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Securities– Brief-[NONRATED] -1Q23 updates: VPS’s market share widened

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10

4月

Securities– Brief-[NONRATED] -1Q23 updates: VPS’s market share widened

Average daily trading value (ADTV) kept dropping to VND11,332bn (-18.3% qoq, -63.7% yoy) in 1Q23. The quarterly number of new accounts in 1Q23 marked the lowest since 1Q21 with 140,024 new accounts opening (-50.7% qoq, -79.3% yoy). VPS ranked 1st position in the HSX’s brokerage with 15.67% market share, +0.86%p qoq in 1Q23. This was also the highest market share in company history. The runner up was SSI with 11.53%, +1.57%p qoq.

Report (109)

30

3月

HPG-AGM Brief-[HOLD]-The worst is over

On Mar 30, Hoa Phat Group (HPG) held the Annual General Meeting. The company targets a VND150,000bn revenue and a VND8,000bn NPAT amid weak demand. The company has been approved to not pay dividends for 2022.

Report (127)

30

3月

Agriculture (Plants) – Brief – Nonrated – Rice export value boomed

Rice export volume rocketed by 109% mom and 80% yoy to 900,000 tonnes. Meanwhile, rice exporting value surged by 108% mom and 95% yoy to USD480mn in Mar-23.

Report (109)

15

3月

NKG-Brief-[HOLD]-Sales volume recovered

Total Feb steel sales volume posted 67,738 tonnes, increasing by 56.2% mom and 9.7% yoy. The 2M23 total sales volume came in at 111,108 tonnes, -28.6% yoy. In which, the steel coat volume declined 33.7% yoy to 85,285 tonnes and the steel pipes volume was down by 4.2% yoy to 25,823 tonnes.

Report (110)

15

3月

HPG-Brief-[HOLD]-Feb23 Weak demand

Total Feb steel sales volume posted 549,767 tonnes, decreasing by 30.6% yoy but increasing by 18.5% mom. The 2M23 total finished-product sale volume dropped significantly to 1,013,881 tonnes, -32.2% yoy. Of which, all products sale volumes declined due to high base in 2022.

Report (124)

15

3月

HSG-Brief-[HOLD]-Sales volume increased on m-o-m basis

Total Feb steel sales volume posted 102,259 tonnes, dropping by 35.0% yoy but increasing 20.0% mom. The FY5M23 (Oct 2023-Feb 2023) total sale decreased 41.2% yoy to 527,462 tonnes as steel pipes volume declined 22.8% yoy to 121,279 tonnes and steel coat fell 45.2% yoy to 406,183 tonnes.

Report (109)

15

3月

Steel-Brief-[Neutral]-Sales volume improved on m-o-m basis

This monthly report on Vietnam steel production is intended to track the developments in the steel market. During Feb 23, we observed an improvement in total sales volume on m-o-m basis.

Report (118)

14

3月

VHC – Brief [HOLD] – Monthly updates: Low export to largest market

Vinh Hoan delivered a preliminary VND758bn revenue, decreasing 29.5% yoy since the pangasius export shrunk by 46.9% yoy in Feb. The pangasius export volume decreased sharply by 26.4% yoy due to the lessened import of US and China markets.

Report (124)

14

3月

Fertilizer – Brief – Neutral – High inventory

Domestic production capacity has exceeded current domestic demand by at least 40%. Due to the falling price of fertilizer, farmers are postponing purchasing fertilizer, that led to a very high inventory and low sales of fertilizer in 1Q23.

Report (114)

14

3月

HSG-AGM Brief-[HOLD]-To be profitable from Feb

On Mar 10, Hoa Sen Group (HSG) held the Annual General Meeting. The company sets conservative FY2023 guidance with 2 scenario due to the uncertainty from geopolitical conflicts and global high borrowing-rate environment.

Report (109)
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24

8月

U.S July Retail sales and Vietnam T&G exports

U.S July Retail sales and Vietnam T&G exports According to the latest data from the U.S. Census Bureau, retail sales in the U.S. increased by 0.7% MoM in July of 2023, marking a fourth consecutive rise, and beating market forecasts of a 0.4% increase. In more detail, US clothing store sales grew 1.34% YoY in July, slightly decelerated from 2.69% in June, but remain higher than the one-year slowest growth of 0.32% in April. The potential upturn in US clothing sales, given a relatively strong correlation with Vietnam T&G exports, subsequently benefiting this export sector in the latter half of 2023.

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02

8月

An improved economic performance amidst easing external headwinds

July’s data revealed a substantial improvement in economic activities with a softer decline in export turnover, an improving industrial production, and a renewed acceleration in retail sales. On one hand, U.S. consumers tend to regain their confidence during the late phase of the global interest rate hike, fastening the resolution of the overstocking and consequently promoting Vietnam’s export activities. On the other hand, retail sales recorded a higher growth rate than in June coupled with moderate inflation after a series of easing fiscal policies, likely reflecting an expanding demand. We predict economic performance to improve further next month due to softening external headwinds and expanding domestic demand.

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28

7月

Vietnam’s economy: gaining momentum

Although the economic performance picked up in 2Q23 in the late stage of the global interest rate hike, we believe that the acceleration of economic activities will need more time to be material due to the insignificant improvement of external factors and the weakening recovery in domestic consumption. On the upside, public investment will continue to be a spotlight in 3Q23 thanks to the government's effort in realizing the significantly higher workload than last year. In addition, the well-controlled inflation and stable exchange rate provide more space for the monetary authority to follow the easing tendency in the next quarter.

Report (195)

13

7月

3Q23 Strategic Insight: Embrace the opportunity

Although the economic performance picked up in 2Q23 in the late stage of the global interest rate hike, we believe that the acceleration of economic activities will need more time to be material due to the insignificant improvement of external factors and the weakening recovery in domestic consumption. On the upside, public investment will continue to be a spotlight in 3Q23 thanks to the government's effort in realizing the significantly higher workload than last year. Investment opportunities exist in Power and Agriculture, Seafood industries that backed by El-Nino and China consumption themes. Besides, crushed stone industry also offers a lucrative choice from 3Q23 for those investors seeking for rising public spending theme. We expect the target range for VNIndex in 2H23 to be 1,260-1,340 points.

Report (197)

30

6月

Slight pickup amidst persistent global challenges

GSO’s June report shows a slight acceleration in economic performance for the second quarter of 2023. Although the economic growth surpassed the downgraded market assessment, it is far from the expected value in the eco-socio tasks. For the latest update in June, export activities deteriorated under the persistent slowdown in the consumption of Vietnam’s major trading partners, showing challenges for the economy to speed up. Regarding domestic factors, the recovery momentum in post-pandemic exhausted with retail sales much lower than the potential level. In the short term, we predict public investment will mainly support economic growth before material improvement in external factors occurs.

Report (195)

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