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MSB-Brief-[NONRATED]-Bad debt acceleration

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25

5月

MSB-Brief-[NONRATED]-Bad debt acceleration

We tuned in to MSB’s analyst meeting on May 24 which featured the strategical visibility on the bank and shed some light on its 1Q23 operational updates. The ratio of loan type 2-5 to cross loan and NPL climbed to 5.2% (vs. 3.1% as of end-2022) and 2.0% (vs. 1.7% as of end-2022) respectively. We note that the 1Q23 loan type 2 grew +146%YTD to VND4,337bn, about added VND2,700bn. Restructuring loan on circular 02 is estimated at VND229bn. Of which, SME and retail estimate VNsD189bn and VND40bn respectively according to the management.

Report (117)

24

5月

PVS – Brief [NONRATED] – AM briefing: Bright long-term outlook.

PVS posted a solid business result in 1Q23 with flat revenue of VND3.7tn (-2% yoy), in which, Mechanical & construction (M&C) revenue reach VND2,048b (+4.1% yoy). PVS recorded NPAT-MI of VND215bn (-1% yoy) due to having a one-off profit in 1Q23. In the long term, PVS will focus on offshore wind power.

Report (133)

22

5月

VHC – Brief [HOLD] – Monthly Updates: April sales dropped in most markets

4M23 preliminary revenue posted VND3,116bn (-36.1% yoy), backed by (1) high base in 4M22, and (2) the tumble revenue of most products yoy and qoq, especially pangasius. 4M23 revenue fulfill 26% our estimates. We maintain a HOLD rating

Report (133)

19

5月

CTG-Brief-[NONRATED]-Provision slump drives the net profit growth in 2023

We tuned in to CTG’s analyst meeting on May 18 which featured the strategical visibility on the group and shed some light on its 1Q23 operational updates. Total credit risk provision cost could fall by 34.5-50% yoy (VND12,000-15,000bn) in 2023, per management. However, CTG has yet provide the PBT guidance since they must obtain approval from SVB based on 2023 AGM. The management eyes NPL to be below 1.8% as of end-2023.

Report (133)

16

5月

HSG-Brief-[HOLD]-Sales volume continue to rise on m-o-m basis

Total Apr steel sales volume posted 129,992 tonnes, dropping by 25.8% yoy but increasing 21.5% mom. The FY7M23 (Oct 2023-Feb 2023) total sale decreased 38.0% yoy to 764,474 tonnes as steel pipes volume declined 24.5% yoy to 162,258 tonnes and steel coat fell 40.8% yoy to 602,216 tonnes.

Report (117)

16

5月

NKG-Brief-[HOLD]-The m-o-m recovery to falter

Total Apr steel sales volume posted 77,269 tonnes, decreasing 7.6% mom and 17.0% yoy. The 4M23 total sales volume came in at 271,967 tonnes, -22.4% yoy. In which, the steel coat volume declined 24.6% yoy to 221,091 tonnes and the steel pipes volume was down by 11.0% yoy to 50,870 tonnes.

Report (116)

16

5月

HPG-Brief-[HOLD]- Weak sales volume in Apr

Total Apr steel sales volume posted 535,640 tonnes, decreasing by 14.7% yoy and 5.6% mom. The 4M23 total finished-product sale volume dropped significantly to 2,117,172 tonnes, -30.7% yoy. Of which, all products sale volume declined due to high base in 2022.

Report (133)

16

5月

MWG – Brief – [HOLD] – Focus on revenue amid challenges

In April, MWG recorded a 20% increase m/m in revenue to VND9,700bn of which TGDD/DMX revenue was up 30% m/m due to a strong increase in air conditions sales and BHX revenue increased 3% m/m, reaching VND1.35bn per store per month. Per management, MWG gains market shares in cellphone & electric appliance fields due to a price-competitive strategy and they continue to pursue this price-competitive strategy for a long period, it is not a campaign.

