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Pharmaceutical – [Non-rated] – Note – “EU-GMP” will be a new battlefield

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04

11月

Pharmaceutical – [Non-rated] – Note – “EU-GMP” will be a new battlefield

The industry posted a VND10,899bn turnover (+12.7% yoy, +2.3% qoq) and VND827bn NPAT (+29.8% qoq, +13.1% qoq). Overall, the top five companies (VMD, DVN, DHG, CDP, and TRA) accounted for around 52% of the industry turnovers. Surrounded the giant rivals, DHG still maintained its leading position with the highest NPAT of VND262bn (+30.1% yoy, +12% qoq). DBD and OPC emerged as brisk players with GM expansion of 16.3%p/8.3%p yoy in 3Q22.

Report (110)

04

11月

Fertilizer – [Non-rated] – Note – One last chance

Based on our estimate, the fertilizer sector announced a VND28,491bn revenue (+47.1% yoy), and a VND4,188bn NPAT (+123.4% yoy) in 3Q22, mainly driven by the strong increase in selling prices. Nonetheless, with the fall in domestic selling and petite contribution from the export turnover, 3Q22 revenue/NPAT of the whole sector still lagged behind vs 2Q22 by 11.2%/24.7% qoq in 3Q22.

Report (111)

04

11月

SAB – Brief – Nonrated – Strong earnings growth

Overall, SAB recorded a solid 3Q22 business result with a VND8.6tn revenue (+101% yoy), and VND1.3tn NPAT-MI (+202% yoy) due to a significant low base in 3Q21 when applying lock down measures. For 9M22, SAB revenue and NPAT-MI went up by 44% yoy and 77% yoy to VND25tn and VND4.2tn, respectively, fulfilling 72%/91% of guidance.

Report (98)

04

11月

PVT – Note – Nonrated – Tailwind is still blowing

PVT posted decent results in 3Q22 with revenue of VND2,330bn (+39% yoy) and NPAT of VND386bn (+152% yoy). Revenue grew strongly thanks to the growth of its core business – transportation (+45% yoy to VND1,807bn in 3Q22), which was driven by higher tanker rates and the contribution from newly-acquired tankers. Overall, in 9M22, the company achieved a VND6,609bn revenue (+25% yoy) and VND832bn NPAT (+38% yoy), fulfilling 102/173% of its 2022F guidance.

Report (110)

01

11月

LTG – [Non-rated] – Brief – Opportunities for rice export still exits

Loc Troi Group released 3Q22 results with mixed performance. Although revenue sharply fell 22.9% qoq, net profit significantly improved to VDN64bn vs a loss of VND44bn in 2Q22.

Report (107)

01

11月

VIC-Brief-[NONRATED]-Concern about the debt service

Vingroup reported its brisk 3Q22 NPATMI of VND946.8bn vs a loss of VND351.3bn despite a flattish revenue VND28.7tn, -4.4%% yoy and a shrinking blended gross margin (GM) of 20% (-18.8%). The encouraging NPATMI was driven by a VND9.9tn financial gain (6.5x yoy) from bulk sale transaction in Empire and Crown townhouse projects.

Report (108)

01

11月

GVR-Brief-[NONRATED]-Swirls of raw material price rally hit

Vietnam Rubber Group released the 3Q22 on Oct 28, featuring a VND5,847.2bn revenue (-4.9% yoy, +5.1% qoq) and a VND835.1bn NPATMI (-32.7% yoy, -17.9% qoq). - 9M22 revenue slightly fell to VND16.3tn, -4.9% yoy while the NPATMI sustained to VND2.9tn, +3.2% yoy, fulfilling 62.2/69.2% of full-year guidance.

Report (106)

01

11月

MSN – Brief – HOLD – Earnings drop strongly yoy in 3Q22

MSN posted VND19,523bn revenue (-17.3% yoy) and VND543bn NPAT-MI (-52.7% yoy) in 3Q22, and EBITDA margin was subdued by 2.1%p to 17.9%. Excluding the feed segment for a like-for-like (LFL) comparison, MSN recorded VND55.5tn revenue (+4.8% yoy) and VND3.1tn NPAT-MI (+47% yoy) in 9M22, fulfilling 58%/53% of 2022 guidance, 9M22 EBITDA margin reached 19.5% (vs 19.2% in 9M21).

