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Daily derivatives: Minor pullback is needed to retest the demand zone

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06

6月

Daily derivatives: Minor pullback is needed to retest the demand zone

Long position on VN30F2206 should be held and stop the loss when there is the closing price below 1,270 pts level. (Hourly chart)

Report (94)

03

6月

Daily derivatives: Fluctuation period

Long position on VN30F2206 should be held and stop the loss when there is the closing price below 1,270 pts level. (Hourly chart)

Report (89)

02

6月

Daily derivatives: Rebound phase has high probability to extend

Long position on VN30F2206 should be held and stop the loss when there is the closing price below 1,270 pts level. (Hourly chart)

Report (90)

01

6月

Daily derivatives: Intraday correction phase

Long position on VN30F2206 should be held and stop the loss when there is the closing price below 1,270 pts level. (Hourly chart)

Report (88)

01

6月

Covered warrant 23-27 May: CFPT2203 is on the spotlight

Last week, trading activity increased across the covered warrant market. With foreign trading activity, the market has turned around to be net sold but selling pressure was not strong. Notably, covered warrants which have FPT as the underlying asset has attracted most of trading activity for 7 consecutive weeks, mainly driven by CFPT2203 (107.8%).

Report (119)

31

5月

Daily derivatives: Minor pullback is needed

Long position on VN30F2206 should be held and stop the loss when there is the closing price below 1,250 pts level. For better entry, traders could wait for the minor pullback and capture the long positions near 1,300 pts level and stop the loss when there is the closing price below 1,250 pts level. (Hourly chart)

Report (88)

30

5月

Daily derivatives: 1,300 pts zone is broken

Long VN30F2206 after ATO session and stop the loss when there is the closing price below 1,250 pts level. For better entry, traders could wait for the minor pullback and capture the long positions near 1,300 pts level and stop the loss when there is the closing price below 1,250 pts level. (Hourly chart)

Report (88)

27

5月

Daily derivatives: Intraday range bound

The instrument is expected to fluctuate within 1,200-1,300 pts zone due to the low probability for piercing 1,200 pts level as well as breaking 1,300 pts zone accurately. Thus, traders should continue to stay on the sidelines and wait for the next accurate trading signal which would come after the consolidation/fluctuation phase.

Report (88)

26

5月

Daily derivatives: Retest the solid sell zone (1,300 pts area)

The instrument is expected to fluctuate within 1,200-1,300 pts zone due to the low probability for piercing 1,200 pts level as well as breaking 1,300 pts zone accurately. Thus, traders should continue to stay on the sidelines and wait for the next accurate trading signal which would come after the consolidation/fluctuation phase.

Report (86)

25

5月

Covered warrant 16-20 May: Trading activity is more active

Last week, trading activity increased across the covered warrant market. With foreign trading activity, the market has turned around to be net sold, net sell value was VND2.7bn. Notably, covered warrants which have FPT as the underlying asset has attracted most of trading activity for 6 consecutive weeks.

Report (116)
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24

8月

U.S July Retail sales and Vietnam T&G exports

U.S July Retail sales and Vietnam T&G exports According to the latest data from the U.S. Census Bureau, retail sales in the U.S. increased by 0.7% MoM in July of 2023, marking a fourth consecutive rise, and beating market forecasts of a 0.4% increase. In more detail, US clothing store sales grew 1.34% YoY in July, slightly decelerated from 2.69% in June, but remain higher than the one-year slowest growth of 0.32% in April. The potential upturn in US clothing sales, given a relatively strong correlation with Vietnam T&G exports, subsequently benefiting this export sector in the latter half of 2023.

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02

8月

An improved economic performance amidst easing external headwinds

July’s data revealed a substantial improvement in economic activities with a softer decline in export turnover, an improving industrial production, and a renewed acceleration in retail sales. On one hand, U.S. consumers tend to regain their confidence during the late phase of the global interest rate hike, fastening the resolution of the overstocking and consequently promoting Vietnam’s export activities. On the other hand, retail sales recorded a higher growth rate than in June coupled with moderate inflation after a series of easing fiscal policies, likely reflecting an expanding demand. We predict economic performance to improve further next month due to softening external headwinds and expanding domestic demand.

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28

7月

Vietnam’s economy: gaining momentum

Although the economic performance picked up in 2Q23 in the late stage of the global interest rate hike, we believe that the acceleration of economic activities will need more time to be material due to the insignificant improvement of external factors and the weakening recovery in domestic consumption. On the upside, public investment will continue to be a spotlight in 3Q23 thanks to the government's effort in realizing the significantly higher workload than last year. In addition, the well-controlled inflation and stable exchange rate provide more space for the monetary authority to follow the easing tendency in the next quarter.

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13

7月

3Q23 Strategic Insight: Embrace the opportunity

Although the economic performance picked up in 2Q23 in the late stage of the global interest rate hike, we believe that the acceleration of economic activities will need more time to be material due to the insignificant improvement of external factors and the weakening recovery in domestic consumption. On the upside, public investment will continue to be a spotlight in 3Q23 thanks to the government's effort in realizing the significantly higher workload than last year. Investment opportunities exist in Power and Agriculture, Seafood industries that backed by El-Nino and China consumption themes. Besides, crushed stone industry also offers a lucrative choice from 3Q23 for those investors seeking for rising public spending theme. We expect the target range for VNIndex in 2H23 to be 1,260-1,340 points.

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30

6月

Slight pickup amidst persistent global challenges

GSO’s June report shows a slight acceleration in economic performance for the second quarter of 2023. Although the economic growth surpassed the downgraded market assessment, it is far from the expected value in the eco-socio tasks. For the latest update in June, export activities deteriorated under the persistent slowdown in the consumption of Vietnam’s major trading partners, showing challenges for the economy to speed up. Regarding domestic factors, the recovery momentum in post-pandemic exhausted with retail sales much lower than the potential level. In the short term, we predict public investment will mainly support economic growth before material improvement in external factors occurs.

Report (195)

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