Report (108)

11

5月

Cement-Note-[NEUTRAL]- As expected

This quarterly earnings report on the Vietnam cement industry is intended to track the earning growth trend in the cement market. We witnessed a slump in earnings in 1Q23. High-cost input was mainly attributed to the negative aggregated profit. We expect to continue to see the weak demand in 2Q23F as construction activities are expected to be impacted by recent economic issues. As for export, we see the q-o-q improvement in the main export market – China, however, not significant. Companies' margins are expected to improve in 2Q23F thanks to lower input cost.

Report (117)

10

5月

HDB-Brief-[NONRATED]-1Q23 profit growth stays resilient

We tuned in to HDB’s analyst meeting on May 9 which featured the strategical visibility on the group and shed some light on its 1Q23 operational updates. HDB’s 1Q23 consolidate net profit slightly increased to VND2,194 (+8.6%YoY). 1Q23 Consolidated NPL slightly edged up to 1.8% (1Q22: 1.6% and 4Q22: 1.7%). However, the NPL was still below the 2023 target of 2%. 1Q23 consolidated NIM was 5.1%, lower than 4Q22’s 5.2% but higher than 1Q22’s 4.8%.

Report (117)
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Featured Articles

24

8月

U.S July Retail sales and Vietnam T&G exports

U.S July Retail sales and Vietnam T&G exports According to the latest data from the U.S. Census Bureau, retail sales in the U.S. increased by 0.7% MoM in July of 2023, marking a fourth consecutive rise, and beating market forecasts of a 0.4% increase. In more detail, US clothing store sales grew 1.34% YoY in July, slightly decelerated from 2.69% in June, but remain higher than the one-year slowest growth of 0.32% in April. The potential upturn in US clothing sales, given a relatively strong correlation with Vietnam T&G exports, subsequently benefiting this export sector in the latter half of 2023.

Report (198)

02

8月

An improved economic performance amidst easing external headwinds

July’s data revealed a substantial improvement in economic activities with a softer decline in export turnover, an improving industrial production, and a renewed acceleration in retail sales. On one hand, U.S. consumers tend to regain their confidence during the late phase of the global interest rate hike, fastening the resolution of the overstocking and consequently promoting Vietnam’s export activities. On the other hand, retail sales recorded a higher growth rate than in June coupled with moderate inflation after a series of easing fiscal policies, likely reflecting an expanding demand. We predict economic performance to improve further next month due to softening external headwinds and expanding domestic demand.

Report (197)

28

7月

Vietnam’s economy: gaining momentum

Although the economic performance picked up in 2Q23 in the late stage of the global interest rate hike, we believe that the acceleration of economic activities will need more time to be material due to the insignificant improvement of external factors and the weakening recovery in domestic consumption. On the upside, public investment will continue to be a spotlight in 3Q23 thanks to the government's effort in realizing the significantly higher workload than last year. In addition, the well-controlled inflation and stable exchange rate provide more space for the monetary authority to follow the easing tendency in the next quarter.

Report (195)

13

7月

3Q23 Strategic Insight: Embrace the opportunity

Although the economic performance picked up in 2Q23 in the late stage of the global interest rate hike, we believe that the acceleration of economic activities will need more time to be material due to the insignificant improvement of external factors and the weakening recovery in domestic consumption. On the upside, public investment will continue to be a spotlight in 3Q23 thanks to the government's effort in realizing the significantly higher workload than last year. Investment opportunities exist in Power and Agriculture, Seafood industries that backed by El-Nino and China consumption themes. Besides, crushed stone industry also offers a lucrative choice from 3Q23 for those investors seeking for rising public spending theme. We expect the target range for VNIndex in 2H23 to be 1,260-1,340 points.

Report (197)

30

6月

Slight pickup amidst persistent global challenges

GSO’s June report shows a slight acceleration in economic performance for the second quarter of 2023. Although the economic growth surpassed the downgraded market assessment, it is far from the expected value in the eco-socio tasks. For the latest update in June, export activities deteriorated under the persistent slowdown in the consumption of Vietnam’s major trading partners, showing challenges for the economy to speed up. Regarding domestic factors, the recovery momentum in post-pandemic exhausted with retail sales much lower than the potential level. In the short term, we predict public investment will mainly support economic growth before material improvement in external factors occurs.

Report (195)

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