07
2月
Daily derivatives: The short-term consolidation phase
Long VN30F2202 should be held and stop the loss when there is the closing price below 1460 pts level (Hourly chart).
07
2月
Long VN30F2202 should be held and stop the loss when there is the closing price below 1460 pts level (Hourly chart).
07
2月
Although the bullish momentum is not improved, the medium-term trend is still supported. In this case, investors should continue to hold the current positions on leading stocks and position size should be closed by half when the 1,420 pts zone is pierced.
28
1月
Because of the Tet holiday, the market sentiment has become cautious in the short term. Therefore, traders should be careful and stay on the sidelines.
28
1月
Long VN30F2202 after ATO session and stop the loss when there is the closing price below 1460 pts level (Hourly chart).
27
1月
4Q21 NPATMI of VND361bn plunged largely in the absence of the unexpected revaluation gain in 4Q20. In 4Q21, revenue from product handover was remarkable mainly thanks to from handover Akari City of 1,525 units, equivalent to VND3.5tn. The result was lower than our estimation of 1,800 units. Together with a VND429bn goodwill income booked in 1Q21 thanks to a further 30.1% stake acquisition to 65.1% of Waterfront (Izumi) project, 2021 NPATMI reached VND1,071bn, +28.2% yoy.
27
1月
Despite the second recovery, the downside risk is still intact in the short term. Therefore, traders should reduce their long position and stay on the sidelines.
27
1月
Long VN30F2202 after ATO session and stop the loss when there is the closing price below 1460 pts level (Hourly chart).
26
1月
Despite the sharp recovery, the downside risk is still intact in the short term. Therefore, traders should reduce their long position and stay on the sidelines.
26
1月
Long VN30F2202 after ATO session and stop the loss when there is the closing price below 1460 pts level (Hourly chart).
26
1月
The impressive rebound of Vietnam’s economy in 4Q21 creates momentum for further economic recovery in 2022. We expect the following sectors to be key growth pillars for the economy: (1) robust and stable industrial growth thanks to secured production activity and increased export demand; (2) pent-up demand in domestic spending in the reopening phase; (3) strong recovery in capital investment, primarily driven by investment demand from government and FDI. Last but not least, the upcoming fiscal - monetary support program will further push the economy back to the high-growth track in 2022.
24
8月
U.S July Retail sales and Vietnam T&G exports According to the latest data from the U.S. Census Bureau, retail sales in the U.S. increased by 0.7% MoM in July of 2023, marking a fourth consecutive rise, and beating market forecasts of a 0.4% increase. In more detail, US clothing store sales grew 1.34% YoY in July, slightly decelerated from 2.69% in June, but remain higher than the one-year slowest growth of 0.32% in April. The potential upturn in US clothing sales, given a relatively strong correlation with Vietnam T&G exports, subsequently benefiting this export sector in the latter half of 2023.
02
8月
July’s data revealed a substantial improvement in economic activities with a softer decline in export turnover, an improving industrial production, and a renewed acceleration in retail sales. On one hand, U.S. consumers tend to regain their confidence during the late phase of the global interest rate hike, fastening the resolution of the overstocking and consequently promoting Vietnam’s export activities. On the other hand, retail sales recorded a higher growth rate than in June coupled with moderate inflation after a series of easing fiscal policies, likely reflecting an expanding demand. We predict economic performance to improve further next month due to softening external headwinds and expanding domestic demand.
28
7月
Although the economic performance picked up in 2Q23 in the late stage of the global interest rate hike, we believe that the acceleration of economic activities will need more time to be material due to the insignificant improvement of external factors and the weakening recovery in domestic consumption. On the upside, public investment will continue to be a spotlight in 3Q23 thanks to the government's effort in realizing the significantly higher workload than last year. In addition, the well-controlled inflation and stable exchange rate provide more space for the monetary authority to follow the easing tendency in the next quarter.
13
7月
Although the economic performance picked up in 2Q23 in the late stage of the global interest rate hike, we believe that the acceleration of economic activities will need more time to be material due to the insignificant improvement of external factors and the weakening recovery in domestic consumption. On the upside, public investment will continue to be a spotlight in 3Q23 thanks to the government's effort in realizing the significantly higher workload than last year. Investment opportunities exist in Power and Agriculture, Seafood industries that backed by El-Nino and China consumption themes. Besides, crushed stone industry also offers a lucrative choice from 3Q23 for those investors seeking for rising public spending theme. We expect the target range for VNIndex in 2H23 to be 1,260-1,340 points.
30
6月
GSO’s June report shows a slight acceleration in economic performance for the second quarter of 2023. Although the economic growth surpassed the downgraded market assessment, it is far from the expected value in the eco-socio tasks. For the latest update in June, export activities deteriorated under the persistent slowdown in the consumption of Vietnam’s major trading partners, showing challenges for the economy to speed up. Regarding domestic factors, the recovery momentum in post-pandemic exhausted with retail sales much lower than the potential level. In the short term, we predict public investment will mainly support economic growth before material improvement in external factors occurs.