Report (108)

01

11月

MWG-Brief-[HOLD]-Sep 2022: BHX target VND1.5bn revenue per store in Dec 2022

In Sep 2022, MWG’s net revenue sharply surged by 27% yoy to VND10.5tn and net profit fell by 8% yoy to VND307bn. Revenue in 3Q22 surged 32% yoy to VND32tn while PAT rose 15% yoy to VND907bn thanks to the strong recover of ICT sales. Accumulating 9M22, MWG’s net revenue went up by 18% yoy to VND102.8tn and net profit edged up by 4% you to VND3.5tn. By 9M22, MWG has met 73%/55% of the revenue/NPAT guidance.

Report (107)

01

11月

Plants – [Non-rated] – Brief – Exports grow well amid food shortage concerns

According to the GSO estimate, in Oct, the total agriculture export value is USD1,789mn (+17% mom, +19% yoy). In detail, rubber and vegetables have the highest export value of USD477mn (+56% mom, +45% yoy) and USD350mn (+40% mom, +59% yoy).

Report (109)
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24

8月

U.S July Retail sales and Vietnam T&G exports

U.S July Retail sales and Vietnam T&G exports According to the latest data from the U.S. Census Bureau, retail sales in the U.S. increased by 0.7% MoM in July of 2023, marking a fourth consecutive rise, and beating market forecasts of a 0.4% increase. In more detail, US clothing store sales grew 1.34% YoY in July, slightly decelerated from 2.69% in June, but remain higher than the one-year slowest growth of 0.32% in April. The potential upturn in US clothing sales, given a relatively strong correlation with Vietnam T&G exports, subsequently benefiting this export sector in the latter half of 2023.

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02

8月

An improved economic performance amidst easing external headwinds

July’s data revealed a substantial improvement in economic activities with a softer decline in export turnover, an improving industrial production, and a renewed acceleration in retail sales. On one hand, U.S. consumers tend to regain their confidence during the late phase of the global interest rate hike, fastening the resolution of the overstocking and consequently promoting Vietnam’s export activities. On the other hand, retail sales recorded a higher growth rate than in June coupled with moderate inflation after a series of easing fiscal policies, likely reflecting an expanding demand. We predict economic performance to improve further next month due to softening external headwinds and expanding domestic demand.

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28

7月

Vietnam’s economy: gaining momentum

Although the economic performance picked up in 2Q23 in the late stage of the global interest rate hike, we believe that the acceleration of economic activities will need more time to be material due to the insignificant improvement of external factors and the weakening recovery in domestic consumption. On the upside, public investment will continue to be a spotlight in 3Q23 thanks to the government's effort in realizing the significantly higher workload than last year. In addition, the well-controlled inflation and stable exchange rate provide more space for the monetary authority to follow the easing tendency in the next quarter.

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13

7月

3Q23 Strategic Insight: Embrace the opportunity

Although the economic performance picked up in 2Q23 in the late stage of the global interest rate hike, we believe that the acceleration of economic activities will need more time to be material due to the insignificant improvement of external factors and the weakening recovery in domestic consumption. On the upside, public investment will continue to be a spotlight in 3Q23 thanks to the government's effort in realizing the significantly higher workload than last year. Investment opportunities exist in Power and Agriculture, Seafood industries that backed by El-Nino and China consumption themes. Besides, crushed stone industry also offers a lucrative choice from 3Q23 for those investors seeking for rising public spending theme. We expect the target range for VNIndex in 2H23 to be 1,260-1,340 points.

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30

6月

Slight pickup amidst persistent global challenges

GSO’s June report shows a slight acceleration in economic performance for the second quarter of 2023. Although the economic growth surpassed the downgraded market assessment, it is far from the expected value in the eco-socio tasks. For the latest update in June, export activities deteriorated under the persistent slowdown in the consumption of Vietnam’s major trading partners, showing challenges for the economy to speed up. Regarding domestic factors, the recovery momentum in post-pandemic exhausted with retail sales much lower than the potential level. In the short term, we predict public investment will mainly support economic growth before material improvement in external factors occurs.

Report (195)

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