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Market commentary: Intraday contraction

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24

3月

Market commentary: Intraday contraction

Selling pressure appears at the 1,510-pts threshold, implying the downside risk. Therefore, traders should still be careful and stay on the sidelines.

Report (118)

23

3月

Market commentary: Selling pressure at 1,510-pts threshold

In the short term, the VNIndex closes above the neckline of the head and shoulders pattern, implying a false pattern. However, the index retests the 1,510-pts zone, the strong resistance. Therefore, traders should still be careful and stay on the sidelines.

Report (118)

22

3月

Market commentary: A breakout

The VNIndex closes above the neckline of the head and shoulders pattern, implying a false pattern. However, the index retests the 1,510-pts zone, the strong resistance. Therefore, traders should still be careful and stay on the sidelines.

Report (118)

21

3月

Fundflow 14-18 Mar: Outflow spreads to Vietnam’s major ETFs

Foreign selling pressure slowed down. Selling activity focused on Real Estate, Materials, and Consumer Staples whilst demand was mainly absorbed by Financials and Industrials. With ETF flow, outflow surged, driven by the strong divestment across on VanEck, VFMVN Diamond, and MAFM VN30.

Report (46)

21

3月

Chart of the day: The range is still respected

Although there is the correction phase, the medium-term trend (uptrend) still remains. In this case, investors should reduce the current positions on leading stocks and wait for the valid signal (the range breakout or breakdown).

Report (80)

21

3月

Market commentary: Energy in the spotlight

In the short term, the VNIndex has retested the neckline of the head and shoulders pattern. Therefore, traders should still be careful and stay on the sidelines.

Report (118)

18

3月

Market commentary: Banking in the spotlight

In the short term, the VNIndex has retested the neckline of the head and shoulders pattern, implying the downside risk. The target price of the pattern may be around the 1,350-pts zone. Therefore, traders should still be careful and stay on the sidelines.

Report (118)

17

3月

Market commentary: Retest neckline

The VNIndex has retested the neckline of the head and shoulders pattern. However, the downside risk is still intact as the target price of the pattern may be around the 1,350-pts zone. Therefore, traders should still be careful and stay on the sidelines.

Report (118)

16

3月

Point Break

Regarding the impact of the global commodity price surge on Vietnam CPI, we estimate that the current value of Brent price could push 2022 inflation to exceed the government target of 4%, mainly through the consumption channel. However, implementing well-established tools allows the Vietnam government to mitigate external shocks proactively. To sum up, we forecast that the global commodity surge would create temporary pressure on Vietnam inflation.

Report (163)

16

3月

ETF Review: Foreigners’ ETFs add eleven Vietnam tickers

Based on data as of 15 Mar 2022, we expect that foreign ETFs will sell VRE, MSN, and HPG the most with 4.2 million, 3.6 million and 3.4 million shares. On the buy-side, VND, STB, and VIC will be bought heavily with 10.0 million shares, 9.5 million shares, and 5.2 million shares.

Report (176)
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Featured Articles

24

8月

U.S July Retail sales and Vietnam T&G exports

U.S July Retail sales and Vietnam T&G exports According to the latest data from the U.S. Census Bureau, retail sales in the U.S. increased by 0.7% MoM in July of 2023, marking a fourth consecutive rise, and beating market forecasts of a 0.4% increase. In more detail, US clothing store sales grew 1.34% YoY in July, slightly decelerated from 2.69% in June, but remain higher than the one-year slowest growth of 0.32% in April. The potential upturn in US clothing sales, given a relatively strong correlation with Vietnam T&G exports, subsequently benefiting this export sector in the latter half of 2023.

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02

8月

An improved economic performance amidst easing external headwinds

July’s data revealed a substantial improvement in economic activities with a softer decline in export turnover, an improving industrial production, and a renewed acceleration in retail sales. On one hand, U.S. consumers tend to regain their confidence during the late phase of the global interest rate hike, fastening the resolution of the overstocking and consequently promoting Vietnam’s export activities. On the other hand, retail sales recorded a higher growth rate than in June coupled with moderate inflation after a series of easing fiscal policies, likely reflecting an expanding demand. We predict economic performance to improve further next month due to softening external headwinds and expanding domestic demand.

Report (197)

28

7月

Vietnam’s economy: gaining momentum

Although the economic performance picked up in 2Q23 in the late stage of the global interest rate hike, we believe that the acceleration of economic activities will need more time to be material due to the insignificant improvement of external factors and the weakening recovery in domestic consumption. On the upside, public investment will continue to be a spotlight in 3Q23 thanks to the government's effort in realizing the significantly higher workload than last year. In addition, the well-controlled inflation and stable exchange rate provide more space for the monetary authority to follow the easing tendency in the next quarter.

Report (195)

13

7月

3Q23 Strategic Insight: Embrace the opportunity

Although the economic performance picked up in 2Q23 in the late stage of the global interest rate hike, we believe that the acceleration of economic activities will need more time to be material due to the insignificant improvement of external factors and the weakening recovery in domestic consumption. On the upside, public investment will continue to be a spotlight in 3Q23 thanks to the government's effort in realizing the significantly higher workload than last year. Investment opportunities exist in Power and Agriculture, Seafood industries that backed by El-Nino and China consumption themes. Besides, crushed stone industry also offers a lucrative choice from 3Q23 for those investors seeking for rising public spending theme. We expect the target range for VNIndex in 2H23 to be 1,260-1,340 points.

Report (197)

30

6月

Slight pickup amidst persistent global challenges

GSO’s June report shows a slight acceleration in economic performance for the second quarter of 2023. Although the economic growth surpassed the downgraded market assessment, it is far from the expected value in the eco-socio tasks. For the latest update in June, export activities deteriorated under the persistent slowdown in the consumption of Vietnam’s major trading partners, showing challenges for the economy to speed up. Regarding domestic factors, the recovery momentum in post-pandemic exhausted with retail sales much lower than the potential level. In the short term, we predict public investment will mainly support economic growth before material improvement in external factors occurs.

Report (195)

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