20
4月
Daily derivatives: The benchmark is broken
Traders should stay on the sidelines and wait for the new short positions which would come after the rebound phase.
20
4月
Traders should stay on the sidelines and wait for the new short positions which would come after the rebound phase.
20
4月
The VNIndex breaks down a 1,430-1,440 pts zone, showing a strong downtrend. Therefore, traders should wait for the next signals and stay on the sidelines.
20
4月
Based on data as of 18 Apr 2022, we expect local ETFs to buy TCB, KDH, and OCB the most with more than 5 million shares for each stock. On the sell side, NLG, CTD, and CTG will be sold heavily with 5.9 million shares, 4.1 million shares, and 3.0 million shares, respectively.
20
4月
Last week, trading activity dropped across the covered warrant market, down 34% WoW. Besides, foreign trading activity was also decreased and the market continued to end up to be net sold.
19
4月
Long position on VN30F2204 should be closed. Traders should stay on the sidelines and wait for the reaction of this instrument at 1,470 pts area.
19
4月
Selling pressure increases in the short term, implying the downside risk is still intact. Therefore, traders should wait for the next signals and stay on the sidelines. The strong support is a 1,430-1,440 pts zone. The VNIndex may rebound when retesting it.
19
4月
Foreign demand ticked up. Buying activity focused on Consumer Discretionary and Industrials whilst large sell orders were placed on Financials and Materials. With ETF flow, money inflow has come back to Vietnam, driven by the stable demand on domestic ETFs (VFMVN Diamond and VNFIN Lead ETF).
18
4月
The company targets a VND2,005bn revenue (+11%) and VND250bn net profit (+38% yoy) in 2022F. LCG will pay 2021’s stock dividend at 10% and plans to pay 2022F’s cash dividend of 12% at par. In 1Q22, the company announced preliminary revenue and PAT are VND177bn (-62% yoy) and VND51bn (-10%), respectively. It also set the new prioritized business lines from 2022F-2025F, including: transportation infrastructure, renewable energy and real estate.
18
4月
Based on the sharp contraction, the downside risk is still intact. Therefore, traders should wait for the next signals and stay on the sidelines. The strong support is a 1,430-1,440 pts zone. The VNIndex may rebound when retesting it.
18
4月
Although the medium-term trend (uptrend) still remains, the solid demand zone (1,470 pts zone) is broken. In this case, investors should decrease the current positions on leading stocks and wait for more accurate trading signal in upcoming sessions.
24
8月
U.S July Retail sales and Vietnam T&G exports According to the latest data from the U.S. Census Bureau, retail sales in the U.S. increased by 0.7% MoM in July of 2023, marking a fourth consecutive rise, and beating market forecasts of a 0.4% increase. In more detail, US clothing store sales grew 1.34% YoY in July, slightly decelerated from 2.69% in June, but remain higher than the one-year slowest growth of 0.32% in April. The potential upturn in US clothing sales, given a relatively strong correlation with Vietnam T&G exports, subsequently benefiting this export sector in the latter half of 2023.
02
8月
July’s data revealed a substantial improvement in economic activities with a softer decline in export turnover, an improving industrial production, and a renewed acceleration in retail sales. On one hand, U.S. consumers tend to regain their confidence during the late phase of the global interest rate hike, fastening the resolution of the overstocking and consequently promoting Vietnam’s export activities. On the other hand, retail sales recorded a higher growth rate than in June coupled with moderate inflation after a series of easing fiscal policies, likely reflecting an expanding demand. We predict economic performance to improve further next month due to softening external headwinds and expanding domestic demand.
28
7月
Although the economic performance picked up in 2Q23 in the late stage of the global interest rate hike, we believe that the acceleration of economic activities will need more time to be material due to the insignificant improvement of external factors and the weakening recovery in domestic consumption. On the upside, public investment will continue to be a spotlight in 3Q23 thanks to the government's effort in realizing the significantly higher workload than last year. In addition, the well-controlled inflation and stable exchange rate provide more space for the monetary authority to follow the easing tendency in the next quarter.
13
7月
Although the economic performance picked up in 2Q23 in the late stage of the global interest rate hike, we believe that the acceleration of economic activities will need more time to be material due to the insignificant improvement of external factors and the weakening recovery in domestic consumption. On the upside, public investment will continue to be a spotlight in 3Q23 thanks to the government's effort in realizing the significantly higher workload than last year. Investment opportunities exist in Power and Agriculture, Seafood industries that backed by El-Nino and China consumption themes. Besides, crushed stone industry also offers a lucrative choice from 3Q23 for those investors seeking for rising public spending theme. We expect the target range for VNIndex in 2H23 to be 1,260-1,340 points.
30
6月
GSO’s June report shows a slight acceleration in economic performance for the second quarter of 2023. Although the economic growth surpassed the downgraded market assessment, it is far from the expected value in the eco-socio tasks. For the latest update in June, export activities deteriorated under the persistent slowdown in the consumption of Vietnam’s major trading partners, showing challenges for the economy to speed up. Regarding domestic factors, the recovery momentum in post-pandemic exhausted with retail sales much lower than the potential level. In the short term, we predict public investment will mainly support economic growth before material improvement in external factors occurs.