurance market recorded a 15.7% growth in insurance premium which is lower than the growth over 20% of last year.

Report (122)

17

8月

Seafood – Note – Overweight – 2Q22 Earning Note: Climb to new peaks

In 2Q22, 24 listed seafood exporters recorded a VND18,728bn revenue (+33.3% yoy) and VND1,770bn NPAT (+138.3% yoy). 2Q22 GPM expanded to 19.6%, +6.8%p yoy and net margin widened to 9.5%, +4.2%p yoy, while SG&A/revenue ratio edged up 2.0%p yoy to 8.3%. Chiefly, large pangasius exporters reached new peaks or revenue and NPAT this quarter.

Report (110)
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Featured Articles

24

8月

U.S July Retail sales and Vietnam T&G exports

U.S July Retail sales and Vietnam T&G exports According to the latest data from the U.S. Census Bureau, retail sales in the U.S. increased by 0.7% MoM in July of 2023, marking a fourth consecutive rise, and beating market forecasts of a 0.4% increase. In more detail, US clothing store sales grew 1.34% YoY in July, slightly decelerated from 2.69% in June, but remain higher than the one-year slowest growth of 0.32% in April. The potential upturn in US clothing sales, given a relatively strong correlation with Vietnam T&G exports, subsequently benefiting this export sector in the latter half of 2023.

Report (198)

02

8月

An improved economic performance amidst easing external headwinds

July’s data revealed a substantial improvement in economic activities with a softer decline in export turnover, an improving industrial production, and a renewed acceleration in retail sales. On one hand, U.S. consumers tend to regain their confidence during the late phase of the global interest rate hike, fastening the resolution of the overstocking and consequently promoting Vietnam’s export activities. On the other hand, retail sales recorded a higher growth rate than in June coupled with moderate inflation after a series of easing fiscal policies, likely reflecting an expanding demand. We predict economic performance to improve further next month due to softening external headwinds and expanding domestic demand.

Report (197)

28

7月

Vietnam’s economy: gaining momentum

Although the economic performance picked up in 2Q23 in the late stage of the global interest rate hike, we believe that the acceleration of economic activities will need more time to be material due to the insignificant improvement of external factors and the weakening recovery in domestic consumption. On the upside, public investment will continue to be a spotlight in 3Q23 thanks to the government's effort in realizing the significantly higher workload than last year. In addition, the well-controlled inflation and stable exchange rate provide more space for the monetary authority to follow the easing tendency in the next quarter.

Report (195)

13

7月

3Q23 Strategic Insight: Embrace the opportunity

Although the economic performance picked up in 2Q23 in the late stage of the global interest rate hike, we believe that the acceleration of economic activities will need more time to be material due to the insignificant improvement of external factors and the weakening recovery in domestic consumption. On the upside, public investment will continue to be a spotlight in 3Q23 thanks to the government's effort in realizing the significantly higher workload than last year. Investment opportunities exist in Power and Agriculture, Seafood industries that backed by El-Nino and China consumption themes. Besides, crushed stone industry also offers a lucrative choice from 3Q23 for those investors seeking for rising public spending theme. We expect the target range for VNIndex in 2H23 to be 1,260-1,340 points.

Report (197)

30

6月

Slight pickup amidst persistent global challenges

GSO’s June report shows a slight acceleration in economic performance for the second quarter of 2023. Although the economic growth surpassed the downgraded market assessment, it is far from the expected value in the eco-socio tasks. For the latest update in June, export activities deteriorated under the persistent slowdown in the consumption of Vietnam’s major trading partners, showing challenges for the economy to speed up. Regarding domestic factors, the recovery momentum in post-pandemic exhausted with retail sales much lower than the potential level. In the short term, we predict public investment will mainly support economic growth before material improvement in external factors occurs.

Report (195)

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