30
5月
Daily derivatives: Upward swing comes back
Long positions on VN30F2306 should not be closed and stop the loss when there is the closing price below 1,050 pts level (Hourly chart).
30
5月
Long positions on VN30F2306 should not be closed and stop the loss when there is the closing price below 1,050 pts level (Hourly chart).
29
5月
Due to the favorable risk/reward ratio, traders could open the long positions after ATO session. Long VN30F2306 after ATO session and stop the loss when there is the closing price below 1,050 pts level (Hourly chart).
29
5月
The rebound phase is confirmed as well as bullish momentum is active. Thus, traders could open the long positions on leading stocks. However, position size should be low due to the active selling pressure near 1,080-1,100 pts area.
29
5月
Although the market enter a correction session, the VNIndex still end the session above the 50-period moving average. In the short term, this index is retest the 10-period moving average. Therefore, investors should stand aside and observe the next movements of the market.
26
5月
Due to the favorable risk/reward ratio, traders could open the long positions after ATO session. Long VN30F2306 after ATO session and stop the loss when there is the closing price below 1,050 pts level (Hourly chart).
26
5月
In the short term, the stock market may face the downside risk as the VNIndex closes below the 10-period moving average. However, the index still closed above the 50-period moving average, showing the signals lose consensus. Therefore, investors should be careful with their investment decisions.
25
5月
Although the market continues to decrease, the VNIndex still closes above the 50-period moving average. Accordingly, more signals are still needed to confirm the market's trend. Therefore, investors should stand aside and observe the next movements of the market.
25
5月
We tuned in to MSB’s analyst meeting on May 24 which featured the strategical visibility on the bank and shed some light on its 1Q23 operational updates. The ratio of loan type 2-5 to cross loan and NPL climbed to 5.2% (vs. 3.1% as of end-2022) and 2.0% (vs. 1.7% as of end-2022) respectively. We note that the 1Q23 loan type 2 grew +146%YTD to VND4,337bn, about added VND2,700bn. Restructuring loan on circular 02 is estimated at VND229bn. Of which, SME and retail estimate VNsD189bn and VND40bn respectively according to the management.
25
5月
Due to the favorable risk/reward ratio, traders could open the long positions after ATO session. Long VN30F2306 after ATO session and stop the loss when there is the closing price below 1,050 pts level (Hourly chart).
24
5月
PVS posted a solid business result in 1Q23 with flat revenue of VND3.7tn (-2% yoy), in which, Mechanical & construction (M&C) revenue reach VND2,048b (+4.1% yoy). PVS recorded NPAT-MI of VND215bn (-1% yoy) due to having a one-off profit in 1Q23. In the long term, PVS will focus on offshore wind power.
24
8月
U.S July Retail sales and Vietnam T&G exports According to the latest data from the U.S. Census Bureau, retail sales in the U.S. increased by 0.7% MoM in July of 2023, marking a fourth consecutive rise, and beating market forecasts of a 0.4% increase. In more detail, US clothing store sales grew 1.34% YoY in July, slightly decelerated from 2.69% in June, but remain higher than the one-year slowest growth of 0.32% in April. The potential upturn in US clothing sales, given a relatively strong correlation with Vietnam T&G exports, subsequently benefiting this export sector in the latter half of 2023.
02
8月
July’s data revealed a substantial improvement in economic activities with a softer decline in export turnover, an improving industrial production, and a renewed acceleration in retail sales. On one hand, U.S. consumers tend to regain their confidence during the late phase of the global interest rate hike, fastening the resolution of the overstocking and consequently promoting Vietnam’s export activities. On the other hand, retail sales recorded a higher growth rate than in June coupled with moderate inflation after a series of easing fiscal policies, likely reflecting an expanding demand. We predict economic performance to improve further next month due to softening external headwinds and expanding domestic demand.
28
7月
Although the economic performance picked up in 2Q23 in the late stage of the global interest rate hike, we believe that the acceleration of economic activities will need more time to be material due to the insignificant improvement of external factors and the weakening recovery in domestic consumption. On the upside, public investment will continue to be a spotlight in 3Q23 thanks to the government's effort in realizing the significantly higher workload than last year. In addition, the well-controlled inflation and stable exchange rate provide more space for the monetary authority to follow the easing tendency in the next quarter.
13
7月
Although the economic performance picked up in 2Q23 in the late stage of the global interest rate hike, we believe that the acceleration of economic activities will need more time to be material due to the insignificant improvement of external factors and the weakening recovery in domestic consumption. On the upside, public investment will continue to be a spotlight in 3Q23 thanks to the government's effort in realizing the significantly higher workload than last year. Investment opportunities exist in Power and Agriculture, Seafood industries that backed by El-Nino and China consumption themes. Besides, crushed stone industry also offers a lucrative choice from 3Q23 for those investors seeking for rising public spending theme. We expect the target range for VNIndex in 2H23 to be 1,260-1,340 points.
30
6月
GSO’s June report shows a slight acceleration in economic performance for the second quarter of 2023. Although the economic growth surpassed the downgraded market assessment, it is far from the expected value in the eco-socio tasks. For the latest update in June, export activities deteriorated under the persistent slowdown in the consumption of Vietnam’s major trading partners, showing challenges for the economy to speed up. Regarding domestic factors, the recovery momentum in post-pandemic exhausted with retail sales much lower than the potential level. In the short term, we predict public investment will mainly support economic growth before material improvement in external factors occurs.